Nyiregyhaza, after a recent 1-2 loss to MTK Budapest, faces Paks who entered the game with a 2-0 victory over Ujpest. The model predicts a home win with 40 % probability, a draw at 26 %, and an away win at 34 %. The expected total goals is 3.0, yet the most likely total is 2 goals, a 24 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3 % probability. In home form Nyiregyhaza averages 1.85 goals scored and 1.31 conceded against similar opposition, while Paks averages 1.18 scored and 1.09 conceded away. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (98.8 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.0 % with a 6 % edge), Under 6.5 (96.7 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 % with an 8 % edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.0 % with a 6 % edge), Away under 3.5 goals (94.2 % with a 6 % edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (92.6 % with a 7 % edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Nyiregyhaza, failed to deliver as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extends both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model had chosen a home win with a 40% probability, but this call was wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.7%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 96.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.3%, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 92.6%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nyiregyhaza win✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.24
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.32
Superbet
2.32
Bet365
2.30
Dafabet
2.30
Betano
2.27
Draw✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.71
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.06
Betano
3.80
10Bet
3.75
Dafabet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Paks win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.65
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.85
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.72
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nyiregyhaza
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.63
1.67
1.40
1.13
1.87
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
3.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
1.36
1.61
1.71
1.29
1.00
1.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.67
2.47
1.93
1.33
1.40
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.75
2.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.83
1.74
2.36
2.09
1.33
1.42
vs Weaker (3)
3.00
1.00
3.50
1.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.12-1.6%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 5.39+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Pinnacle
5.89
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.6%
@ 1.45-6.4%
Under 2.5
42.4%
@ 2.57+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
2.70
10Bet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.2%
@ 2.16-8.1%
Under 3.5
64.8%
@ 1.65+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
@ 1.42-3.9%
No
38.7%
@ 2.66+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.45
Betano
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.43
Betfair
1.40
No
Betfair
2.80
Bet365
2.75
1xBet
2.73
Marathonbet
2.67
Superbet
2.65
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%@ 7.11+6.1%
2-1
8.8%@ 8.29+3.5%
1-2
8.0%@ 9.14+3.2%
1-0
6.7%@ 11.15+2.8%
2-2
6.3%@ 9.63+1.7%
2-0
6.1%@ 12.97+2.7%
0-0
6.1%@ 16.83+3.5%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.36+2.5%
Nyiregyhaza goals ↓
Paks goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.1%
6.0%
5.1%
2.4%
0.9%
1
6.7%
12%
8.0%
3.8%
1.4%
2
6.1%
8.8%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.2%
4.6%
3.3%
1.6%
0.6%
4
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nyiregyhaza goals (down), columns = Paks goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.00
Puskas Academy
2.00
Ujpest
1.67
Gyori ETO FC
1.50
MTK Budapest
1.50
Paks
1.33
Vasas
1.33
Budapest Honved
1.20
Nyiregyhaza
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.00
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.50
Nyiregyhaza is 0.17 points worse than Paks in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Paks
2.17
Ujpest
2.17
MTK Budapest
2.17
Gyori ETO FC
1.83
Vasas
1.67
Puskas Academy
1.67
Ferencvarosi TC
1.60
Budapest Honved
1.60
Kisvarda FC
1.17
Debreceni VSC
1.00
Nyiregyhaza
1.00
Zalaegerszegi TE
0.83
Nyiregyhaza is 1.17 goals worse than Paks in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.17
Vasas
1.17
Kisvarda FC
1.33
Puskas Academy
1.33
Debreceni VSC
1.50
Budapest Honved
1.60
Ujpest
1.67
MTK Budapest
1.67
Nyiregyhaza
1.67
Paks
2.17
Zalaegerszegi TE
2.50
Nyiregyhaza is 0.50 goals better than Paks in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
58%
Debreceni VSC
55%
Gyori ETO FC
53%
Budapest Honved
52%
Ujpest
51%
Nyiregyhaza
51%
Paks
50%
MTK Budapest
50%
Zalaegerszegi TE
49%
Puskas Academy
45%
Vasas
43%
Kisvarda FC
42%
Nyiregyhaza is 1.0 percentage points better than Paks in terms of average possession (51% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nyiregyhaza
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Paks
For 5.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 13.6 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nyiregyhaza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.4
10.6
3.9
4.2
3.7
28.2
28.8
27.7
vs Stronger (7)
11.7
11.3
12.0
5.6
4.7
6.2
30.1
33.0
28.0
vs Similar (39)
10.2
10.3
10.1
3.9
4.6
3.3
27.9
28.2
27.6
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
8.0
-
0.8
1.0
0.0
24.0
24.0
-
% over line
57%
47%
67%
56%
54%
58%
86%
76%
94%
% under line
43%
53%
33%
44%
46%
42%
14%
24%
6%
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
10.3
Ujpest
10.0
Debreceni VSC
9.9
Puskas Academy
9.8
MTK Budapest
9.8
Gyori ETO FC
9.8
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Ferencvarosi TC
9.5
Budapest Honved
9.4
Zalaegerszegi TE
9.0
Vasas
5.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zalaegerszegi TE
5.2
Paks
5.1
Debreceni VSC
5.1
Vasas
5.0
Ujpest
5.0
Puskas Academy
4.8
Gyori ETO FC
4.8
Ferencvarosi TC
4.7
MTK Budapest
4.4
Budapest Honved
4.3
Kisvarda FC
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
28.5
Debreceni VSC
27.8
Ferencvarosi TC
27.5
Puskas Academy
27.5
Ujpest
26.2
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.8
MTK Budapest
24.6
Gyori ETO FC
24.2
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Budapest Honved
23.3
Vasas
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.2%
@ 1.68-0.0%
Under 9.5
44.8%
@ 2.07+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.11
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.08
Bet365
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.2%
Under 21.5
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nyiregyhaza or Draw✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.40
Edge
+0.4%
40%
26%
34%
covers Nyiregyhaza + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Nyiregyhaza or Paks✗ Miss
73.5%
Avg Implied 75.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.1%
40%
26%
34%
covers Nyiregyhaza + Paks
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Draw or Paks✓ Hit
60.3%
Avg Implied 58.7% · @ 1.57
Edge
+1.6%
40%
26%
34%
covers Draw + Paks
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Unibet
1.56
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.1%
@ 1.16-1.5%
Under
20.9%
@ 4.79+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Betano
4.55
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.4%
@ 1.79-5.8%
Under
53.6%
@ 1.95+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Betano
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.8%
@ 3.42-6.3%
Under
79.2%
@ 1.27+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Nyiregyhaza over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 7.27-5.5%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.08+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Paks over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.18-2.0%
Under
23.9%
@ 4.24+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Paks over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.9%
@ 1.94-6.1%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.79+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.98
Betano
1.98
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Under
Bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Paks over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 3.95-6.0%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.21+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.04
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.95
1xBet
3.94
Under
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Paks over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 8.83-4.9%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.05+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.90
Under
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nyiregyhaza, so a minus line means Nyiregyhaza give that many goals of a start and Paks receive them. At -1, Nyiregyhaza must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nyiregyhaza win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nyiregyhaza)Actual: Paks
Nyiregyhaza -2
8.1%
@ 8.03-3.1%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 6.55-1.5%
Paks +2
79.7%
@ 1.19+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.50
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
7.70
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Superbet
6.20
Away
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (Nyiregyhaza)Actual: Paks
Nyiregyhaza -1
20.3%
@ 4.04-1.8%
Draw -1
19.4%
@ 4.28-1.5%
Paks +1
60.3%
@ 1.57+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.94
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Superbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.62
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Handicap +1 (Nyiregyhaza)Actual: Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza +1
66.2%
@ 1.43+3.6%
Draw +1
17.7%
@ 4.69-1.4%
Paks -1
16.2%
@ 4.86-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Away
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Handicap +2 (Nyiregyhaza)Actual: Nyiregyhaza
Nyiregyhaza +2
83.8%
@ 1.14+7.4%
Draw +2
10.2%
@ 6.52-3.2%
Paks -2
6.0%
@ 8.57-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Marathonbet
4.95
Away
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
9.50
Marathonbet
6.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nyiregyhaza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (28)
0.50
0.71
0.57
0.64
0.43
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.07
0.87
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.00
0.83
1.18
1.00
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.22-3.3%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.79+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.3%
@ 2.12-7.8%
Under 1.5
63.7%
@ 1.67+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
Pinnacle
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
10Bet
1.70
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.5%
@ 4.47-9.1%
Under 2.5
88.5%
@ 1.17+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 1.72-11.9%
Under
57.8%
@ 2.02+11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
Pinnacle
2.09
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 4.52-9.5%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.16+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.65
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Betano
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 12.00-5.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.8%
@ 1.83+0.0%
Under
49.2%
@ 1.89-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Superbet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.2%
@ 5.10-5.0%
Under
86.8%
@ 1.13+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.30
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Under
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 14.00-4.5%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nyiregyhaza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.90
1.07
0.67
0.60
1.13
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.89
1.14
0.64
0.57
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.90
1.40
1.07
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.91
1.18
1.09
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
1.00
3.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nyiregyhaza) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.12-4.1%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 5.29+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Under
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.30
Betano
5.30
1xBet
5.30
Superbet
5.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
43.5%
@ 1.66-12.5%
Under 1.5
56.5%
@ 2.12+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Under
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
Marathonbet
2.10
William Hil
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.3%
@ 3.01-11.4%
Under 2.5
80.7%
@ 1.33+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
William Hil
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.97
Under
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nyiregyhaza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.8%
@ 1.50-12.1%
Under
50.2%
@ 2.44+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.52
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.47
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
Superbet
2.37
Nyiregyhaza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 3.34-12.9%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.28+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.25
Under
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Nyiregyhaza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 8.43-7.4%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.04+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.9%
@ 1.58-1.8%
Under
43.1%
@ 2.25+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.22
10Bet
2.20
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.73-3.9%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.23+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 9.75-5.2%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.7%
1.02
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.7%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
92.6%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.06
-
-
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Pinnacle
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.5%
1.17
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.13
10Bet
1.14
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.28
Betano
1.32
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
+12.9%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
83.8%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.21
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.6%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.2%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Unibet
1.15
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.7%
1.33
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.36
William Hil
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.30
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
1.19
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
79.2%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
79.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.12
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
76.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.5%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Unibet
1.24
-2.1%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.22
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.24
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-3.3%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
József Szalai83%
M. Pető43%
J. Windecker33%
Zsolt Haraszti20%
Andor Lapu20%
Milán Győrfi17%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
J. Hahn0%
Kristóf Papp0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
K. Horváth0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
J. Windecker50%
K. Horváth43%
B. Lenzsér40%
J. Szabó40%
Kristóf Papp29%
J. Hahn25%
Andor Lapu20%
Milán Győrfi17%
M. Pető14%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
József Szalai0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zsolt Haraszti40%
Andor Lapu40%
B. Vécsei33%
Kristóf Papp29%
József Szalai17%
K. Horváth14%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
Dániel Böde0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
J. Hahn0%
J. Windecker0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
M. Pető0%
Milán Győrfi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
József Szalai50%
M. Pető43%
Dániel Böde25%
J. Hahn25%
Á. Kovácsik0%
Gabor Vas0%
B. Tóth0%
E. Silye0%
B. Balogh0%
B. Lenzsér0%
J. Szabó0%
Zsolt Haraszti0%
Kristóf Papp0%
J. Windecker0%
B. Vécsei0%
Márió Zeke0%
Gergő Gyurkits0%
Milán Szekszárdi0%
Andor Lapu0%
K. Horváth0%
Milán Győrfi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
GEF (28)
€16m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
BH (25)
€5m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
GEF (10)
€7m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
VAS (7)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
Nyiregyhaza and Paks have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Hungary: NB I 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Puskas Academy
Ujpest
Ferencvarosi TC
Gyori ETO FC
MTK Budapest
Vasas
Budapest Honved
Kisvarda FC
Debreceni VSC
Zalaegerszegi TE