NK Slaven Belupo vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Result & Analysis

NK Slaven Belupo’s recent form suggests a cautious start, yet the model projects a high-scoring encounter with an expected 3.2 goals. The most probable total is three, and the single scoreline the model favours is 1-1, with a 11.5% chance. Home advantage is clear: the model picks a home win, giving Slaven Belupo a 38% chance of victory, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 37% chance for Lokomotiva to win. Slaven Belupo averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents, while Lokomotiva, on the road, scores 1.5 and concedes 2.5 against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 91.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 90.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 84.0% (miss), Under 10.5 corners at 83.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 83.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 79.8%, Under 9.5 corners at 74.6% (miss), and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.8% (miss).

The pre-match favourite, NK Slaven Belupo, failed to deliver, as the match ended 0-0, a draw that surprised the model’s 38% home-win call. The model’s prediction was wrong, and the final score was a stalemate. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 91.2%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 90.5%, Over 1.5 missed at 84.0%, Under 10.5 corners hit at 83.9%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.5%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 79.8%, Under 9.5 corners missed at 74.6%, and Over 21.5 fouls missed at 70.8%. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, coming off three straight defeats, held the home side to a clean sheet, extending their recent run of three wins away.