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Nacional vs Rio Ave Result & Analysis

Date: 25/01/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 4-0
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
40%
25%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✓ Hit
39.9%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.20
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.25
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.15
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D24L12L01L31W22D12L33D12LH·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11H·BEN29/11A·ALV07/12H·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.701.462.081.001.41
vs Stronger (11)0.642.090.752.250.572.00
vs Similar (18)1.441.501.782.001.111.00
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W04L11D11D21W01L22D04L31W02LA·EST25/10H·EST01/11A·ALV08/11H·SAN30/11A·AVS06/12H·GUI13/12A·GIL20/12A·SPO28/12H·CAS04/01H·BEN17/01
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.771.131.601.331.93
vs Stronger (8)0.752.381.002.400.332.33
vs Similar (21)1.481.521.331.111.581.83
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%010%120%222%318%412%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.0%
Under 1.5
14.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
65.5%
@ 1.93+17.4%
Under 2.5
34.5%
@ 1.79-17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.6%
Under 3.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.7%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.0%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.6%
Nacional goals ↓
Rio Ave goals →
01234
04.4%4.6%4.6%2.5%1.0%
15.0%11%8.0%4.3%1.8%
25.2%8.5%6.9%3.8%1.5%
33.0%4.9%4.0%2.2%0.9%
41.3%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Rio Ave goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Nacional is 0.06 points worse than Rio Ave in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.06).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Nacional is 0.06 goals better than Rio Ave in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Nacional is 0.35 goals better than Rio Ave in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Nacional is 0.9 percentage points worse than Rio Ave in terms of average possession (46% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 3.3 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1305728322931022211623105612105111341381311A·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TONA·ALVH·BENA·ESTH·FAMA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.1

🟨 Cards

1302144312671132435633384213257116A·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TONA·ALVH·BENA·ESTH·FAMA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

3801871411182011101117191010815121518151325253821282918273328A·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TONA·ALVH·BENA·ESTH·FAMA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Rio AveRio Ave

For 4.0 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

14031194181106611315396541413911121461269H·BENH·CASA·SPOA·GILH·GUIA·AVSH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.7

🟨 Cards

13012111635467232316331299135249H·BENH·CASA·SPOA·GILH·GUIA·AVSH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

3601281023613161615151616101516151014201620331932303225312436H·BENH·CASA·SPOA·GILH·GUIA·AVSH·SANA·ALVH·ESTA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.510.710.35.16.44.027.327.127.4
vs Stronger (19)10.212.08.74.96.93.525.825.426.2
vs Similar (30)10.710.111.45.46.24.628.128.028.3
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line60%61%58%64%83%48%85%83%88%
% under line40%39%42%36%17%52%15%17%12%
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.59.84.94.84.928.127.728.6
vs Stronger (12)10.39.811.53.84.23.025.026.023.0
vs Similar (36)9.39.29.45.15.15.029.428.629.9
vs Weaker (2)10.011.09.07.05.09.027.027.027.0
% over line50%48%52%60%67%54%89%91%87%
% under line50%52%48%40%33%46%11%9%13%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.6
Nacional
10.4
Arouca
10.1
Rio Ave
9.9
Benfica
9.7
Torreense
9.7
Guimaraes
9.5
Casa Pia
9.5
Sporting CP
9.4
GIL Vicente
9.3
Estrela
9.2
Tondela
9.2
Estoril
8.9
AVS
8.8
SC Braga
8.8
Santa Clara
8.7
FC Porto
8.5
Moreirense
8.1
Alverca
7.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.5
FC Porto
6.0
Torreense
5.7
Sporting CP
5.7
Casa Pia
5.7
Guimaraes
5.6
Famalicao
5.6
Arouca
5.5
Nacional
5.5
AVS
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
GIL Vicente
5.1
Benfica
5.1
Tondela
5.1
Alverca
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Estoril
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.9
Estrela
31.3
Santa Clara
30.7
Moreirense
30.6
Guimaraes
28.6
Estoril
28.5
GIL Vicente
28.3
Casa Pia
28.3
Rio Ave
28.0
Nacional
27.6
AVS
27.5
Arouca
27.3
FC Porto
26.7
Sporting CP
26.6
SC Braga
25.5
Benfica
25.5
Tondela
20.2
Alverca
17.3
Torreense
12.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
85.5%
Under 3.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.5%
Under 21.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W03L00D00D00D02L00D22D11DH·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11H·BEN29/11A·ALV07/12H·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.380.850.590.71
vs Stronger (11)0.180.820.250.500.141.00
vs Similar (18)0.560.780.441.000.670.56
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L10W11D10W01L11D01L00D02LA·EST25/10H·EST01/11A·ALV08/11H·SAN30/11A·AVS06/12H·GUI13/12A·GIL20/12A·SPO28/12H·CAS04/01H·BEN17/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.530.870.530.73
vs Stronger (8)0.251.250.401.400.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.620.670.560.670.67
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W12L01L31W20W12L11D01LH·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11H·BEN29/11A·ALV07/12H·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.931.081.230.410.71
vs Stronger (11)0.451.270.501.750.431.00
vs Similar (18)0.890.721.331.000.440.44
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rio Ave) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rio AveRio Ave

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L01L00D11D00D11D03L31W00DA·EST25/10H·EST01/11A·ALV08/11H·SAN30/11A·AVS06/12H·GUI13/12A·GIL20/12A·SPO28/12H·CAS04/01H·BEN17/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.970.600.730.801.20
vs Stronger (8)0.501.120.601.000.331.33
vs Similar (21)0.810.900.670.560.921.17
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Ave over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards94.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.586.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards85.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls80.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards72.5%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Rio Ave
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jalen Blesa46%
Clayton37%
André Luiz32%
Dario Špikić7%
Diogo Bezerra6%
Brandon Aguilera5%
Jakub Brabec4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Marios Vrousai3%
Olinho3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Tamblé Monteiro0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karem Zoabi40%
Clayton37%
Andreas Ndoj30%
Cezary Miszta29%
Gustavo Mancha29%
Francisco Petrasso26%
Ryan Guilherme25%
Jonathan Panzo21%
Brandon Aguilera21%
Tamás Nikitscher19%
Diogo Bezerra18%
Jakub Brabec16%
André Luiz16%
Nelson Abbey15%
Tamblé Monteiro15%
Omar Richards14%
Julien Lomboto14%
Marios Vrousai13%
João Graça12%
João Tomé11%
Ennio Van Der Gouw10%
Georgios Liavas8%
Jalen Blesa8%
Olinho6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Antonis Papakanellos5%
Dario Špikić3%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Marc Gual0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
André Luiz26%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Dario Špikić7%
Andreas Ndoj7%
Marios Vrousai6%
Nikolaos Athanasiou6%
Georgios Liavas4%
Nelson Abbey4%
Tamás Nikitscher4%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Omar Richards0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Jalen Blesa0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jalen Blesa31%
André Luiz21%
Clayton16%
Diogo Bezerra12%
Marios Vrousai10%
Tamblé Monteiro8%
Andreas Ndoj3%
Olinho3%
Jakub Brabec0%
Kevin Chamorro0%
Brandon Aguilera0%
Dario Špikić0%
Omar Richards0%
Georgios Liavas0%
Tamás Nikitscher0%
Cezary Miszta0%
Marc Gual0%
Jonathan Panzo0%
João Graça0%
Ennio Van Der Gouw0%
Nelson Abbey0%
Julien Lomboto0%
Leonardo Buta0%
Ryan Guilherme0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
João Tomé0%
Karem Zoabi0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Francisco Petrasso0%
Antonis Papakanellos0%
Theofanis Bakoulas0%
Gustavo Mancha0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €17m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€20m vs €37m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Nacional's attack is €2m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€6m vs €8m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Nacional's midfield is €3m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€5m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €13m less valuable than Rio Ave's (€9m vs €21m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
NAC wins
4
Draws
4
RA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Rio Ave · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25ARio Ave Vs NAC1-1
10/05/25HNAC Vs Rio Ave3-3
29/12/24ARio Ave Vs NAC2-1
19/05/21HNAC Vs Rio Ave1-2
05/02/21ARio Ave Vs NAC0-0
17/03/19HNAC Vs Rio Ave0-1
05/11/18ARio Ave Vs NAC3-3
29/04/17HNAC Vs Rio Ave0-2

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
11/01/26HNAC Vs Santa Clara3-3
02/01/26AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-1
21/12/25AAVS Vs NAC2-2
15/12/25HNAC Vs Tondela3-1
07/12/25AAlverca Vs NAC1-0
29/11/25HNAC Vs Benfica1-2
23/11/25ASC Braga Vs NAC4-2
09/11/25AEstrela Vs NAC1-1
01/11/25HNAC Vs Famalicao0-1

Rio AveRio Ave

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26HRA Vs Benfica0-2
04/01/26HRA Vs Casa Pia3-1
28/12/25ASporting CP Vs RA4-0
20/12/25AGIL Vicente Vs RA2-2
13/12/25HRA Vs Guimaraes0-1
06/12/25AAVS Vs RA1-2
30/11/25HRA Vs Santa Clara1-1
08/11/25AAlverca Vs RA1-1
01/11/25HRA Vs Estoril0-4
25/10/25AEstrela Vs RA1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL1.00
HomeWLLWD1.22
AwayLLDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%19%
AVG goals2.643.042.30
Over 1.5 %76%83%70%
Over 2.5 %52%65%41%
Over 3.5 %24%35%15%
Scored1.121.390.89
Conceded1.521.651.41
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners10.5110.7410.29
Cards5.436.434.46
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.14
HomeLDLWL1.25
AwayWDWDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%29%23%
AVG goals2.983.002.96
Over 1.5 %90%96%85%
Over 2.5 %60%62%58%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.301.381.23
Conceded1.681.621.73
BTTS64%67%62%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners9.639.489.78
Cards5.285.045.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches