This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.27
1.57
1.29
1.81
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.61
1.21
1.38
1.15
1.80
1.27
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
2.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.9%
No
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
0-1
5.3%
0-0
5.1%
MTK Budapest goals ↓
Kisvarda FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
5.3%
5.0%
2.6%
1.0%
1
5.6%
11%
8.2%
4.3%
1.7%
2
5.4%
8.5%
6.7%
3.5%
1.4%
3
3.0%
4.7%
3.7%
1.9%
0.8%
4
1.2%
1.9%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTK Budapest goals (down), columns = Kisvarda FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Gyori ETO FC
2.09
Ferencvarosi TC
2.06
Paks
1.61
Debreceni VSC
1.61
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.45
Puskas Academy
1.39
Ujpest
1.21
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Nyiregyhaza
1.21
MTK Budapest
1.15
Diosgyori VTK
0.85
Kazincbarcikai
0.67
MTK Budapest is 0.06 points worse than Kisvarda FC in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.97
Paks
1.91
MTK Budapest
1.67
Debreceni VSC
1.55
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.48
Ujpest
1.45
Nyiregyhaza
1.42
Puskas Academy
1.30
Diosgyori VTK
1.18
Kisvarda FC
1.09
Kazincbarcikai
0.94
MTK Budapest is 0.58 goals better than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gyori ETO FC
0.91
Ferencvarosi TC
0.94
Debreceni VSC
1.24
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Puskas Academy
1.30
Paks
1.39
Kisvarda FC
1.48
Ujpest
1.73
Nyiregyhaza
1.73
MTK Budapest
1.88
Diosgyori VTK
1.97
Kazincbarcikai
2.12
MTK Budapest is 0.39 goals worse than Kisvarda FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
57%
Gyori ETO FC
55%
Ujpest
53%
Zalaegerszegi TE
51%
Debreceni VSC
50%
MTK Budapest
49%
Kisvarda FC
49%
Paks
47%
Diosgyori VTK
46%
Puskas Academy
44%
MTK Budapest is 0.3 percentage points better than Kisvarda FC in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MTK Budapest
For 4.3 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kisvarda FC
For 4.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 13.4 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MTK Budapest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.6
10.2
2.8
2.8
2.7
23.9
24.3
23.4
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
10.5
8.0
2.2
3.0
0.5
22.8
23.8
19.0
vs Similar (42)
9.3
8.1
10.4
3.0
2.8
3.2
23.7
24.5
23.1
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
34.0
-
34.0
% over line
53%
41%
65%
38%
38%
38%
66%
71%
61%
% under line
47%
59%
35%
62%
62%
62%
34%
29%
39%
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.9
10.3
1.1
1.1
1.0
22.6
20.0
25.3
vs Stronger (2)
12.0
-
12.0
1.5
-
1.5
25.0
-
25.0
vs Similar (46)
10.5
10.9
10.0
1.1
1.1
1.0
22.5
20.0
25.3
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
77%
71%
83%
16%
17%
15%
50%
29%
71%
% under line
23%
29%
17%
84%
83%
85%
50%
71%
29%
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gyori ETO FC
13.0
Paks
10.8
Debreceni VSC
10.1
Kisvarda FC
10.1
Diosgyori VTK
9.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.6
Ferencvarosi TC
9.4
MTK Budapest
9.2
Ujpest
9.2
Puskas Academy
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Debreceni VSC
5.0
Puskas Academy
5.0
Ferencvarosi TC
4.8
Ujpest
4.6
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.6
Paks
4.6
Diosgyori VTK
4.5
Kisvarda FC
4.1
MTK Budapest
4.0
Gyori ETO FC
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Puskas Academy
27.9
Debreceni VSC
27.1
Ferencvarosi TC
26.9
Paks
26.7
Ujpest
25.7
Zalaegerszegi TE
25.3
Diosgyori VTK
25.2
Kisvarda FC
23.7
MTK Budapest
23.6
Gyori ETO FC
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.6%
Under 9.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.7%
Under 3.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.5%
Under 21.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.87
0.73
1.13
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.81
0.85
1.00
0.77
0.62
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.79
0.50
0.62
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.50
0.62
0.46
0.67
0.53
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MTK Budapest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.80
1.53
0.67
0.87
0.93
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.27
0.85
1.54
0.77
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kisvarda FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kisvarda FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
0.79
0.79
1.19
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.96
0.71
0.77
0.69
1.13
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (MTK Budapest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTK Budapest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTK Budapest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kisvarda FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MTK Budapest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rajmund Molnár50%
Gábor Jurek33%
Ádin Molnár29%
István Átrok27%
Zalán Kerezsi25%
Péter Törőcsik20%
István Bognár14%
Róbert Polievka13%
Adrian Zeljković10%
Hunor Németh10%
Benedek Varju7%
Krisztián Németh5%
Mihály Kata5%
Artúr Horváth5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Jakub Plšek0%
Marin Jurina0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Vilius Armalas0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mihály Kata35%
Patrik Kovács30%
Rajmund Molnár25%
Jakub Plšek21%
Krisztián Németh21%
Ilia Beriashvili18%
Benedek Varju14%
István Bognár14%
Hunor Németh14%
János Szépe13%
Vilius Armalas12%
Ádin Molnár12%
Marin Jurina11%
Adrian Zeljković10%
Zalán Kerezsi10%
Artúr Horváth10%
Tamás Kádár8%
Viktor Vitályos8%
István Átrok5%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Róbert Polievka0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
István Bognár36%
Krisztián Németh16%
Patrik Kovács15%
Jakub Plšek14%
Róbert Polievka13%
Vilius Armalas12%
Ádin Molnár12%
Gábor Jurek11%
Marin Jurina11%
István Átrok9%
Benedek Varju7%
Artúr Horváth5%
Hunor Németh5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Mihály Kata0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Rajmund Molnár0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Zalán Kerezsi0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rajmund Molnár75%
Marin Jurina21%
Ádin Molnár21%
Zalán Kerezsi15%
István Bognár14%
Vilius Armalas12%
István Átrok9%
Róbert Polievka7%
Hunor Németh5%
Tamás Kádár0%
Ilia Beriashvili0%
János Szépe0%
Zsombor Bévárdi0%
Patrik Demjén0%
Benedek Varju0%
Mihály Kata0%
Krisztián Németh0%
Jakub Plšek0%
Péter Törőcsik0%
Krisztián Hegyi0%
Adrian Zeljković0%
Artúr Horváth0%
Gábor Jurek0%
Patrik Kovács0%
Viktor Vitályos0%
Kisvarda FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tonislav Yordanov25%
Bence Bíró16%
Levente Szőr13%
Branimir Cipetić13%
Krisztián Nagy11%
Hianga'a M'Bock10%
Martin Chlumecký8%
Aleksandar Jovičić6%
Jasmin Mešanović6%
Marko Matanović5%
Gábor Molnár5%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola5%
Bogdan Melnyk4%
Soma Novothny4%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bálint Oláh0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Szilárd Szabó0%
Filip Pintér0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun33%
Branimir Cipetić30%
Bernardo Matić29%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola27%
Krisztián Nagy26%
Martin Chlumecký21%
Hianga'a M'Bock20%
Aleksandar Jovičić19%
Jasmin Mešanović18%
Bálint Oláh15%
Marko Matanović14%
Gábor Molnár14%
Levente Szőr13%
Filip Pintér13%
Kevin Körmendi12%
Tibor Lippai12%
Bence Bíró12%
Szilárd Szabó11%
Nikola Radmanovac9%
Soma Novothny8%
Ilya Popovich8%
Bogdan Melnyk4%
Tonislav Yordanov0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jasmin Mešanović29%
Bogdan Melnyk13%
Levente Szőr7%
Tonislav Yordanov6%
Aleksandar Jovičić6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Branimir Cipetić4%
Soma Novothny4%
Bence Bíró4%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bálint Oláh0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Szilárd Szabó0%
Filip Pintér0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Szilárd Szabó11%
Tonislav Yordanov6%
Gábor Molnár5%
Bence Bíró4%
Jasmin Mešanović0%
Aleksandar Jovičić0%
Krisztián Nagy0%
Sinan Medgyes0%
Bálint Oláh0%
Bogdan Melnyk0%
Soma Novothny0%
Nikola Radmanovac0%
Martin Chlumecký0%
Bernardo Matić0%
Branimir Cipetić0%
Hianga'a M'Bock0%
Marko Matanović0%
Dominik Soltész0%
Levente Szőr0%
Kevin Körmendi0%
Tibor Lippai0%
Filip Pintér0%
Ilya Popovich0%
Rilwan Abdulrazaq Popoola0%
Teslim Abdulateef Balogun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
MTK Budapest's squad is €5m more valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€11m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
MTK Budapest and Kisvarda FC have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
MTK Budapest's midfield is €2m more valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
MTK Budapest's defence is €2m more valuable than Kisvarda FC's (€5m vs €2m).
Hungary: NB I 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Gyori ETO FC
Ferencvarosi TC
Paks
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Nyiregyhaza
Diosgyori VTK
Kazincbarcikai