Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.00
0.36
0.79
0.50
1.19
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.60
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (20)
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.89
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
1.12
0.12
0.29
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.58
0.57
0.29
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.94
0.22
1.56
0.00
0.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
1.00
0.50
0.62
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.50
0.80
1.00
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.50
1.11
0.22
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Rijeka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Rijeka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.33
1.12
0.19
0.64
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.67
0.57
0.43
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
0.11
1.56
0.00
0.89
0.22
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Rijeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
NK Slaven Belupo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilija Nestorovski27%
Alen GrgiÄ24%
Ante Å uto20%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ11%
Ivan DolÄek10%
Dominik MartinoviÄ10%
Karlo ButiÄ9%
Matej Å akota9%
Adrian Liber7%
Tomislav BožiÄ6%
Michael Agbekpornu6%
Marco Boras5%
Igor Lepinjica4%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ4%
Ljuban Crepulja3%
Luka LuÄiÄ3%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Robert MuriÄ0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Ivan SuŔak0%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta0%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ0%
Antonio Jakir0%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luka LuÄiÄ30%
Ilija Nestorovski27%
Ivan ÄoviÄ25%
Michael Agbekpornu25%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ25%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ23%
Mihail Caimacov22%
Alen GrgiÄ21%
Ante Å uto20%
Tomislav BožiÄ19%
Filip KruŔelj17%
Adrian Liber15%
Antonio Bosec14%
Matej Å akota14%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta11%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ11%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ11%
Marco Boras10%
Karlo ButiÄ9%
Igor Lepinjica8%
Ivan DolÄek7%
Ivan SuŔak6%
Ljuban Crepulja3%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Robert MuriÄ0%
Dominik MartinoviÄ0%
Antonio Jakir0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alen GrgiÄ21%
Antonio Jakir20%
Robert MuriÄ12%
Dominik MartinoviÄ10%
Ilija Nestorovski9%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ7%
Antonio Bosec7%
Ivan DolÄek7%
Michael Agbekpornu6%
Ante Å uto5%
Igor Lepinjica4%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ4%
Adrian Liber4%
Mihail Caimacov4%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ4%
Ljuban Crepulja3%
Tomislav BožiÄ3%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Ivan SuŔak0%
Karlo ButiÄ0%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta0%
Marco Boras0%
Luka LuÄiÄ0%
Matej Å akota0%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ilija Nestorovski32%
Alen GrgiÄ21%
Karlo ButiÄ9%
Ivan ÄubeliÄ8%
Adriano JaguÅ”iÄ7%
Ivan DolÄek7%
Ante Å uto5%
Igor Lepinjica4%
Adrian Liber4%
Marko LeÅ”koviÄ0%
Robert MuriÄ0%
Ivan ÄoviÄ0%
Antonio Bosec0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Ivan SuŔak0%
Dominik MartinoviÄ0%
Tomislav BožiÄ0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ0%
Ivan JeliÄ Balta0%
Marco Boras0%
Luka LuÄiÄ0%
Michael Agbekpornu0%
Antonio Jakir0%
Matej Å akota0%
Zvonimir KataliniÄ0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Marko AÅ”ÄiÄ0%
HNK Rijeka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Franjo IvanoviÄ50%
Veldin Hodža40%
Toni Fruk31%
Niko JankoviÄ24%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ22%
Duje Äop20%
Komnen AndriÄ11%
NaĆÆs Djouahra11%
Gabriel Rukavina10%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ8%
Å imun ButiÄ8%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ7%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ6%
Luka Menalo6%
Lindon Selahi3%
Mladen Devetak3%
Dejan PetroviÄ3%
Amer Gojak0%
Mile Å koriÄ0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Bruno Goda0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Stipe Perica0%
Martin ZlomisliÄ0%
Dominik Dogan0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Jovan Manev0%
Ante OreÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ante OreÄ43%
Jovan Manev29%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ24%
Mladen Devetak23%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ20%
Ante MajstoroviÄ19%
Amer Gojak19%
Niko JankoviÄ18%
Dejan PetroviÄ18%
Lindon Selahi17%
Bruno Goda17%
Toni Fruk16%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ15%
Å imun ButiÄ15%
Duje Äop13%
Luka Menalo12%
Komnen AndriÄ11%
Bruno BogojeviÄ11%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ11%
Gabriel Rukavina7%
Martin ZlomisliÄ6%
NaĆÆs Djouahra4%
Mile Å koriÄ0%
Stipe Perica0%
Dominik Dogan0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Franjo IvanoviÄ0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Toni Fruk31%
Franjo IvanoviÄ25%
Duje Äop13%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ12%
Komnen AndriÄ11%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ11%
NaĆÆs Djouahra11%
Niko JankoviÄ9%
Dejan PetroviÄ9%
Amer Gojak7%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ7%
Mladen Devetak6%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ4%
Bruno BogojeviÄ4%
Lindon Selahi3%
Gabriel Rukavina3%
Ante MajstoroviÄ3%
Mile Å koriÄ0%
Bruno Goda0%
Luka Menalo0%
Stipe Perica0%
Martin ZlomisliÄ0%
Dominik Dogan0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Jovan Manev0%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ0%
Ante OreÄ0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Franjo IvanoviÄ25%
Niko JankoviÄ21%
Toni Fruk19%
Marco PaÅ”aliÄ17%
NaĆÆs Djouahra14%
Gabriel Rukavina3%
Dejan PetroviÄ3%
Amer Gojak0%
Komnen AndriÄ0%
Ivan SmolÄiÄ0%
Stjepan RadeljiÄ0%
Mile Å koriÄ0%
Ante MajstoroviÄ0%
Bruno Goda0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Luka Menalo0%
Mladen Devetak0%
Duje Äop0%
Stipe Perica0%
Martin ZlomisliÄ0%
Lindon Selahi0%
Dominik Dogan0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Jovan Manev0%
Niko GaleÅ”iÄ0%
Ante OreÄ0%
Å imun ButiÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
NK Slaven Belupo's squad is €26m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€8m vs €34m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
NK Slaven Belupo's attack is €18m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€3m vs €21m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo's midfield is €4m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€2m vs €5m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
NK Slaven Belupo's defence is €5m less valuable than HNK Rijeka's (€3m vs €8m).
Croatia: HNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →