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NŠ Drava vs Triglav Result & Analysis

Date: 28/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-2
NŠ Drava
NŠ Drava
Vs
17%
19%
64%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NŠ Drava win✗ Miss
16.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Triglav win✓ Hit
64.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D23L30W06L03L14L00DA·DRA11/08H·ALU17/08A·ILI24/08H·GOR01/09A·BEL08/09H·BRI13/09A·RUD21/09
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.862.291.004.330.750.75
vs Stronger (3)1.004.331.004.33--
vs Similar (4)0.750.75--0.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L04L12L22D23L31W20W22D11D31WH·NAF03/05A·PRI12/05H·DEK18/05A·ILI09/08H·GOR16/08A·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·RUD06/09A·SLO15/09H·BIS21/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.331.501.291.441.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.501.221.551.361.431.00
vs Weaker (12)1.421.501.331.001.441.67
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (NŠ Drava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%15%20%3%07%117%220%319%415%519%6+
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.1%
Under 1.5
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
73.4%
Under 2.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.0%
Under 3.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.2%
No
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.1%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.7%
0-2 ✓
7.1%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-3
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
NŠ Drava goals ↓
Triglav goals →
01234
02.9%4.9%7.1%6.0%3.8%
12.1%7.9%9.1%7.7%4.9%
21.8%4.6%5.8%4.9%3.1%
30.8%2.0%2.5%2.1%1.3%
40.2%0.6%0.8%0.7%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NŠ Drava goals (down), columns = Triglav goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
NŠ Drava is 1.43 points worse than Triglav in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 2.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
NŠ Drava is 1.67 goals worse than Triglav in terms of goals scored per game (0.73 vs 2.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
NŠ Drava is 1.07 goals worse than Triglav in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 1.10).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D20W04L02L12L00DA·DRA11/08H·ALU17/08A·ILI24/08H·GOR01/09A·BEL08/09H·BRI13/09A·RUD21/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.290.672.330.500.50
vs Stronger (3)0.672.330.672.33--
vs Similar (4)0.500.50--0.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TriglavTriglav

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L10W01L21W11D10W12L01L21WH·NAF03/05A·PRI12/05H·DEK18/05A·ILI09/08H·GOR16/08A·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·RUD06/09A·SLO15/09H·BIS21/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.930.710.560.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.720.670.910.820.430.43
vs Weaker (12)0.750.831.000.330.671.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (NŠ Drava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NŠ Drava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W02L01L02L00DA·DRA11/08H·ALU17/08A·ILI24/08H·GOR01/09A·BEL08/09H·BRI13/09A·RUD21/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.291.000.332.000.250.25
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.332.00--
vs Similar (4)0.250.25--0.250.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Triglav) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TriglavTriglav

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L02L21W02L20W10W10W10W10WH·NAF03/05A·PRI12/05H·DEK18/05A·ILI09/08H·GOR16/08A·BEL23/08H·BRI30/08A·RUD06/09A·SLO15/09H·BIS21/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.570.570.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.560.640.551.000.57
vs Weaker (12)0.670.670.330.670.780.67
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (NŠ Drava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NŠ Drava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NŠ Drava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triglav over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.590.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.573.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ND wins
0
Draws
0
TRI wins

Head-to-head

NŠ Drava vs Triglav · H/A from ND
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

NŠ DravaNŠ Drava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24ARudar Vs ND0-0
13/09/24HND Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-4
08/09/24ABeltinci Vs ND3-0
01/09/24HND Vs Gorica0-6
24/08/24AIlirija Vs ND0-3
17/08/24HND Vs Aluminij2-3
11/08/24ADravinja Vs ND0-0

TriglavTriglav

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24HTRI Vs Bistrica3-1
15/09/24ASlovan Ljubljana Vs TRI1-1
06/09/24ARudar Vs TRI2-2
30/08/24HTRI Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-0
23/08/24ABeltinci Vs TRI1-3
16/08/24HTRI Vs Gorica2-3
09/08/24AIlirija Vs TRI2-2
18/05/24HTRI Vs Dekani1-2
12/05/24APrimorje Vs TRI4-0
03/05/24HTRI Vs Nafta1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

NŠ Drava
NŠ Drava
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD0.71
HomeLLL0.00
AwayDWLD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%0%25%
AVG goals3.145.331.50
Over 1.5 %71%100%50%
Over 2.5 %71%100%50%
Over 3.5 %43%100%0%
Scored0.861.000.75
Conceded2.294.330.75
BTTS29%67%0%
Clean Sheet43%0%75%
Corners---
Cards---
Triglav
Triglav
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.54
HomeLLLWW1.32
AwayLDWDD1.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%40%48%
AVG goals2.842.762.92
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %34%24%44%
Scored1.481.321.64
Conceded1.361.441.28
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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