This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.03
1.31
0.56
1.79
1.57
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.57
0.50
0.25
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.29
1.29
1.00
0.75
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (9)
2.44
1.00
2.75
0.50
2.20
1.40
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.3%
Under 1.5
17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.5%
@ 2.00+12.1%
Under 2.5
40.5%
@ 1.80-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.4%
No
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
0-0
5.7%
OH Leuven goals ↓
Standard Liege goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.7%
7.2%
7.4%
4.4%
2.0%
1
4.8%
12%
9.5%
5.7%
2.6%
2
3.8%
6.8%
6.1%
3.7%
1.6%
3
1.6%
2.9%
2.6%
1.6%
0.7%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = OH Leuven goals (down), columns = Standard Liege goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
OH Leuven is 0.15 points worse than Standard Liege in terms of average points per game (1.32 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
OH Leuven is 0.06 goals better than Standard Liege in terms of goals scored per game (1.59 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
OH Leuven is 0.53 goals worse than Standard Liege in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
OH Leuven
For 4.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Standard Liege
For 5.2 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
OH Leuven
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (34)
10.5
12.0
9.0
0.4
0.5
0.3
25.0
25.5
24.5
vs Stronger (9)
8.0
-
8.0
0.2
0.0
0.4
22.0
-
22.0
vs Similar (18)
10.5
11.0
10.0
0.5
0.7
0.3
27.5
28.0
27.0
vs Weaker (7)
13.0
13.0
-
0.4
0.8
0.0
23.0
23.0
-
% over line
75%
100%
50%
3%
6%
0%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
25%
0%
50%
97%
94%
100%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.4
4.8
4.2
5.4
28.2
27.6
28.9
vs Stronger (10)
8.1
8.8
7.4
5.0
5.6
4.4
27.0
29.5
23.7
vs Similar (26)
9.5
8.4
10.4
5.4
4.8
6.0
29.1
28.4
29.8
vs Weaker (14)
10.8
12.0
8.6
3.4
2.7
4.6
27.7
24.0
30.6
% over line
50%
50%
50%
66%
54%
79%
85%
82%
88%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
34%
46%
21%
15%
18%
12%
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.2
Oostende
10.5
OH Leuven
10.5
St. Truiden
10.2
SK Beveren
10.1
Charleroi
10.1
Genk
9.9
Antwerp
9.8
Eupen
9.8
Kortrijk
9.7
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Club Brugge KV
9.6
Standard Liege
9.6
Anderlecht
9.5
KV Mechelen
9.5
Mouscron
9.5
Gent
9.3
Zulte Waregem
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
4.8
Standard Liege
4.8
St. Truiden
4.6
Anderlecht
4.5
Cercle Brugge
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Gent
4.3
Eupen
4.2
Charleroi
4.2
Mouscron
4.2
SK Beveren
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
Kortrijk
4.1
Zulte Waregem
3.9
Genk
3.8
Beerschot VA
3.8
Oostende
3.5
OH Leuven
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.6
Charleroi
29.0
SK Beveren
28.3
Anderlecht
28.2
Standard Liege
28.2
Eupen
28.2
Cercle Brugge
28.0
Antwerp
28.0
St. Truiden
27.5
KV Mechelen
27.4
Club Brugge KV
27.3
Zulte Waregem
27.2
Oostende
26.8
Genk
26.7
Mouscron
26.7
Gent
26.6
Beerschot VA
25.2
OH Leuven
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.9%
Under 9.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.6%
Under 3.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.6%
Under 21.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
OH Leuven
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.47
0.87
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.86
0.00
1.00
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.62
0.62
1.12
0.75
0.12
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.27
0.50
0.19
0.71
0.36
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.14
0.25
0.00
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (14)
0.36
0.36
0.25
0.38
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.22
1.25
0.00
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
OH Leuven
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.07
1.07
0.73
0.73
1.40
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.94
1.00
0.38
0.88
1.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
1.43
1.75
1.25
0.33
1.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Standard Liege) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Standard Liege
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
0.81
0.38
1.07
1.21
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.43
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (14)
0.93
0.93
0.75
0.38
1.17
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
0.78
1.50
0.50
1.40
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (OH Leuven) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
OH Leuven over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
OH Leuven over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Standard Liege over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
OH Leuven · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Kaba20%
Roggerio Nyakossi15%
Henok Teklab12%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Siebe Schrijvers10%
Łukasz Łakomy9%
Youssef Maziz8%
Abdoul Karim Traoré8%
Thibaud Verlinden8%
Kyan Vaesen8%
Ewoud Pletinckx8%
Óscar Gil6%
Noë Dussenne4%
Wouter George4%
Mathieu Maertens3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Takuma Ominami0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Jovan Mijatović0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Davis Opoku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nachon Nsingi50%
Óscar Gil39%
Birger Verstraete35%
Thibault Vlietinck33%
Noë Dussenne26%
Siebe Schrijvers20%
Sory Kaba20%
Łukasz Łakomy19%
Youssef Maziz17%
Casper Terho17%
Henok Teklab16%
Thibaud Verlinden15%
Kyan Vaesen15%
Roggerio Nyakossi15%
Mathieu Maertens14%
Jovan Mijatović14%
Takuma Ominami14%
Takahiro Akimoto13%
Abdoul Karim Traoré12%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Maxence Prévot11%
Ewoud Pletinckx10%
Davis Opoku10%
Wouter George8%
Tobe Leysen6%
William Balikwisha0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thibaud Verlinden15%
Youssef Maziz11%
Siebe Schrijvers10%
Davis Opoku10%
Łukasz Łakomy9%
Mathieu Maertens9%
Jovan Mijatović7%
Sory Kaba7%
Takuma Ominami5%
Wouter George4%
Abdoul Karim Traoré4%
Óscar Gil3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Ewoud Pletinckx0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Henok Teklab0%
Roggerio Nyakossi0%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathieu Maertens20%
Sory Kaba13%
Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi12%
Henok Teklab8%
Abdoul Karim Traoré8%
Roggerio Nyakossi7%
Jovan Mijatović7%
Siebe Schrijvers7%
Łukasz Łakomy6%
Youssef Maziz6%
Ewoud Pletinckx5%
Óscar Gil3%
Thibault Vlietinck0%
William Balikwisha0%
Birger Verstraete0%
Noë Dussenne0%
Thibaud Verlinden0%
Maxence Prévot0%
Takuma Ominami0%
Bryang Kayo0%
Kyan Vaesen0%
Casper Terho0%
Tobe Leysen0%
Wouter George0%
Takahiro Akimoto0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Davis Opoku0%
Standard Liege · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dennis Eckert Ayensa50%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matthieu Epolo50%
Ryan Fosso33%
Casper Nielsen25%
Alexis Trouillet25%
Gustav Mortensen25%
Adnane Abid25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Bernard Nguene0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Casper Nielsen50%
Adnane Abid50%
Marlon Fossey25%
Bernard Nguene25%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Salieu Drammeh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bernard Nguene75%
Salieu Drammeh33%
Dennis Eckert Ayensa25%
Adnane Abid25%
Casper Nielsen0%
Tobias Mohr0%
Ibrahim Karamoko0%
Marlon Fossey0%
Henry Lawrence0%
Alexis Trouillet0%
Ibe Hautekiet0%
Matthieu Epolo0%
Gustav Mortensen0%
Rayan Touzghar0%
Ryan Fosso0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
OH Leuven's squad is €24m less valuable than Standard Liege's (€30m vs €54m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
OH Leuven's attack is €7m less valuable than Standard Liege's (€7m vs €14m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
BV (2)
€0m
OH Leuven's midfield is €2m less valuable than Standard Liege's (€6m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
OH Leuven's defence is €14m less valuable than Standard Liege's (€17m vs €31m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
Charleroi
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren