This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.40
2.12
1.25
1.57
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.57
1.71
1.75
1.75
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.96
1.30
2.25
1.08
1.64
1.55
Clean sheet %
17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.6%
Under 1.5
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.2%
@ 1.61-3.4%
Under 2.5
44.8%
@ 2.28+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.6%
No
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
OH Leuven goals ↓
Genk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
6.9%
5.9%
2.9%
1.0%
1
6.8%
13%
8.4%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.7%
8.3%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.7%
4.0%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OH Leuven goals (down), columns = Genk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
OH Leuven is 0.32 points worse than Genk in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
OH Leuven is 0.38 goals worse than Genk in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
OH Leuven is 0.32 goals worse than Genk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OH Leuven
For 4.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Genk
For 4.4 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 14.2 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OH Leuven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
8.9
11.1
2.9
2.9
2.8
25.3
24.7
25.8
vs Stronger (15)
10.2
8.8
11.4
2.6
2.4
2.8
23.7
21.5
25.4
vs Similar (25)
9.9
8.5
11.2
2.9
3.3
2.5
26.3
26.8
25.9
vs Weaker (10)
10.2
10.0
10.3
3.1
2.4
3.8
24.8
23.7
26.0
% over line
61%
47%
75%
44%
48%
40%
74%
67%
81%
% under line
39%
53%
25%
56%
52%
60%
26%
33%
19%
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.7
10.0
4.0
4.2
3.8
27.2
27.6
26.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
9.4
7.9
11.2
4.0
5.3
2.5
28.9
31.1
26.3
vs Weaker (37)
9.3
9.0
9.6
4.0
3.8
4.3
26.6
26.3
26.8
% over line
44%
32%
56%
58%
60%
56%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
56%
68%
44%
42%
40%
44%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oostende
10.4
Beerschot VA
10.4
Charleroi
10.3
Eupen
10.1
OH Leuven
10.0
Cercle Brugge
10.0
SK Beveren
10.0
Kortrijk
9.8
KV Mechelen
9.7
Antwerp
9.6
St. Truiden
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.6
Standard Liege
9.6
Mouscron
9.5
Club Brugge KV
9.4
Genk
9.3
Anderlecht
9.2
Gent
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
OH Leuven
4.6
Antwerp
4.4
Eupen
4.3
Cercle Brugge
4.3
St. Truiden
4.3
Beerschot VA
4.1
Standard Liege
4.1
Genk
4.0
Anderlecht
4.0
Mouscron
4.0
SK Beveren
4.0
Gent
3.9
Kortrijk
3.8
Club Brugge KV
3.7
Charleroi
3.7
KV Mechelen
3.6
Oostende
3.6
Zulte Waregem
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Standard Liege
28.3
Kortrijk
28.0
Anderlecht
27.5
Genk
27.2
St. Truiden
26.8
Gent
26.3
SK Beveren
26.2
KV Mechelen
26.1
Cercle Brugge
25.9
Charleroi
25.9
Eupen
25.8
Club Brugge KV
25.6
OH Leuven
25.3
Antwerp
25.2
Beerschot VA
25.2
Oostende
25.1
Mouscron
25.0
Zulte Waregem
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OH Leuven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.79
0.43
0.81
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
0.89
0.75
0.50
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.69
0.88
0.50
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
0.88
0.56
1.07
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.25
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
0.96
0.48
0.83
0.33
1.09
0.64
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OH Leuven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.93
0.64
0.79
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.78
0.50
0.50
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.88
0.62
0.88
1.25
0.88
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.40
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Genk) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Genk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.25
0.69
0.50
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.57
0.71
0.75
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.83
1.42
0.75
0.55
0.91
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Genk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
OH Leuven · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Kaba20%
Roggerio Nyakossi15%
Henok Teklab12%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Siebe Schrijvers10%
Łukasz Łakomy9%
Youssef Maziz8%
Abdoul Karim Traoré8%
Thibaud Verlinden8%
Kyan Vaesen8%
Ewoud Pletinckx8%
Óscar Gil6%
Noë Dussenne4%
Wouter George4%
Mathieu Maertens3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Takuma Ominami0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Davis Opoku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nachon Nsingi50%
Óscar Gil39%
Birger Verstraete35%
Thibault Vlietinck33%
Noë Dussenne26%
Siebe Schrijvers20%
Sory Kaba20%
Łukasz Łakomy19%
Youssef Maziz17%
Casper Terho17%
Henok Teklab16%
Thibaud Verlinden15%
Kyan Vaesen15%
Roggerio Nyakossi15%
Mathieu Maertens14%
Jovan Mijatović14%
Takuma Ominami14%
Takahiro Akimoto13%
Abdoul Karim Traoré12%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Maxence Prévot11%
Ewoud Pletinckx10%
Davis Opoku10%
Wouter George8%
Tobe Leysen6%
William Balikwisha0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibaud Verlinden15%
Youssef Maziz11%
Siebe Schrijvers10%
Davis Opoku10%
Łukasz Łakomy9%
Mathieu Maertens9%
Jovan Mijatović7%
Sory Kaba7%
Takuma Ominami5%
Wouter George4%
Abdoul Karim Traoré4%
Óscar Gil3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Henok Teklab0%
Roggerio Nyakossi0%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathieu Maertens20%
Sory Kaba13%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Henok Teklab8%
Abdoul Karim Traoré8%
Roggerio Nyakossi7%
Jovan Mijatović7%
Siebe Schrijvers7%
Łukasz Łakomy6%
Youssef Maziz6%
Ewoud Pletinckx5%
Óscar Gil3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Thibaud Verlinden0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Takuma Ominami0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Wouter George0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Davis Opoku0%
Genk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafiu Durosinmi100%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo67%
Junya Ito33%
Joris Kayembe33%
Ayumu Yokoyama33%
Aaron Bibout33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daan Heymans67%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jeppe Erenbjerg67%
Junya Ito33%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura33%
Bryan Heynen0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Heynen0%
Junya Ito0%
Daan Heymans0%
Joris Kayembe0%
Zakaria El Ouahdi0%
Jeppe Erenbjerg0%
Ayumu Yokoyama0%
Rafiu Durosinmi0%
Ibrahima Sory Bangoura0%
Josue Ndenge Kongolo0%
Aaron Bibout0%
Lucca Brughmans0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
OH Leuven's squad is €83m less valuable than Genk's (€30m vs €113m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
OH Leuven's attack is €32m less valuable than Genk's (€7m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
BV (2)
€0m
OH Leuven's midfield is €13m less valuable than Genk's (€6m vs €19m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
OH Leuven's defence is €38m less valuable than Genk's (€17m vs €55m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren