Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Varazdin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.38
0.44
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.67
0.50
0.25
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.43
0.33
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.47
0.69
0.31
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (24)
0.46
0.38
0.58
0.25
0.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Varazdin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.62
0.31
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.56
0.75
0.75
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.29
0.58
0.17
0.22
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Hajduk Split) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Hajduk Split
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.94
0.56
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.33
0.75
1.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
0.83
0.38
1.00
0.25
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Hajduk Split over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 2.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
NK Varazdin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Mamut33%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ33%
Luka MamiÄ25%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ24%
Iuri Tavares20%
Stipe JuriÄ17%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ13%
Matej Vuk11%
Mateo BaraÄ10%
Sven Lesjak9%
David Puclin5%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ4%
Mario Marina4%
Tomislav Duvnjak3%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Petar BoÄkaj0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Frane Maglica0%
Lamine Ba0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Marko Dabro0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Gregor SikoŔek0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Iuri Tavares0%
Mario Mladenovski0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josip SiliÄ50%
Ivan Mamut33%
Roberto PunÄec32%
Lamine Ba29%
Leon Belcar27%
Tomislav Duvnjak24%
Mario Mladenovski24%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ22%
Iuri Tavares20%
Gregor SikoŔek18%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ18%
Vane Jovanov17%
Matej Vuk14%
Ivan Canjuga12%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ12%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ10%
Petar BoÄkaj9%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ9%
Sven Lesjak9%
Frane Maglica9%
Iuri Tavares8%
Mario Marina7%
Luka MamiÄ7%
Oliver Zelenika6%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Marko Dabro0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rufat Abdullazada25%
Frane Maglica22%
Iuri Tavares20%
Ivan Canjuga18%
Ivan Mamut17%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ15%
Marko Dabro14%
Gregor SikoŔek9%
Tomislav Duvnjak6%
Mario Mladenovski5%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ5%
Iuri Tavares4%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ4%
Matej Vuk4%
Luka MamiÄ4%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Petar BoÄkaj0%
Mario Marina0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Lamine Ba0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ0%
Leon Belcar0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Sven Lesjak0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksa LatkoviÄ24%
Ivan Mamut21%
Marko Dabro14%
Luka MamiÄ14%
Leon Belcar13%
Petar BoÄkaj9%
Lamine Ba7%
Iuri Tavares4%
Mario Marina4%
Mateo BaraÄ0%
Roberto PunÄec0%
Matej Vuk0%
David Puclin0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Josip SiliÄ0%
Frane Maglica0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Stipe JuriÄ0%
Vane Jovanov0%
Gregor SikoŔek0%
Rufat Abdullazada0%
Iuri Tavares0%
Mario Mladenovski0%
Tomislav Duvnjak0%
Silvio IlinkoviÄ0%
Luka Å kariÄiÄ0%
Novak TepÅ”iÄ0%
Mate AntunoviÄ0%
Ivan Canjuga0%
Sven Lesjak0%
Luka PosinkoviÄ0%
Antonio BorÅ”iÄ0%
Domagoj Begonja0%
Filipe Jose Quissequel0%
HNK Hajduk Split
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yassine Benrahou50%
Michele Å ego34%
Marko Livaja31%
Rokas PukŔtas26%
Ante RebiÄ23%
Roko BrajkoviÄ14%
Iker Almena14%
Adam Huram14%
Fran KaraÄiÄ9%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba8%
Anthony Kalik6%
Zvonimir Å arlija4%
Filip KrovinoviÄ3%
Niko Sigur3%
Adrion Pajaziti3%
Hugo Guillamón0%
Edgar GonzƔlez0%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Ivica IvuÅ”iÄ0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Toni SiliÄ0%
Ron RaƧi0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Noa Skoko0%
Marino Skelin0%
Bruno Durdov0%
Luka Hodak0%
Branimir MlaÄiÄ0%
Ron RaƧi0%
Roko GabriÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ron RaƧi60%
Zvonimir Å arlija33%
Marino Skelin25%
Adrion Pajaziti19%
Rokas PukŔtas19%
Marko Livaja19%
Ante RebiÄ19%
Luka Hodak19%
Hugo Guillamón17%
Ron RaƧi15%
Niko Sigur14%
Branimir MlaÄiÄ13%
Michele Å ego12%
Anthony Kalik12%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba12%
Roko BrajkoviÄ10%
Fran KaraÄiÄ9%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ7%
Ivica IvuÅ”iÄ7%
Toni SiliÄ5%
Iker Almena5%
Filip KrovinoviÄ0%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Edgar GonzƔlez0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Noa Skoko0%
Bruno Durdov0%
Roko GabriÄ0%
Adam Huram0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Livaja23%
Ante RebiÄ19%
Michele Å ego16%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ14%
Roko BrajkoviÄ14%
Å imun HrgoviÄ10%
Iker Almena10%
Fran KaraÄiÄ9%
Dario Melnjak9%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba8%
Niko Sigur7%
Branimir MlaÄiÄ7%
Bruno Durdov6%
Zvonimir Å arlija4%
Adrion Pajaziti3%
Rokas PukŔtas3%
Filip KrovinoviÄ0%
Hugo Guillamón0%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Edgar GonzƔlez0%
Ivica IvuÅ”iÄ0%
Anthony Kalik0%
Toni SiliÄ0%
Ron RaƧi0%
Noa Skoko0%
Marino Skelin0%
Luka Hodak0%
Ron RaƧi0%
Roko GabriÄ0%
Adam Huram0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rokas PukŔtas35%
Marko Livaja31%
Michele Å ego19%
Ante RebiÄ15%
Filip KrovinoviÄ14%
Noa Skoko10%
Iker Almena10%
Bruno Durdov6%
Anthony Kalik6%
Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba4%
Adrion Pajaziti3%
Hugo Guillamón0%
Yassine Benrahou0%
Edgar GonzƔlez0%
Dario MareÅ”iÄ0%
Ivica IvuÅ”iÄ0%
Fran KaraÄiÄ0%
Zvonimir Å arlija0%
Dario Melnjak0%
Toni SiliÄ0%
Ron RaƧi0%
Å imun HrgoviÄ0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Marino Skelin0%
Niko Sigur0%
Luka Hodak0%
Branimir MlaÄiÄ0%
Ron RaƧi0%
Roko GabriÄ0%
Adam Huram0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
VUK (13)
€2m
NK Varazdin's squad is €22m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€11m vs €34m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
NK Varazdin's attack is €9m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€6m vs €15m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
VUK (2)
€0m
NK Varazdin's midfield is €7m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€1m vs €8m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
VUK (5)
€1m
NK Varazdin's defence is €6m less valuable than HNK Hajduk Split's (€5m vs €11m).
Croatia: HNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →