This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.80
1.67
0.80
1.27
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
1.08
1.00
0.80
1.00
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (16)
1.81
0.75
2.11
0.78
1.43
0.71
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.8%
Under 1.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.4%
Under 2.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.4%
Under 3.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
38.6%
No
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-1
15.9%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.0%
0-3 ✓
4.6%
2-1
4.6%
Niort goals ↓
Metz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
16%
11%
4.6%
1.5%
1
8.6%
14%
8.0%
3.4%
1.1%
2
3.6%
4.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
3
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niort goals (down), columns = Metz goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Metz
2.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.95
Estac Troyes
1.87
Paris FC
1.71
Lens
1.66
Lorient
1.66
Le Havre
1.42
Orleans
1.37
Grenoble
1.32
Clermont Foot
1.26
Chateauroux
1.26
Niort
1.24
Valenciennes
1.13
Nancy
1.11
Auxerre
1.08
Sochaux
1.08
Ajaccio
1.04
Beziers
1.00
Red Star
0.79
Niort is 0.89 points worse than Metz in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 2.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Brestois 29
1.68
Metz
1.58
Valenciennes
1.37
Orleans
1.34
Estac Troyes
1.34
Lorient
1.34
Lens
1.29
Le Havre
1.18
Clermont Foot
1.16
Grenoble
1.13
Chateauroux
0.97
Paris FC
0.95
Nancy
0.95
Auxerre
0.89
Niort
0.89
Beziers
0.87
Ajaccio
0.78
Red Star
0.74
Sochaux
0.71
Niort is 0.68 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals scored per game (0.89 vs 1.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris FC
0.58
Metz
0.61
Lens
0.74
Estac Troyes
0.74
Stade Brestois 29
0.92
Auxerre
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.97
Le Havre
1.05
Niort
1.08
Lorient
1.08
Chateauroux
1.11
Sochaux
1.13
Grenoble
1.24
Ajaccio
1.30
Beziers
1.32
Nancy
1.32
Orleans
1.39
Red Star
1.53
Valenciennes
1.61
Niort is 0.47 goals worse than Metz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Niort
For 3.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metz
For 5.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 11.1 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Niort
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.6
4.2
3.7
4.6
27.8
26.4
29.0
vs Stronger (23)
9.6
10.4
8.9
3.8
3.3
4.2
24.3
24.7
24.0
vs Similar (27)
9.5
8.6
10.3
4.5
4.1
4.9
30.8
27.9
33.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
48%
48%
56%
48%
63%
86%
85%
87%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
44%
52%
37%
14%
15%
13%
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
10.3
8.7
4.1
4.5
3.6
26.1
26.7
25.4
vs Stronger (11)
9.7
11.8
8.6
4.1
4.0
4.1
27.1
28.8
26.1
vs Similar (21)
9.5
11.0
7.9
3.8
4.2
3.4
25.7
26.1
25.2
vs Weaker (18)
9.4
9.0
9.9
4.3
5.1
3.4
25.9
26.6
25.0
% over line
48%
52%
44%
46%
56%
36%
84%
84%
84%
% under line
52%
48%
56%
54%
44%
64%
16%
16%
16%
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Chateauroux
10.5
Le Havre
10.5
Stade Brestois 29
10.2
Estac Troyes
10.0
Lens
9.8
Niort
9.5
Metz
9.5
Auxerre
9.5
Clermont Foot
9.4
Sochaux
9.3
Grenoble
9.2
Lorient
9.0
Orleans
8.9
Valenciennes
8.8
Ajaccio
8.6
Red Star
8.5
Beziers
8.3
Nancy
8.2
Paris FC
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beziers
4.9
Lorient
4.6
Ajaccio
4.6
Valenciennes
4.2
Nancy
4.2
Niort
4.2
Orleans
4.2
Paris FC
4.1
Metz
4.1
Lens
4.0
Stade Brestois 29
3.9
Sochaux
3.8
Red Star
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Clermont Foot
3.7
Estac Troyes
3.7
Le Havre
3.7
Chateauroux
3.3
Auxerre
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lorient
30.8
Sochaux
30.5
Beziers
29.9
Nancy
29.5
Valenciennes
29.2
Ajaccio
29.2
Paris FC
29.1
Le Havre
29.0
Chateauroux
28.9
Lens
28.5
Niort
27.8
Stade Brestois 29
27.8
Grenoble
27.4
Red Star
27.3
Orleans
26.8
Metz
26.1
Estac Troyes
25.9
Auxerre
25.6
Clermont Foot
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
79.0%
Under 21.5
21.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Niort
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.47
0.50
0.29
0.38
0.62
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.71
0.86
0.57
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.25
0.25
0.14
0.00
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.40
0.53
0.33
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.58
0.40
0.40
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (16)
0.50
0.31
0.67
0.33
0.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niort over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Niort
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
0.71
0.43
0.43
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.44
0.71
0.57
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Metz) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Metz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.40
1.13
0.47
0.93
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.42
0.40
0.60
0.86
0.29
vs Weaker (16)
1.31
0.44
1.44
0.44
1.14
0.43
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Niort) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niort over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niort over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Niort · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bilal Boutobba29%
Moataz Zemzemi17%
Nesta Elphege17%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Amadou Sagna11%
Junior Olaitan9%
Samuel Renel8%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Bryan Passi5%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Lenny Vallier4%
Yanis Merdji4%
Samy Benchama3%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Landry Manga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Charles Kabore30%
Dylan Durivaux21%
Bilal Boutobba17%
Joris Moutachy15%
Ibrahima Sory Conté14%
Moataz Zemzemi13%
Junior Flemmings12%
Oumar Ngom12%
Junior Olaitan12%
Quentin Bernard12%
Lenny Vallier11%
Yanis Merdji11%
Bryan Passi11%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo7%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama6%
Samy Benchama6%
Kevin Rocheteau6%
Amadou Sagna5%
Samuel Renel4%
Mathieu Michel3%
Jean Louchet0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Ryan Bakayoko0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Landry Manga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amadou Sagna14%
Bilal Boutobba11%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Junior Olaitan9%
Charles Kabore7%
Ibrahima Sory Conté5%
Samuel Renel4%
Moataz Zemzemi3%
Quentin Bernard0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Yanis Merdji0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Junior Flemmings0%
Samy Benchama0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bilal Boutobba20%
Junior Olaitan18%
Junior Flemmings12%
Ryan Bakayoko9%
Amadou Sagna5%
Yanis Merdji4%
Charles Kabore0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Ibrahima Sory Conté0%
Guy-Marcelin Kilama0%
Mathieu Michel0%
Jean Louchet0%
Bryan Passi0%
Moataz Zemzemi0%
Lenny Vallier0%
Kevin Rocheteau0%
Samy Benchama0%
Samuel Renel0%
Joris Moutachy0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Tyron Tormin0%
Godwin Bentil0%
Bradley Matufueni M'bondo0%
Nacim El Hassani0%
Nesta Elphege0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Landry Manga0%
Metz · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Idris Mohamed67%
Nampalys Mendy25%
Florian Miguel25%
Jessy Deminguet25%
Pape Moussa Fall25%
Jean Ruiz0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jessy Deminguet25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Giorgi Abuashvili0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Pape Moussa Fall0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pape Moussa Fall50%
Giorgi Abuashvili25%
Nampalys Mendy0%
Jean Ruiz0%
Florian Miguel0%
Jessy Deminguet0%
Jonathan Fischer0%
Cristian Castro0%
Ibou Sane0%
Idris Mohamed0%
Believe Munongo0%
Hamza Kadamani0%
Nathan Mbala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ajaccio
Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
Paris FC
Lens
Lorient
Le Havre
Orleans
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Chateauroux
Valenciennes
Nancy
Auxerre
Sochaux