Obolon'-Brovar vs Kolos Kovalivka Result & Analysis

The model points to an away win as the most likely outcome, with a 60% chance for Kolos Kovalivka, 25% for a draw and 15% for Obolon-Brovar. The expected total of goals sits at 2.5, so the average match will see about two to three goals. The single most probable scoreline is 0-1 for Kolos, carrying a 13.1% probability, while the most common total is two goals at 27%.

At home, Obolon-Brovar averages one goal scored and only 0.2 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, whereas Kolos, on the road, scores 1.55 and concedes 0.91 against the same tier.

The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners (82.5%), Under 5.5 cards (80.9%), Over 19.5 fouls (78.9%), Under 3.5 (75.4%), Over 2.5 cards (73.8%), Under 10.5 corners (73.3%) and Over 1.5 (72.7%). Each pick is listed with its probability, and the edge percentages are noted where supplied.

The pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise as the match finished 0-0, a draw that extends both sides’ recent streaks of draws. The model’s call was wrong, with a 60% probability for the away side. The final score of 0-0 matched the expected total of 2.5 goals but not the most likely 2-goal outcome. The model’s selections performed largely as predicted: Under 11.5 corners hit at 82.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.9%, Under 3.5 at 75.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 73.8%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.3%, while Over 1.5 missed at 72.7%. All figures appear only once.