Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.87
0.43
0.79
0.38
0.94
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.89
0.00
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.86
0.60
0.70
0.36
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.37
1.06
0.25
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.22
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
1.16
0.37
1.36
0.27
0.88
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.90
0.71
0.36
0.75
1.38
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.56
0.00
0.25
0.80
2.60
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.62
1.00
0.40
0.73
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.43
1.56
0.44
0.79
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.56
1.50
0.50
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (19)
1.37
0.37
1.64
0.45
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
NK Slaven Belupo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Crnac60%
Benedik MioÄ26%
Arber Hoxha24%
Tomislav Å trkalj16%
Ivan Lepinjica14%
Matej Å akota12%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ10%
Robert MuriÄ9%
Ante Å uto8%
Vinko MeÄimorec7%
Samuel Nongoh6%
Bujar Pllana6%
Tomislav BožiÄ6%
Mihail Caimacov5%
Daniel Å tefulj3%
Adrian Liber0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Antun MarkoviÄ0%
Filip Hlevnjak0%
Marko Martinaga0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Ivan SuŔak0%
Bautista Cascini0%
Luka Racic0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Lumala Abdu0%
Dilan OrtĆz0%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta0%
Arb Manaj0%
Marco Boras0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
UroÅ” MrdakoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Agbekpornu50%
Ivan Lepinjica45%
Marko Martinaga38%
Bujar Pllana35%
Ivan ÄoviÄ33%
Tomislav BožiÄ33%
Arb Manaj33%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta22%
Ante Crnac20%
Antonio Bosec19%
Arber Hoxha18%
Daniel Å tefulj17%
Ante Å uto17%
Vinko MeÄimorec14%
Dilan OrtĆz14%
Tomislav Å trkalj13%
Luka Racic12%
Samuel Nongoh12%
Matej Å akota12%
Bautista Cascini11%
Ivan SuŔak11%
Filip Hlevnjak10%
Benedik MioÄ10%
Adrian Liber8%
Marco Boras6%
Robert MuriÄ0%
Antun MarkoviÄ0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Lumala Abdu0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
UroÅ” MrdakoviÄ0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mihail Caimacov26%
Tomislav Å trkalj23%
Benedik MioÄ19%
Antonio Bosec13%
Marko Martinaga12%
Bautista Cascini11%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta11%
Robert MuriÄ9%
Ante Å uto8%
Michael Agbekpornu8%
Arber Hoxha6%
Daniel Å tefulj3%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Antun MarkoviÄ0%
Filip Hlevnjak0%
Vinko MeÄimorec0%
Ivan SuŔak0%
Luka Racic0%
Tomislav BožiÄ0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Lumala Abdu0%
Dilan OrtĆz0%
Arb Manaj0%
Marco Boras0%
Bujar Pllana0%
Samuel Nongoh0%
Ante Crnac0%
Matej Å akota0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
UroÅ” MrdakoviÄ0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Arber Hoxha29%
Tomislav Å trkalj23%
Ante Crnac20%
Benedik MioÄ16%
Dilan OrtĆz14%
Bautista Cascini11%
Ivan Lepinjica5%
Matej Å akota4%
Daniel Å tefulj3%
Marco Boras3%
Adrian Liber0%
Robert MuriÄ0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Antun MarkoviÄ0%
Filip Hlevnjak0%
Marko Martinaga0%
Vinko MeÄimorec0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Ivan SuŔak0%
Luka Racic0%
Tomislav BožiÄ0%
Florian Kamberi0%
Lumala Abdu0%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta0%
Arb Manaj0%
Bujar Pllana0%
Samuel Nongoh0%
Ante Å uto0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
UroÅ” MrdakoviÄ0%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ0%
HNK Rijeka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Niko JankoviÄ24%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ22%
Mirko MariÄ20%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Jorge Obregón19%
Marko Pjaca19%
Bruno Goda14%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ14%
Lindon Selahi12%
Franjo IvanoviÄ12%
Veldin Hodža9%
Alen GrgiÄ9%
Toni Fruk9%
Matej MitroviÄ7%
Bruno BogojeviÄ7%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ3%
Emir Dilaver0%
Momo Yansane0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Dejan PetroviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Lepinjica67%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ33%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ31%
Lindon Selahi25%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ23%
Marijan Äabraja22%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Veldin Hodža18%
Danilo Veiga18%
Bruno Goda18%
Emir Dilaver18%
Toni Fruk17%
Niko JankoviÄ15%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ14%
Emmanuel Banda14%
Bruno BogojeviÄ13%
Jorge Obregón12%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ12%
Franjo IvanoviÄ9%
Nediljko LabroviÄ8%
Marko Pjaca7%
Matej MitroviÄ7%
Dejan PetroviÄ5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Momo Yansane0%
Mirko MariÄ0%
Adrian Liber0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Fruk37%
Ivan Lepinjica33%
NƤis Djouahra20%
Mirko MariÄ13%
Niko JankoviÄ12%
Momo Yansane11%
Marijan Äabraja11%
Marko Pjaca11%
Matej MitroviÄ11%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ6%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ6%
Veldin Hodža6%
Dejan PetroviÄ5%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Bruno Goda4%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ3%
Lindon Selahi3%
Franjo IvanoviÄ3%
Nediljko LabroviÄ3%
Emir Dilaver0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franjo IvanoviÄ31%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ31%
Niko JankoviÄ27%
Marko Pjaca19%
Mirko MariÄ13%
Toni Fruk11%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ10%
Emmanuel Banda5%
Alen GrgiÄ4%
Bruno Goda4%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ3%
Veldin Hodža3%
Matej MitroviÄ0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Momo Yansane0%
Jorge Obregón0%
Ivan Lepinjica0%
Adrian Liber0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Marijan Äabraja0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Nediljko LabroviÄ0%
Andrija VukÄeviÄ0%
NƤis Djouahra0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Dejan PetroviÄ0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
NK Slaven Belupo's squad is €26m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€8m vs €34m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
NK Slaven Belupo's attack is €18m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€3m vs €21m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo's midfield is €4m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€2m vs €5m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo's defence is €5m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€3m vs €8m).
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →