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Nacional vs SC Braga Result & Analysis

Date: 28/02/2026
Time: 18:00
Final 1-2
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
16%
22%
62%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SC Braga
SC Braga
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied 16.9% · @ 5.47
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.00
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
SC Braga win✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied 60.0% · @ 1.54
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W22D12L33D12L40W12L00D01L03LH·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.701.431.861.061.56
vs Stronger (12)0.671.920.602.000.711.86
vs Similar (17)1.531.591.891.781.121.38
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D12L10W10W50W00D40W30W12L32WA·EST03/01A·FAF14/01A·TON18/01H·NOT22/01H·ALV25/01A·GO 29/01A·AVS02/02H·RIO08/02A·GIL14/02H·GUI21/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.872.380.921.590.82
vs Stronger (3)1.331.672.002.001.001.50
vs Similar (7)1.570.711.751.001.330.33
vs Weaker (20)2.150.802.750.751.750.83
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.2%
@ 1.75+7.1%
Under 2.5
39.8%
@ 1.98-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2 ✓
9.9%
0-2
9.9%
0-1
8.4%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.9%
0-0
5.4%
2-2
5.0%
Nacional goals ↓
SC Braga goals →
01234
05.4%8.4%9.9%6.9%3.6%
13.5%10%9.9%7.0%3.7%
22.3%4.7%5.0%3.5%1.8%
30.8%1.6%1.7%1.2%0.6%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.3%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = SC Braga goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Nacional is 0.74 points worse than SC Braga in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Nacional is 0.79 goals worse than SC Braga in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Nacional is 0.26 goals worse than SC Braga in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Nacional is 16.7 percentage points worse than SC Braga in terms of average possession (46% vs 63%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 3.8 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1301458121115557283229310513131110121051113A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

1304642333214431267104533384213A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 26.4

⚠️ Fouls

3801313131115111512186187141118201110111726242627242525382128A·AROH·FC H·CASA·SPOH·RIOA·GILH·SANA·GUIA·AVSH·TON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SC BragaSC Braga

For 4.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 6.7

🚩 Corners

1202659141317315175152111054746126H·GUIA·GILH·RIOA·AVSA·GO H·ALVH·NOTA·TONA·ESTH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

7023121111122345212525321247737H·GUIA·GILH·RIOA·AVSA·GO H·ALVH·NOTA·TONA·ESTH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

330171018714863511911101814198141492725229162028332223H·GUIA·GILH·RIOA·AVSA·GO H·ALVH·NOTA·TONA·ESTH·BEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.411.09.95.06.04.226.826.627.0
vs Stronger (19)10.212.18.64.76.63.325.224.825.5
vs Similar (30)10.610.410.85.45.65.227.827.628.1
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line60%67%54%62%79%46%85%83%88%
% under line40%33%46%38%21%54%15%17%12%
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.38.18.53.93.93.924.322.626.0
vs Stronger (5)6.69.05.07.67.08.027.423.030.3
vs Similar (9)8.77.011.04.43.45.825.122.828.3
vs Weaker (36)8.58.28.73.33.73.023.622.424.7
% over line36%30%41%56%65%48%64%50%77%
% under line64%70%59%44%35%52%36%50%23%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Torreense
10.5
Famalicao
10.4
Nacional
10.4
Benfica
9.7
Rio Ave
9.6
Tondela
9.5
Arouca
9.4
Casa Pia
9.4
Sporting CP
9.4
GIL Vicente
9.2
Guimaraes
9.1
Estrela
9.1
AVS
9.1
Estoril
8.8
Santa Clara
8.7
FC Porto
8.7
SC Braga
8.5
Alverca
8.3
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.6
Torreense
5.9
Sporting CP
5.8
Casa Pia
5.8
FC Porto
5.7
Arouca
5.6
Guimaraes
5.6
AVS
5.4
Famalicao
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Benfica
5.4
Estrela
5.3
Rio Ave
5.2
GIL Vicente
5.1
Moreirense
5.0
Tondela
5.0
Alverca
5.0
Estoril
4.6
SC Braga
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.7
Estrela
31.0
Santa Clara
30.6
Moreirense
30.3
Guimaraes
29.0
GIL Vicente
28.3
Rio Ave
28.3
Casa Pia
28.3
Estoril
27.9
Arouca
27.3
AVS
27.1
Nacional
26.9
Sporting CP
26.8
FC Porto
26.7
Benfica
25.9
SC Braga
24.5
Tondela
21.2
Alverca
18.6
Torreense
13.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
50.5%
Under 9.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.0%
Under 3.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.5%
Under 21.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L00D22D11D10W00D00D00D00DH·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.360.790.560.56
vs Stronger (12)0.170.580.200.400.140.71
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.441.000.620.50
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L00D00D40W00D20W10W10W21WA·EST03/01A·FAF14/01A·TON18/01H·NOT22/01H·ALV25/01A·GO 29/01A·AVS02/02H·RIO08/02A·GIL14/02H·GUI21/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.401.380.310.650.47
vs Stronger (3)0.671.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (7)0.570.290.500.250.670.33
vs Weaker (20)1.150.351.750.250.750.42
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W12L11D01L30W12L00D01L03LH·TON15/12A·AVS21/12A·GUI02/01H·SAN11/01A·GIL17/01H·RIO25/01A·SPO01/02H·CAS08/02H·FC 15/02A·ARO21/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.031.071.070.501.00
vs Stronger (12)0.501.330.401.600.571.14
vs Similar (17)1.000.821.440.780.500.88
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Braga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SC BragaSC Braga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D11D10W10W10W00D20W20W02L11DA·EST03/01A·FAF14/01A·TON18/01H·NOT22/01H·ALV25/01A·GO 29/01A·AVS02/02H·RIO08/02A·GIL14/02H·GUI21/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.471.000.620.940.35
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (7)1.000.431.250.750.670.00
vs Weaker (20)1.000.451.000.501.000.42
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Braga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards91.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls70.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
SC Braga
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rodrigo Zalazar39%
Ricardo Horta39%
Pau Víctor27%
Roger Fernandes25%
Fran Navarro21%
Mario Dorgeles14%
Vítor Carvalho12%
Amine El Ouazzani11%
Gabriel Martínez10%
Florian Grillitsch10%
Demir Ege Tıknaz7%
Gustaf Lagerbielke5%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby5%
Diego Rodrigues3%
João Moutinho2%
Victor Gómez2%
Sikou Niakaté0%
Paulo Oliveira0%
Adrian Leon Barišić0%
Leonardo Lelo0%
Bright Arrey-Mbi0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Yanis da Rocha0%
Gabriel Moscardo0%
Sandro Vidigal0%
Luís Pinto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luís Pinto33%
Vítor Carvalho29%
Roger Fernandes25%
Sandro Vidigal25%
Sikou Niakaté22%
Gabriel Moscardo22%
Gustaf Lagerbielke21%
Demir Ege Tıknaz21%
Gabriel Martínez21%
Rodrigo Zalazar18%
Florian Grillitsch17%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby17%
Yanis da Rocha17%
Victor Gómez16%
Pau Víctor16%
Paulo Oliveira14%
João Moutinho13%
Ricardo Horta12%
Bright Arrey-Mbi11%
Fran Navarro10%
Lukáš Horníček9%
Diego Rodrigues7%
Amine El Ouazzani6%
Leonardo Lelo5%
Adrian Leon Barišić0%
Mario Dorgeles0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luís Pinto33%
Roger Fernandes25%
Victor Gómez18%
Rodrigo Zalazar16%
Ricardo Horta15%
Pau Víctor11%
Leonardo Lelo11%
Diego Rodrigues10%
Demir Ege Tıknaz7%
Florian Grillitsch7%
Gabriel Martínez5%
Vítor Carvalho4%
Mario Dorgeles4%
Fran Navarro2%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby2%
João Moutinho2%
Sikou Niakaté0%
Paulo Oliveira0%
Adrian Leon Barišić0%
Gustaf Lagerbielke0%
Bright Arrey-Mbi0%
Amine El Ouazzani0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Yanis da Rocha0%
Gabriel Moscardo0%
Sandro Vidigal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roger Fernandes50%
Rodrigo Zalazar18%
Ricardo Horta15%
Amine El Ouazzani11%
Mario Dorgeles11%
Pau Víctor9%
Gabriel Martínez5%
Fran Navarro5%
Gustaf Lagerbielke5%
João Moutinho2%
Victor Gómez2%
Florian Grillitsch0%
Vítor Carvalho0%
Sikou Niakaté0%
Paulo Oliveira0%
Adrian Leon Barišić0%
Leonardo Lelo0%
Bright Arrey-Mbi0%
Lukáš Horníček0%
Jean-Baptiste Gorby0%
Demir Ege Tıknaz0%
Diego Rodrigues0%
Yanis da Rocha0%
Gabriel Moscardo0%
Sandro Vidigal0%
Luís Pinto0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €145m less valuable than SC Braga's (€20m vs €165m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Nacional's attack is €35m less valuable than SC Braga's (€6m vs €41m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Nacional's midfield is €50m less valuable than SC Braga's (€5m vs €56m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €60m less valuable than SC Braga's (€9m vs €68m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
NAC wins
0
Draws
7
SB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs SC Braga · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25ASC Braga Vs NAC4-2
28/09/25ASC Braga Vs NAC0-1
21/02/25ASC Braga Vs NAC1-0
20/09/24HNAC Vs SC Braga0-3
28/02/21HNAC Vs SC Braga1-2
17/10/20ASC Braga Vs NAC2-1
18/01/19HNAC Vs SC Braga0-3
12/08/18ASC Braga Vs NAC4-2

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26AArouca Vs NAC3-0
15/02/26HNAC Vs FC Porto0-1
08/02/26HNAC Vs Casa Pia0-0
01/02/26ASporting CP Vs NAC2-1
25/01/26HNAC Vs Rio Ave4-0
17/01/26AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
11/01/26HNAC Vs Santa Clara3-3
02/01/26AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-1
21/12/25AAVS Vs NAC2-2
15/12/25HNAC Vs Tondela3-1

SC BragaSC Braga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HSB Vs Guimaraes3-2
14/02/26AGIL Vicente Vs SB2-1
08/02/26HSB Vs Rio Ave3-0
02/02/26AAVS Vs SB0-4
29/01/26AGO Ahead Eagles Vs SB0-0
25/01/26HSB Vs Alverca5-0
22/01/26HSB Vs Nottingham Forest1-0
18/01/26ATondela Vs SB0-1
14/01/26AFafe Vs SB2-1
03/01/26AEstrela Vs SB3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.00
HomeWDWDL1.21
AwayDLLLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals2.682.922.46
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %54%62%46%
Over 3.5 %26%38%15%
Scored1.161.420.92
Conceded1.521.501.54
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners10.4210.969.88
Cards5.255.964.54
SC Braga
SC Braga
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.96
HomeDWWWW2.17
AwayLWDWL1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%48%
AVG goals2.723.092.41
Over 1.5 %74%74%74%
Over 2.5 %52%57%48%
Over 3.5 %28%39%19%
Scored1.902.221.63
Conceded0.820.870.78
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet46%43%48%
Corners8.298.058.50
Cards4.364.094.61

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches