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Nacional vs Estoril Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 0-1
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
37%
24%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Estoril
Estoril
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied 38.7% · @ 2.39
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.2%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.47
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Estoril win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 34.7% · @ 2.66
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L33D12L40W12L00D01L03L12L11DA·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02H·SC 28/02A·MOR07/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.671.501.791.061.56
vs Stronger (13)0.691.920.672.000.711.86
vs Similar (16)1.621.502.121.621.121.38
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-541W13L50W42W42W22D03L31W03L00DH·ALV27/12A·BEN03/01A·EST19/01H·GUI24/01A·SAN31/01H·TON07/02A·AVS15/02H·GIL22/02A·SPO27/02H·CAS07/03
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.632.001.311.712.00
vs Stronger (8)1.121.881.501.250.752.50
vs Similar (21)2.141.572.171.332.111.89
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.4%
@ 1.66+11.7%
Under 2.5
32.6%
@ 2.09-11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
68.8%
No
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
2-0
4.6%
Nacional goals ↓
Estoril goals →
01234
04.0%4.5%4.8%2.8%1.2%
14.4%10%8.2%4.8%2.1%
24.6%8.0%7.1%4.1%1.8%
32.6%4.6%4.0%2.4%1.0%
41.1%2.0%1.7%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Estoril goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Nacional is 0.15 points worse than Estoril in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.15).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Nacional is 0.50 goals worse than Estoril in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Nacional is 0.35 goals better than Estoril in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Nacional is 6.6 percentage points worse than Estoril in terms of average possession (46% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

13074361458121115557283211951313111012105A·MORH·SC A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

1002423464233321443165104533384A·MORH·SC A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 11.9 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

3801313151513131311151115121861871411182026302624262724252538A·MORH·SC A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

EstorilEstoril

For 3.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1804514149954564241373795518911651010H·CASA·SPOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·SANH·GUIA·ESTA·BENH·ALV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

10022322213723232235245411055257H·CASA·SPOA·AVSH·TONA·SANH·GUIA·ESTA·BENH·ALVH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

280101216913810988111691912161512121122252119162728282723H·CASA·SPOH·GILA·AVSH·TONA·SANH·GUIA·ESTA·BENH·ALV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.99.85.26.04.326.926.727.2
vs Stronger (20)10.111.88.64.76.43.325.425.325.5
vs Similar (29)10.410.310.65.75.85.527.927.528.4
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line58%62%54%66%83%50%85%83%88%
% under line42%38%46%34%17%50%15%17%12%
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.48.58.44.34.24.527.927.528.4
vs Stronger (14)7.67.97.44.75.04.427.928.027.9
vs Similar (34)8.88.88.84.43.94.827.726.728.6
vs Weaker (2)8.08.0-1.53.00.037.037.0-
% over line33%33%33%72%72%72%88%88%88%
% under line67%67%67%28%28%28%12%12%12%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Nacional
10.4
Torreense
10.1
Benfica
9.9
Rio Ave
9.7
Tondela
9.4
Sporting CP
9.4
Casa Pia
9.3
Arouca
9.3
Estrela
9.3
Guimaraes
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.2
AVS
9.1
Estoril
8.7
Santa Clara
8.7
FC Porto
8.6
Alverca
8.5
SC Braga
8.5
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.4
Casa Pia
5.8
Sporting CP
5.8
Torreense
5.8
Arouca
5.7
Benfica
5.6
FC Porto
5.5
Guimaraes
5.5
AVS
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Famalicao
5.3
Nacional
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.1
GIL Vicente
5.1
Tondela
5.0
Alverca
4.9
Estoril
4.5
SC Braga
4.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.1
Estrela
30.9
Santa Clara
30.8
Moreirense
30.4
Guimaraes
29.6
Casa Pia
28.4
Rio Ave
28.4
GIL Vicente
28.2
Estoril
27.7
Arouca
27.2
Sporting CP
27.2
FC Porto
26.9
AVS
26.9
Nacional
26.9
Benfica
26.0
SC Braga
24.7
Tondela
22.1
Alverca
19.5
Torreense
14.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.0%
Under 9.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
78.2%
Under 3.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.2%
Under 21.5
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D11D10W00D00D00D00D01L01LA·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02H·SC 28/02A·MOR07/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.360.790.560.62
vs Stronger (13)0.150.620.170.500.140.71
vs Similar (16)0.560.810.501.000.620.62
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L10W12L20W22D00D11D02L00DH·ALV27/12A·BEN03/01A·EST19/01H·GUI24/01A·SAN31/01H·TON07/02A·AVS15/02H·GIL22/02A·SPO27/02H·CAS07/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.831.060.810.710.86
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.501.250.501.50
vs Similar (21)1.050.671.250.670.780.67
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D01L30W12L00D01L03L11D10WA·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02H·SC 28/02A·MOR07/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.971.141.000.500.94
vs Stronger (13)0.541.310.501.500.571.14
vs Similar (16)1.060.691.620.620.500.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Estoril) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EstorilEstoril

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W01L40W30W22D00D03L20W01L00DH·ALV27/12A·BEN03/01A·EST19/01H·GUI24/01A·SAN31/01H·TON07/02A·AVS15/02H·GIL22/02A·SPO27/02H·CAS07/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.800.940.501.001.14
vs Stronger (8)0.620.501.000.000.251.00
vs Similar (21)1.100.900.920.671.331.22
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Estoril over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls92.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards90.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.587.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls85.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls73.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Estoril
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yanis Begraoui35%
João Carvalho18%
André Lacximicant14%
Nodar Lominadze12%
Alejandro Marqués12%
Patrick de Paula11%
Rafik Guitane10%
Peixinho9%
Xeka8%
Ricard Sánchez8%
Ferro7%
Tiago Parente7%
Felix Bacher6%
Kévin Boma5%
Jordan Holsgrove3%
Pizzi0%
Joel Robles0%
Pedro Amaral0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
Jandro Orellana0%
Gonçalo Costa0%
Martin Turk0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Patrick de Paula44%
Antef Tsoungui35%
Ricard Sánchez35%
Nodar Lominadze25%
Tiago Brito25%
João Carvalho24%
Jordan Holsgrove24%
Kévin Boma24%
Tiago Parente21%
Pedro Carvalho19%
André Lacximicant18%
Ferro15%
Fabrício Garcia14%
Gonçalo Costa12%
Felix Bacher12%
Pedro Amaral11%
Jandro Orellana11%
Rafik Guitane10%
Joel Robles10%
Peixinho9%
Xeka8%
Alejandro Marqués4%
Yanis Begraoui3%
Pizzi0%
Martin Turk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Carvalho27%
Jordan Holsgrove18%
Pizzi17%
Ricard Sánchez15%
Rafik Guitane13%
André Lacximicant9%
Pedro Amaral7%
Gonçalo Costa6%
Jandro Orellana5%
Kévin Boma5%
Pedro Carvalho4%
Yanis Begraoui3%
Ferro0%
Joel Robles0%
Felix Bacher0%
Xeka0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
Alejandro Marqués0%
Patrick de Paula0%
Nodar Lominadze0%
Martin Turk0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Parente0%
Tiago Brito0%
Peixinho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Lacximicant27%
Yanis Begraoui24%
João Carvalho18%
Peixinho9%
Alejandro Marqués8%
Nodar Lominadze6%
Jordan Holsgrove6%
Rafik Guitane3%
Ferro0%
Pizzi0%
Joel Robles0%
Felix Bacher0%
Xeka0%
Pedro Amaral0%
Antef Tsoungui0%
Jandro Orellana0%
Ricard Sánchez0%
Gonçalo Costa0%
Kévin Boma0%
Patrick de Paula0%
Martin Turk0%
Pedro Carvalho0%
Fabrício Garcia0%
Tiago Parente0%
Tiago Brito0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €23m less valuable than Estoril's (€20m vs €42m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Nacional's attack is €18m less valuable than Estoril's (€6m vs €24m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Nacional's midfield is €3m less valuable than Estoril's (€5m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €2m less valuable than Estoril's (€9m vs €10m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
NAC wins
3
Draws
2
EST wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Estoril · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
26/10/25AEstoril Vs NAC1-1
15/02/25HNAC Vs Estoril2-2
15/09/24AEstoril Vs NAC1-0
09/04/17AEstoril Vs NAC0-1
26/11/16HNAC Vs Estoril0-1
10/04/16HNAC Vs Estoril4-1
06/12/15AEstoril Vs NAC1-1

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26AMoreirense Vs NAC1-1
28/02/26HNAC Vs SC Braga1-2
21/02/26AArouca Vs NAC3-0
15/02/26HNAC Vs FC Porto0-1
08/02/26HNAC Vs Casa Pia0-0
01/02/26ASporting CP Vs NAC2-1
25/01/26HNAC Vs Rio Ave4-0
17/01/26AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
11/01/26HNAC Vs Santa Clara3-3
02/01/26AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-1

EstorilEstoril

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/03/26HEST Vs Casa Pia0-0
27/02/26ASporting CP Vs EST3-0
22/02/26HEST Vs GIL Vicente3-1
15/02/26AAVS Vs EST3-0
07/02/26HEST Vs Tondela2-2
31/01/26ASanta Clara Vs EST2-4
24/01/26HEST Vs Guimaraes4-2
19/01/26AEstrela Vs EST0-5
03/01/26ABenfica Vs EST3-1
27/12/25HEST Vs Alverca4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLD1.00
HomeDWDLL1.17
AwayLLLLD0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.743.042.46
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %56%67%46%
Over 3.5 %26%38%15%
Scored1.201.460.96
Conceded1.541.581.50
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners10.3110.889.75
Cards5.386.044.71
Estoril
Estoril
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.46
HomeWWDWD1.60
AwayLWWLL1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals3.423.123.72
Over 1.5 %88%80%96%
Over 2.5 %76%64%88%
Over 3.5 %50%40%60%
Scored1.781.761.80
Conceded1.641.361.92
BTTS64%68%60%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners8.428.468.38
Cards4.624.574.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches