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Nacional vs Rio Ave Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 3-3
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
42%
29%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
42.0%
Avg Implied 47.9% · @ 1.96
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.51
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave win✗ Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.70
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W03L31W01L01L10W03L11D12LA·SC 21/02H·FAM01/03A·BEN08/03H·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04H·GUI03/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.271.271.200.601.33
vs Stronger (10)0.701.601.001.600.401.60
vs Similar (20)1.051.101.401.000.701.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L23L12L02L02L20W11D12L03L20WA·FAM10/03H·BEN16/03A·CAS29/03A·SPO03/04H·BOA07/04A·MOR13/04H·SAN18/04H·SPO22/04A·GUI27/04H·EST05/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.571.571.641.001.50
vs Stronger (7)1.002.571.402.200.003.50
vs Similar (21)1.381.291.881.251.081.31
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.89-4.8%
Under 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.89+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
Nacional goals ↓
Rio Ave goals →
01234
09.6%7.9%5.1%1.9%0.5%
110%14%7.0%2.6%0.7%
28.0%8.8%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.7%4.0%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.3%1.4%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Rio Ave goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Nacional is 0.12 points worse than Rio Ave in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Nacional is 0.21 goals worse than Rio Ave in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Nacional is 0.15 goals better than Rio Ave in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Nacional is 0.4 percentage points worse than Rio Ave in terms of average possession (47% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

14063529777543253516679791412778713H·GUIA·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

802311344124321334215148373373H·GUIA·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

39015131310812121615141623111311111812141428232028293924223028H·GUIA·MORH·GILA·BOAH·ESTA·SANH·CASA·BENH·FAMA·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rio AveRio Ave

For 3.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

14053194364229241047311158107104111411146H·ESTA·GUIH·SPOH·SANA·MORH·BOAA·SPOA·CASH·BENA·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.1

🟨 Cards

1004621312254321115412110344952653H·ESTA·GUIH·SPOH·SANA·MORH·BOAA·SPOA·CASH·BENA·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.5

⚠️ Fouls

3901716716181315142613151261312191612132233233129392719312835H·ESTA·GUIH·SPOH·SANA·MORH·BOAA·SPOA·CASH·BENA·FAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.69.911.24.75.04.528.026.429.5
vs Stronger (13)10.010.29.84.14.83.025.824.327.6
vs Similar (36)10.89.911.65.05.14.928.927.430.1
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-4.04.0-24.024.0-
% over line52%48%57%62%71%54%86%76%95%
% under line48%52%43%38%29%46%14%24%5%
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.710.19.34.65.24.028.028.627.5
vs Stronger (13)9.59.010.44.35.52.425.226.523.2
vs Similar (33)9.710.78.74.55.13.929.329.928.7
vs Weaker (4)10.811.010.76.85.07.328.027.028.3
% over line48%52%43%62%79%46%96%100%91%
% under line52%48%57%38%21%54%4%0%9%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
10.9
Nacional
10.8
Estrela
10.3
SC Braga
10.3
Guimaraes
10.2
Famalicao
10.1
Vizela
10.0
Benfica
9.9
Rio Ave
9.9
Arouca
9.9
FC Porto
9.6
Casa Pia
9.5
Boavista
9.4
Sporting CP
9.3
AVS
9.1
Estoril
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.8
Moreirense
8.3
Santa Clara
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
FC Porto
6.2
Santa Clara
6.1
Boavista
5.8
Guimaraes
5.7
Famalicao
5.6
Arouca
5.3
AVS
5.3
SC Braga
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Casa Pia
5.0
Sporting CP
5.0
Farense
5.0
Estrela
4.9
Vizela
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.7
Nacional
4.7
Moreirense
4.7
Estoril
4.6
Benfica
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.1
Estrela
29.4
Santa Clara
28.9
Moreirense
28.7
Rio Ave
28.4
Farense
28.1
Estoril
28.1
Guimaraes
27.9
Nacional
27.8
AVS
27.7
Boavista
27.4
Arouca
27.0
GIL Vicente
26.8
FC Porto
26.7
Casa Pia
26.1
SC Braga
25.7
Sporting CP
25.2
Benfica
22.7
Vizela
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.6%
Under 9.5
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.8%
Under 3.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.0%
Under 21.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W02L10W01L00D10W01L00D01LA·SC 21/02H·FAM01/03A·BEN08/03H·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04H·GUI03/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.570.800.400.200.73
vs Stronger (10)0.400.600.600.200.201.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.550.900.500.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L11D02L01L00D10W01L03L00DA·FAM10/03H·BEN16/03A·CAS29/03A·SPO03/04H·BOA07/04A·MOR13/04H·SAN18/04H·SPO22/04A·GUI27/04H·EST05/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.710.790.380.94
vs Stronger (7)0.291.430.401.000.002.50
vs Similar (21)0.620.711.000.620.380.77
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L21W00D01L00D02L11D11DA·SC 21/02H·FAM01/03A·BEN08/03H·CAS16/03A·SAN30/03H·EST06/04A·BOA12/04H·GIL19/04A·MOR27/04H·GUI03/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.470.800.400.60
vs Stronger (10)0.301.000.401.400.200.60
vs Similar (20)0.500.550.500.500.500.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D01L00D01L20W01L11D00D20WA·FAM10/03H·BEN16/03A·CAS29/03A·SPO03/04H·BOA07/04A·MOR13/04H·SAN18/04H·SPO22/04A·GUI27/04H·EST05/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.860.860.620.56
vs Stronger (7)0.711.141.001.200.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.570.880.620.690.54
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls79.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners77.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.576.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Baeza20%
Joel Tagueu14%
Dudu13%
Daniel Penha13%
Bruno Costa11%
Isaac11%
Nigel Thomas10%
André Sousa8%
Fuki Yamada8%
Rúben Macedo7%
José Gomes7%
João Aurélio7%
Paulinho Bóia7%
Ulisses7%
Léo Santos6%
Ze Vitor6%
Chiheb Labidi6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Dyego Sousa0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Lucas França0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Luís Esteves0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djibril Soumaré35%
Ze Vitor34%
Nigel Thomas30%
Matheus Dias26%
André Sousa23%
Léo Santos19%
Adrián Butzke18%
Lucas França18%
Luís Esteves18%
Chiheb Labidi17%
Ulisses17%
Gustavo García15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Tiago Reis12%
Arvin Appiah12%
Isaac11%
José Gomes10%
Fuki Yamada8%
Joel Tagueu7%
João Aurélio7%
Daniel Penha6%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Rúben Macedo0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Dudu0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fuki Yamada15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Luís Esteves12%
Adrián Butzke9%
Gustavo García9%
Dudu9%
João Aurélio7%
Bruno Costa6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Matheus Dias4%
Rúben Macedo4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Daniel Penha3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Ulisses0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ze Vitor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Reis25%
Luís Esteves24%
Adrián Butzke18%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Daniel Penha13%
Dudu9%
Rúben Macedo7%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Ulisses3%
Ze Vitor3%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
João Aurélio0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Fuki Yamada0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Clayton39%
Francisco Petrasso14%
Tiago Morais12%
Ahmed Hassan11%
Brandon Aguilera11%
André Luiz11%
Demir Ege Tıknaz10%
Martim Neto8%
Fábio Ronaldo8%
Theofanis Bakoulas8%
Patrick William8%
Kiko Bondoso7%
João Graça6%
Jonathan Panzo5%
Ole Pohlmann3%
Marios Vrousai3%
Renato Pantalon0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
João Novais0%
Jhonatan0%
Vítor Gomes0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Nelson Abbey0%
João Pedro0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Tobias Medina0%
Konstantinos Kostoulas0%
Tim Sousa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Kostoulas50%
Clayton36%
Theofanis Bakoulas33%
Patrick William31%
Francisco Petrasso29%
Martim Neto25%
Demir Ege Tıknaz23%
Ahmed Hassan22%
Andreas Ndoj22%
Jonathan Panzo20%
Aderllan Santos17%
Amine Oudrhiri15%
Marios Vrousai15%
Brandon Aguilera15%
Omar Richards15%
Jhonatan12%
Renato Pantalon11%
Nelson Abbey11%
André Luiz11%
João Tomé11%
Karem Zoabi8%
Cezary Miszta7%
João Novais6%
João Graça6%
Kiko Bondoso4%
Ole Pohlmann3%
Tiago Morais3%
Vítor Gomes0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
João Pedro0%
Tobias Medina0%
Tim Sousa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Karem Zoabi17%
Vítor Gomes14%
Marios Vrousai9%
Clayton9%
Fábio Ronaldo8%
Ole Pohlmann7%
Demir Ege Tıknaz7%
André Luiz6%
João Tomé6%
Martim Neto4%
Brandon Aguilera4%
Omar Richards4%
Kiko Bondoso4%
Ahmed Hassan0%
Patrick William0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Cezary Miszta0%
João Novais0%
Jhonatan0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Andreas Ndoj0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Tiago Morais0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Tobias Medina0%
Konstantinos Kostoulas0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Tim Sousa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Clayton39%
Tiago Morais15%
Francisco Petrasso14%
João Novais12%
André Luiz11%
Marios Vrousai9%
Andreas Ndoj6%
Brandon Aguilera4%
Ahmed Hassan0%
Patrick William0%
Renato Pantalon0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Jhonatan0%
Vítor Gomes0%
Amine Oudrhiri0%
Aderllan Santos0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Kiko Bondoso0%
Ole Pohlmann0%
Martim Neto0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Fábio Ronaldo0%
João Pedro0%
João Tomé0%
Demir Ege Tıknaz0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Tobias Medina0%
Konstantinos Kostoulas0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Tim Sousa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €17m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€20m vs €37m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Nacional's attack is €2m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€6m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Nacional's midfield is €3m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€5m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €13m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€9m vs €21m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
NAC wins
2
Draws
5
RA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Rio Ave · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/24ARio Ave Vs NAC2-1
19/05/21HNAC Vs Rio Ave1-2
05/02/21ARio Ave Vs NAC0-0
17/03/19HNAC Vs Rio Ave0-1
05/11/18ARio Ave Vs NAC3-3
29/04/17HNAC Vs Rio Ave0-2
18/12/16ARio Ave Vs NAC2-1
13/03/16HNAC Vs Rio Ave1-0

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HNAC Vs Guimaraes1-2
27/04/25AMoreirense Vs NAC1-1
19/04/25HNAC Vs GIL Vicente0-3
12/04/25ABoavista Vs NAC0-1
06/04/25HNAC Vs Estrela0-1
30/03/25ASanta Clara Vs NAC1-0
16/03/25HNAC Vs Casa Pia3-1
08/03/25ABenfica Vs NAC3-0
01/03/25HNAC Vs Famalicao2-1
21/02/25ASC Braga Vs NAC1-0

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/25HRA Vs Estrela2-0
27/04/25AGuimaraes Vs RA3-0
22/04/25HRA Vs Sporting CP1-2
18/04/25HRA Vs Santa Clara1-1
13/04/25AMoreirense Vs RA0-2
07/04/25HRA Vs Boavista0-2
03/04/25ASporting CP Vs RA2-0
29/03/25ACasa Pia Vs RA2-1
16/03/25HRA Vs Benfica2-3
10/03/25AFamalicao Vs RA1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.40
HomeWWLLL1.88
AwayLLLWD0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%58%23%
AVG goals2.563.002.15
Over 1.5 %76%88%65%
Over 2.5 %48%62%35%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.261.670.88
Conceded1.301.331.27
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners10.599.9011.22
Cards4.824.964.68
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.20
HomeLLDLW1.58
AwayLLLWL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%38%15%
AVG goals2.642.882.42
Over 1.5 %82%88%77%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.201.540.88
Conceded1.441.331.54
BTTS60%71%50%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners9.7210.139.30
Cards5.005.434.57

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches