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Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon Result & Analysis

Date: 02/01/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 1-2
Newport County
Newport County
Vs
24%
28%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
England: League Two
Referee: W Finnie
Match preview & prediction

Newport County face a clear disadvantage as the model favours an AFC Wimbledon win, with a 48% chance of victory against the 24% home-side win and 28% draw probabilities. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.4% probability. Newport’s home form shows they average 1.27 goals scored and 1.64 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Wimbledon’s away record yields 1.42 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 83.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 78.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 76.1%, Under 3.5 at 75.0%, Under 11.5 corners at 74.4%, Over 1.5 at 73.2%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.2%. The match is likely to see a tight contest, but the odds lean decisively toward Wimbledon, who are riding a recent win and have a stronger away scoring edge.

Results analysis

Newport County were still rattled after a recent defeat, while AFC Wimbledon entered the match on a win, a contrast that set the stage for the model’s prediction. The model called an away win with a 48% probability, and the result was a 1-2 victory for Wimbledon, confirming the pick. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.4%, but the game settled on 1-2, the model’s chosen outcome. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls (83.1%) missed, Under 5.5 cards (78.6%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (76.1%) hit, Under 3.5 (75.0%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (74.4%) hit, Over 1.5 (73.2%) hit, and Over 21.5 fouls (70.2%) missed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newport County win✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.48
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.68
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon win✓ Hit
48.1%
Avg Implied 53.7% · @ 1.74
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Newport CountyNewport County

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D24L12L00D00D22D00D63W25L02LH·FLE26/10H·PET02/11A·TRA09/11H·GRI16/11A·NOT23/11A·AFC03/12A·COL14/12H·MIL21/12A·BRO26/12A·WAL29/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.031.572.000.812.06
vs Stronger (7)1.573.002.673.330.752.75
vs Similar (22)1.051.821.271.640.822.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L20W12L22D30W10W01L11D10WH·ACC19/11H·WAL23/11A·TRA26/11H·DAG30/11H·NEW03/12A·HAR07/12H·DON14/12A·CHE21/12H·SWI26/12H·GIL30/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.032.000.931.271.13
vs Stronger (6)1.331.002.001.330.670.67
vs Similar (22)1.551.141.701.001.421.25
vs Weaker (2)3.500.003.500.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Newport County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.94-2.0%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.83+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
0-1
10.9%
1-2 ✓
9.3%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
9.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
4.7%
Newport County goals ↓
AFC Wimbledon goals →
01234
09.1%11%9.2%4.7%1.8%
16.8%13%9.3%4.7%1.8%
24.0%6.1%4.7%2.4%0.9%
31.4%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newport County goals (down), columns = AFC Wimbledon goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Doncaster
1.83
Port Vale
1.74
Bradford
1.70
Walsall
1.67
AFC Wimbledon
1.59
Notts County
1.57
Chesterfield
1.52
Salford
1.50
Grimsby
1.48
Colchester
1.46
Bromley
1.43
Swindon
1.35
Crewe
1.35
Fleetwood Town
1.30
Cheltenham
1.30
Barrow
1.28
Gillingham
1.26
Harrogate
1.15
Milton Keynes Dons
1.13
Tranmere
1.11
Accrington
1.09
Newport County
1.07
Carlisle
0.91
Morecambe
0.78
Newport County is 0.52 points worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.59).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Walsall
1.63
Doncaster
1.59
Chesterfield
1.59
Swindon
1.54
Notts County
1.48
Port Vale
1.41
Bromley
1.39
Bradford
1.39
Salford
1.39
Grimsby
1.33
Fleetwood Town
1.30
Cheltenham
1.30
AFC Wimbledon
1.22
Accrington
1.15
Colchester
1.13
Milton Keynes Dons
1.13
Newport County
1.13
Barrow
1.13
Crewe
1.07
Tranmere
0.98
Carlisle
0.96
Harrogate
0.93
Gillingham
0.89
Morecambe
0.87
Newport County is 0.09 goals worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 1.22).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AFC Wimbledon
0.76
Bradford
0.98
Port Vale
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Colchester
1.02
Crewe
1.04
Notts County
1.07
Doncaster
1.09
Barrow
1.09
Walsall
1.17
Salford
1.17
Chesterfield
1.17
Bromley
1.28
Fleetwood Town
1.30
Harrogate
1.33
Swindon
1.37
Tranmere
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.43
Grimsby
1.46
Accrington
1.50
Cheltenham
1.52
Carlisle
1.54
Morecambe
1.57
Newport County
1.65
Newport County is 0.89 goals worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Notts County
62%
Chesterfield
61%
Milton Keynes Dons
60%
Carlisle
53%
Swindon
52%
Salford
52%
Doncaster
52%
Tranmere
52%
Colchester
51%
Port Vale
51%
Bradford
51%
Crewe
50%
AFC Wimbledon
49%
Gillingham
49%
Grimsby
49%
Fleetwood Town
47%
Barrow
47%
Newport County
47%
Cheltenham
45%
Morecambe
45%
Accrington
45%
Walsall
44%
Harrogate
43%
Bromley
42%
Newport County is 2.3 percentage points worse than AFC Wimbledon in terms of average possession (47% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Newport CountyNewport County

For 2.2 · Against 7.3 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

12026210293871104327649812111171179109A·WALA·BROH·MILA·COLA·AFCA·NOTH·GRIA·TRAH·FLEA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

7013132333343213224045337544A·WALA·BROH·MILA·COLA·AFCA·NOTH·GRIA·TRAH·FLEA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

2906129159161013101714915141216111014818242523272329282122A·WALA·BROH·MILA·COLA·AFCA·NOTH·GRIA·TRAH·FLEA·GIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon

For 4.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

130173564529272485255688107117613711H·GILH·SWIA·CHEH·DONA·HARH·NEWA·TRAH·WALH·ACCA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

802422235123142544426248335786H·GILH·SWIA·CHEH·DONA·HARH·NEWA·TRAH·WALH·ACCA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

3001213128181211139917101411121681912725203024182725282719H·GILH·SWIA·CHEH·DONA·HARH·NEWA·TRAH·WALH·ACCA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Newport CountyNewport County

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.79.53.74.23.322.923.022.8
vs Stronger (12)11.011.510.73.23.82.921.922.821.3
vs Similar (35)9.19.19.03.84.33.323.423.223.6
vs Weaker (3)11.013.010.04.34.04.520.320.020.5
% over line52%55%50%58%65%52%65%64%65%
% under line48%45%50%42%35%48%35%36%35%
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.09.14.24.83.623.823.724.0
vs Stronger (11)7.38.56.83.03.03.026.925.027.6
vs Similar (35)9.18.99.44.75.33.923.523.623.3
vs Weaker (4)11.09.316.03.84.03.021.823.317.0
% over line47%38%57%58%65%50%67%71%62%
% under line53%62%43%42%35%50%33%29%38%
This opponent (Newport County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Fleetwood Town
11.1
Notts County
10.9
Harrogate
10.8
Tranmere
10.8
Morecambe
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Doncaster
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Bromley
10.3
Grimsby
10.2
Swindon
10.0
Bradford
9.9
Colchester
9.9
Crewe
9.9
Accrington
9.8
Chesterfield
9.8
Salford
9.8
Cheltenham
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Carlisle
9.6
Barrow
9.5
Gillingham
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Salford
4.7
Crewe
4.7
Bradford
4.6
Barrow
4.6
AFC Wimbledon
4.6
Colchester
4.4
Tranmere
4.4
Chesterfield
4.3
Accrington
4.2
Notts County
4.2
Doncaster
4.2
Morecambe
4.2
Gillingham
4.2
Milton Keynes Dons
4.1
Carlisle
4.0
Grimsby
4.0
Cheltenham
4.0
Port Vale
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.8
Newport County
3.7
Walsall
3.6
Bromley
3.6
Swindon
3.3
Harrogate
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Salford
24.7
Grimsby
24.6
Accrington
24.3
Doncaster
24.1
Cheltenham
24.1
Bradford
23.9
AFC Wimbledon
23.6
Chesterfield
23.5
Morecambe
23.3
Crewe
23.0
Colchester
23.0
Milton Keynes Dons
22.9
Barrow
22.9
Newport County
22.8
Bromley
22.0
Gillingham
21.9
Fleetwood Town
21.5
Tranmere
21.5
Port Vale
21.3
Carlisle
21.3
Swindon
21.1
Walsall
21.0
Harrogate
20.8
Notts County
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.6%
Under 3.5
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
70.2%
Under 21.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newport CountyNewport County

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D21W01L00D00D12L00D41W02L00DH·FLE26/10H·PET02/11A·TRA09/11H·GRI16/11A·NOT23/11A·AFC03/12A·COL14/12H·MIL21/12A·BRO26/12A·WAL29/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.030.930.860.381.19
vs Stronger (7)0.861.142.001.000.001.25
vs Similar (22)0.551.050.640.820.451.27
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W11D21W20W10W01L01L00DH·ACC19/11H·WAL23/11A·TRA26/11H·DAG30/11H·NEW03/12A·HAR07/12H·DON14/12A·CHE21/12H·SWI26/12H·GIL30/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.571.000.530.470.60
vs Stronger (6)0.670.501.000.670.330.33
vs Similar (22)0.680.640.900.600.500.67
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Newport County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newport County over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newport County over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newport County over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Newport CountyNewport County

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L11D00D00D10W00D22D23L02LH·FLE26/10H·PET02/11A·TRA09/11H·GRI16/11A·NOT23/11A·AFC03/12A·COL14/12H·MIL21/12A·BRO26/12A·WAL29/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.000.641.140.440.88
vs Stronger (7)0.711.860.672.330.751.50
vs Similar (22)0.500.770.640.820.360.73
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (AFC Wimbledon) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D01L10W01L01L10W00D00D10W10WH·ACC19/11H·WAL23/11A·TRA26/11H·DAG30/11H·NEW03/12A·HAR07/12H·DON14/12A·CHE21/12H·SWI26/12H·GIL30/12
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.471.000.400.800.53
vs Stronger (6)0.670.501.000.670.330.33
vs Similar (22)0.860.500.800.400.920.58
vs Weaker (2)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Newport County) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newport County over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newport County over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newport County over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AFC Wimbledon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards78.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners74.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.2%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newport County · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Shaquille Gwengwe67%
Harrison Biggins33%
Yahya Bamba33%
Christian Doidge0%
Cameron Norman0%
Lee Jenkins0%
Kyle Cameron0%
Jordan Wright0%
Ciaran Brennan0%
Cameron Evans0%
Dan Sassi0%
Alfie Merritt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Doidge33%
Ciaran Brennan33%
Harrison Biggins0%
Cameron Norman0%
Lee Jenkins0%
Kyle Cameron0%
Jordan Wright0%
Cameron Evans0%
Dan Sassi0%
Yahya Bamba0%
Shaquille Gwengwe0%
Alfie Merritt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian Doidge33%
Harrison Biggins33%
Shaquille Gwengwe33%
Alfie Merritt33%
Cameron Norman0%
Lee Jenkins0%
Kyle Cameron0%
Jordan Wright0%
Ciaran Brennan0%
Cameron Evans0%
Dan Sassi0%
Yahya Bamba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harrison Biggins33%
Christian Doidge0%
Cameron Norman0%
Lee Jenkins0%
Kyle Cameron0%
Jordan Wright0%
Ciaran Brennan0%
Cameron Evans0%
Dan Sassi0%
Yahya Bamba0%
Shaquille Gwengwe0%
Alfie Merritt0%
AFC Wimbledon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathew Stevens50%
Josh Kelly33%
Omar Bugiel25%
Joe Pigott25%
Alistair Smith0%
James Ball0%
Callum Maycock0%
Josh Neufville0%
James Furlong0%
James Tilley0%
Ryan Johnson0%
Joe Lewis0%
Huseyin Biler0%
Owen Goodman0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Johnson67%
Callum Maycock33%
Joe Lewis33%
Omar Bugiel25%
James Tilley25%
Huseyin Biler25%
Alistair Smith0%
James Ball0%
Josh Kelly0%
Josh Neufville0%
Mathew Stevens0%
Joe Pigott0%
James Furlong0%
Owen Goodman0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
James Furlong25%
Alistair Smith0%
James Ball0%
Callum Maycock0%
Omar Bugiel0%
Josh Kelly0%
Josh Neufville0%
Mathew Stevens0%
Joe Pigott0%
James Tilley0%
Ryan Johnson0%
Joe Lewis0%
Huseyin Biler0%
Owen Goodman0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Kelly33%
Mathew Stevens25%
Joe Pigott25%
James Tilley25%
Alistair Smith0%
James Ball0%
Callum Maycock0%
Omar Bugiel0%
Josh Neufville0%
James Furlong0%
Ryan Johnson0%
Joe Lewis0%
Huseyin Biler0%
Owen Goodman0%
Isaac Ogundere0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (24)
€15m
SAL (26)
€8m
BRA (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Newport County's squad is €3m less valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (8)
€5m
BRA (9)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Newport County's attack is €2m less valuable than AFC Wimbledon's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MKD (6)
€7m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BRO (6)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Newport County and AFC Wimbledon have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PV (11)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Newport County and AFC Wimbledon have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
NC wins
4
Draws
0
AW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newport County vs AFC Wimbledon · H/A from NC
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/24AAFC Wimbledon Vs NC2-2
16/03/24AAFC Wimbledon Vs NC0-2
02/09/23HNC Vs AFC Wimbledon2-2
14/03/23HNC Vs AFC Wimbledon1-1
26/12/22AAFC Wimbledon Vs NC1-1

Newport CountyNewport County

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/24AWalsall Vs NC2-0
26/12/24ABromley Vs NC5-2
21/12/24HNC Vs Milton Keynes Dons6-3
14/12/24AColchester Vs NC0-0
03/12/24AAFC Wimbledon Vs NC2-2
23/11/24ANotts County Vs NC0-0
16/11/24HNC Vs Grimsby0-0
09/11/24ATranmere Vs NC2-1
02/11/24HNC Vs Peterboro2-4
26/10/24HNC Vs Fleetwood Town0-0

AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/24HAW Vs Gillingham1-0
26/12/24HAW Vs Swindon1-1
21/12/24AChesterfield Vs AW1-0
14/12/24HAW Vs Doncaster1-0
07/12/24AHarrogate Vs AW0-3
03/12/24HAW Vs Newport County2-2
30/11/24HAW Vs Dagenham & Redbridge1-2
26/11/24ATranmere Vs AW0-2
23/11/24HAW Vs Walsall0-1
19/11/24HAW Vs Accrington2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newport County
Newport County
England: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLL1.12
HomeLDLDW1.48
AwayDDDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%43%22%
AVG goals3.003.392.67
Over 1.5 %72%74%70%
Over 2.5 %56%65%48%
Over 3.5 %38%48%30%
Scored1.281.650.96
Conceded1.721.741.70
BTTS52%65%41%
Clean Sheet22%17%26%
Corners9.589.739.46
Cards3.834.363.38
AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
England: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.48
HomeLDWDW1.88
AwayWWWWL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%29%
AVG goals2.402.622.17
Over 1.5 %64%65%62%
Over 2.5 %36%42%29%
Over 3.5 %24%27%21%
Scored1.381.731.00
Conceded1.020.881.17
BTTS38%42%33%
Clean Sheet36%42%29%
Corners9.028.969.10
Cards4.695.174.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DoncasterDoncaster4684
52%
1.8
7350+23
2.7
78%
54%
22%
10.7
50%
3.9
54%
24.1
72%
7
2231.61.1
52%
2Port ValePort Vale4680
48%
1.7
6546+19
2.4
63%
43%
26%
9.8
48%
3.9
57%
22.4
54%
7
2231.41.0
51%
3BradfordBradford4678
48%
1.7
6445+19
2.4
67%
46%
15%
9.3
41%
4.8
70%
24.2
59%
7
3131.41.0
51%
4WalsallWalsall4677
46%
1.7
7554+21
2.8
74%
50%
39%
10.0
57%
3.9
50%
21.2
37%
3
1121.61.2
44%
5AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4673
43%
1.6
5635+21
2.0
54%
33%
15%
9.3
50%
4.1
57%
23.5
65%
5
2121.20.8
49%
6Notts CountyNotts County4672
43%
1.6
6849+19
2.5
78%
46%
20%
9.7
48%
3.8
48%
21.3
48%
6
2221.51.1
62%
7ChesterfieldChesterfield4670
41%
1.5
7354+19
2.8
76%
57%
26%
9.9
54%
4.3
70%
22.0
50%
6
3121.61.2
61%
8SalfordSalford4669
39%
1.5
6454+10
2.6
78%
48%
26%
9.2
46%
4.4
65%
24.8
70%
8
3231.41.2
52%
9GrimsbyGrimsby4668
43%
1.5
6167-6
2.8
76%
59%
30%
9.8
54%
4.4
63%
24.7
72%
4
1021.31.5
49%
10ColchesterColchester4667
35%
1.5
5247+5
2.2
65%
35%
17%
9.2
41%
4.6
78%
24.6
76%
4
1021.11.0
51%
11BromleyBromley4666
37%
1.4
6459+5
2.7
74%
46%
26%
10.5
57%
3.9
59%
21.2
48%
4
1121.41.3
42%
12SwindonSwindon4662
33%
1.3
7163+8
2.9
76%
54%
41%
9.8
52%
3.5
48%
21.4
50%
4
2111.51.4
52%
13CreweCrewe4662
33%
1.3
4948+1
2.1
67%
30%
15%
9.7
46%
4.4
63%
24.5
70%
4
2111.11.0
50%
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town4660
33%
1.3
6060+0
2.6
70%
48%
33%
9.6
57%
4.0
54%
22.4
59%
3
1111.31.3
47%
15CheltenhamCheltenham4660
35%
1.3
6070-10
2.8
80%
52%
26%
9.8
59%
3.6
52%
24.6
74%
3
1111.31.5
45%
16BarrowBarrow4659
33%
1.3
5250+2
2.2
67%
37%
17%
9.9
52%
4.3
59%
22.2
52%
2
0111.11.1
47%
17GillinghamGillingham4658
30%
1.3
4146-5
1.9
59%
28%
9%
7.8
28%
4.6
61%
24.3
72%
3
1210.91.0
49%
18HarrogateHarrogate4653
30%
1.2
4361-18
2.3
67%
41%
15%
10.8
59%
3.2
41%
22.0
57%
1
0100.91.3
43%
19Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons4652
30%
1.1
5266-14
2.6
70%
50%
20%
8.4
37%
3.7
48%
23.8
61%
15
5731.11.4
60%
20TranmereTranmere4651
26%
1.1
4565-20
2.4
74%
43%
22%
8.9
39%
4.3
70%
22.8
54%
4
1111.01.4
52%
21AccringtonAccrington4650
26%
1.1
5369-16
2.7
74%
52%
26%
9.0
48%
5.0
74%
24.8
76%
2
1111.21.5
45%
22Newport CountyNewport County4649
28%
1.1
5276-24
2.8
74%
57%
33%
10.0
57%
3.7
52%
22.6
63%
2
0011.11.7
47%
23CarlisleCarlisle4642
22%
0.9
4471-27
2.5
67%
48%
26%
10.3
52%
4.6
65%
22.9
61%
0
0001.01.5
53%
24MorecambeMorecambe4636
22%
0.8
4072-32
2.4
61%
39%
24%
10.5
61%
3.8
52%
25.5
76%
0
0000.91.6
45%
England: League Two 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League Two stats & trends →

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