This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.33
1.73
1.40
1.53
1.27
vs Stronger (8)
1.25
1.50
1.75
1.00
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (16)
1.94
1.38
1.88
1.62
2.00
1.12
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
1.00
1.33
1.33
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.82-8.2%
Under 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.97+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.1%
2-0 ✓
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.7%
Mouscron goals ↓
Kortrijk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.2%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
5.9%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.6%
9.1%
4.4%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.7%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.7%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mouscron goals (down), columns = Kortrijk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.41
Gent
1.90
Charleroi
1.86
Antwerp
1.83
Standard Liege
1.69
Genk
1.52
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.24
Mouscron
1.24
Kortrijk
1.14
St. Truiden
1.14
Eupen
1.03
Cercle Brugge
0.79
Oostende
0.76
SK Beveren
0.69
Mouscron is 0.10 points better than Kortrijk in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.14).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gent
2.03
Club Brugge KV
2.00
Charleroi
1.69
Antwerp
1.69
Standard Liege
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
Anderlecht
1.55
Genk
1.55
Zulte Waregem
1.41
Kortrijk
1.38
Mouscron
1.31
St. Truiden
1.14
Oostende
1.00
Eupen
0.97
Cercle Brugge
0.93
SK Beveren
0.72
Mouscron is 0.07 goals worse than Kortrijk in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.38).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.48
Charleroi
0.79
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.10
Standard Liege
1.10
Gent
1.17
Mouscron
1.38
Genk
1.45
KV Mechelen
1.48
Kortrijk
1.52
Zulte Waregem
1.69
St. Truiden
1.72
Eupen
1.76
Cercle Brugge
1.86
Oostende
2.00
SK Beveren
2.07
Mouscron is 0.14 goals better than Kortrijk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
M
Mouscron
For 5.1 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kortrijk
For 4.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.3 · Against 14.5 · Total 32.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.2
10.2
4.8
4.2
5.3
29.2
30.3
28.0
vs Stronger (40)
9.5
8.7
10.2
4.7
4.2
5.0
29.4
31.5
28.0
vs Similar (10)
10.6
10.8
10.2
5.2
4.3
6.5
28.0
28.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
48%
64%
68%
60%
76%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
32%
40%
24%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.6
10.8
4.0
4.6
3.4
32.8
35.3
30.3
vs Stronger (16)
10.8
10.1
11.2
3.8
4.3
3.3
32.5
36.0
29.0
vs Similar (25)
10.6
10.9
10.2
4.3
4.7
3.7
33.0
35.0
31.0
vs Weaker (9)
11.0
10.8
11.2
3.7
5.0
2.6
-
-
-
% over line
64%
64%
64%
52%
64%
40%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
36%
36%
36%
48%
36%
60%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eupen
10.8
SK Beveren
10.8
Kortrijk
10.7
Gent
10.7
Club Brugge KV
10.3
Genk
10.3
Antwerp
10.0
Standard Liege
9.9
Oostende
9.8
Anderlecht
9.7
Mouscron
9.7
St. Truiden
9.7
KV Mechelen
9.7
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.3
Charleroi
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.3
Gent
5.0
Antwerp
4.9
Cercle Brugge
4.9
St. Truiden
4.9
Charleroi
4.8
Mouscron
4.8
KV Mechelen
4.7
Anderlecht
4.7
SK Beveren
4.6
Zulte Waregem
4.6
Oostende
4.5
Eupen
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.4
Genk
4.4
Kortrijk
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
32.8
Zulte Waregem
32.4
Charleroi
31.2
Eupen
29.9
Gent
29.2
Mouscron
29.2
KV Mechelen
29.0
Anderlecht
28.7
Standard Liege
28.4
Club Brugge KV
28.0
St. Truiden
27.9
Antwerp
27.4
Cercle Brugge
27.3
SK Beveren
27.0
Oostende
26.7
Genk
26.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.6%
Under 9.5
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.7%
Under 3.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.6%
Under 21.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.47
0.73
0.33
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (25)
0.72
0.52
0.75
0.33
0.69
0.69
vs Similar (5)
0.40
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.67
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.67
0.20
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (25)
0.64
0.60
0.58
0.25
0.69
0.92
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Kortrijk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kortrijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.80
1.20
0.73
0.87
0.87
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (16)
1.31
0.88
1.38
0.88
1.25
0.88
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kortrijk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kortrijk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kortrijk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kortrijk · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Thierry Ambrose40%
Bryan Adinany40%
Jellert Van Landschoot38%
Mouhamed Gueye25%
Ilan Hurtevent24%
Brecht Dejaegere11%
Matthew Anderson11%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes6%
Sixtus Ogbuehi6%
James Ndjeungoue6%
Manuel Osifo6%
Boris Lambert5%
Lenn De Smet5%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Marko Ilić0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Lennard Hens0%
Youssef Challouk0%
Liam De Smet0%
Rudy Kohon0%
Ebbe De Vlaeminck0%
Cassius Mailula0%
Mohamed Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brecht Dejaegere28%
Mohamed Fofana25%
Bryan Adinany20%
James Ndjeungoue18%
Rudy Kohon17%
Thierry Ambrose15%
Jellert Van Landschoot14%
Lennard Hens14%
Gilles Ruyssen12%
Ilan Hurtevent12%
Liam De Smet11%
Manuel Osifo11%
Boris Lambert10%
Lenn De Smet10%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes6%
Matthew Anderson6%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Marko Ilić0%
Youssef Challouk0%
Ebbe De Vlaeminck0%
Cassius Mailula0%
Sixtus Ogbuehi0%
Mouhamed Gueye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thierry Ambrose40%
Lennard Hens21%
Bryan Adinany20%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes19%
Brecht Dejaegere17%
Matthew Anderson17%
Lenn De Smet14%
Sixtus Ogbuehi6%
Ilan Hurtevent6%
Manuel Osifo6%
Rudy Kohon6%
Boris Lambert5%
Jellert Van Landschoot5%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Marko Ilić0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Youssef Challouk0%
Liam De Smet0%
Ebbe De Vlaeminck0%
James Ndjeungoue0%
Cassius Mailula0%
Mouhamed Gueye0%
Mohamed Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Cassius Mailula33%
Thierry Ambrose20%
Bryan Adinany20%
Jellert Van Landschoot19%
Ilan Hurtevent12%
Gilles Ruyssen6%
Sixtus Ogbuehi6%
James Ndjeungoue6%
Brecht Dejaegere6%
Boris Lambert5%
Gilles Dewaele0%
Marko Ilić0%
Lennard Hens0%
Youssef Challouk0%
Liam De Smet0%
Csanád Vilmos Dénes0%
Lenn De Smet0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Rudy Kohon0%
Matthew Anderson0%
Ebbe De Vlaeminck0%
Mouhamed Gueye0%
Mohamed Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kortrijk
Club Brugge KV
Gent
Charleroi
Antwerp
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Genk
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
Oostende
SK Beveren