Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.71
0.57
0.56
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.00
1.25
0.75
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.59
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Varazdin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.50
0.38
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.80
0.20
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.40
0.36
0.45
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.50
0.57
1.00
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.86
0.68
0.50
0.60
1.17
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NK Varazdin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.56
0.31
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.50
0.60
0.60
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.30
0.55
0.18
0.22
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Lokomotiva Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aleks StojakoviÄ24%
Marko PajaÄ20%
David Virgili Fernandez20%
Fabijan Krivak18%
Cheick Mbacke Diop17%
Ibrahim Sabra15%
Leon Belcar14%
Mody Boune14%
Mirko SuŔak13%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ12%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ11%
Aleksandar Trajkovski10%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj8%
Domagoj AntoliÄ8%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ4%
Marin Leovac0%
Mario Å itum0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Josip Posavec0%
Denis Kolinger0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Luka DajÄer0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan KatiÄ40%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ30%
Marko PajaÄ27%
Denis Kolinger23%
Cheick Mbacke Diop20%
Luka DajÄer17%
Cheick Mbacke Diop17%
Domagoj AntoliÄ15%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ15%
Tino JukiÄ15%
Aleks StojakoviÄ15%
Leon Belcar14%
Mody Boune14%
Marin Leovac12%
Marcel Lorber10%
Mirko SuŔak9%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ8%
Mario Å itum6%
Josip Posavec6%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj4%
Mihael Žaper0%
Aleksandar Trajkovski0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
David Virgili Fernandez0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Fabijan Krivak0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ibrahim Sabra0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Trajkovski20%
Marko PajaÄ17%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ15%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj8%
Domagoj AntoliÄ8%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ8%
Ibrahim Sabra8%
Leon Belcar7%
Matija SubotiÄ6%
Fabijan Krivak6%
Aleks StojakoviÄ6%
Mirko SuŔak4%
Marin Leovac0%
Mario Å itum0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Josip Posavec0%
Denis Kolinger0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
David Virgili Fernandez0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Luka DajÄer0%
Mody Boune0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahim Sabra23%
David Virgili Fernandez20%
Aleks StojakoviÄ15%
DuÅ”an VukoviÄ12%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ7%
Fabijan Krivak6%
Tino JukiÄ4%
Denis Kolinger3%
Marin Leovac0%
Mario Å itum0%
Mihael Žaper0%
Josip Posavec0%
Marko PajaÄ0%
Aleksandar Trajkovski0%
Domagoj AntoliÄ0%
Marko VeÅ”oviÄ0%
Hubert Sobol0%
Dimitrije KamenoviÄ0%
Silvio GoriÄan0%
Blaž BoÅ”koviÄ0%
Jakov-Anton Vasilj0%
Tino JukiÄ0%
Luka DajÄer0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mody Boune0%
Marcel Lorber0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka SavatoviÄ0%
Franjo Posavac0%
Ivan KatiÄ0%
Matija SubotiÄ0%
Noa Godec0%
Anes HuskiÄ0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Mirko SuŔak0%
Cheick Mbacke Diop0%
Pavle SmiljaniÄ0%
Teodor Kralevski0%
NK Varazdin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Mamut33%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ33%
Luka MamiÄ25%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ24%
Iuri Tavares20%
Stipe JuriÄ17%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ13%
Matej Vuk11%
Mateo BaraÄ10%
Sven Lesjak9%
David Puclin5%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ4%
Mario Marina4%
Tomislav Duvnjak3%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Petar BoÄkaj0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Frane Maglica0%
Lamine Ba0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Marko Dabro0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Gregor SikoŔek0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Iuri Tavares0%
Mario Mladenovski0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip SiliÄ50%
Ivan Mamut33%
Roberto PunÄec32%
Lamine Ba29%
Leon Belcar27%
Tomislav Duvnjak24%
Mario Mladenovski24%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ22%
Iuri Tavares20%
Gregor SikoŔek18%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ18%
Vane Jovanov17%
Matej Vuk14%
Ivan Canjuga12%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ12%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ10%
Petar BoÄkaj9%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ9%
Sven Lesjak9%
Frane Maglica9%
Iuri Tavares8%
Mario Marina7%
Luka MamiÄ7%
Oliver Zelenika6%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Marko Dabro0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rufat Abdullazada25%
Frane Maglica22%
Iuri Tavares20%
Ivan Canjuga18%
Ivan Mamut17%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ15%
Marko Dabro14%
Gregor SikoŔek9%
Tomislav Duvnjak6%
Mario Mladenovski5%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ5%
Iuri Tavares4%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ4%
Matej Vuk4%
Luka MamiÄ4%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Petar BoÄkaj0%
Mario Marina0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Lamine Ba0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Sven Lesjak0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa LatkoviÄ24%
Ivan Mamut21%
Marko Dabro14%
Luka MamiÄ14%
Leon Belcar13%
Petar BoÄkaj9%
Lamine Ba7%
Iuri Tavares4%
Mario Marina4%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Matej Vuk0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Frane Maglica0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Gregor SikoŔek0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Iuri Tavares0%
Mario Mladenovski0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ0%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Sven Lesjak0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's squad is €1m less valuable than NK Varazdin's (€10m vs €11m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's attack is €3m less valuable than NK Varazdin's (€3m vs €6m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb's midfield is €2m more valuable than NK Varazdin's (€3m vs €1m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and NK Varazdin have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →