This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.00
1.27
1.00
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (16)
1.25
0.88
1.44
0.89
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.3%
Under 2.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.4%
Under 3.5
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.8%
No
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.7%
0-2
10.7%
0-0
10.2%
1-2
9.3%
1-0 ✓
6.6%
0-3
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
Oleksandria goals ↓
Dnipro-1 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
13%
11%
5.5%
2.1%
1
6.6%
13%
9.3%
4.8%
1.8%
2
3.4%
5.2%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
3
1.0%
1.5%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oleksandria goals (down), columns = Dnipro-1 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Oleksandria is 0.60 points worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.73).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Oleksandria is 0.33 goals worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Oleksandria is 0.37 goals worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Oleksandria is 0.9 percentage points worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of average possession (51% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oleksandria
For 3.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 14.2 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dnipro-1
For 4.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oleksandria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.9
8.9
4.0
4.1
3.8
23.0
23.9
22.1
vs Stronger (10)
9.4
9.5
9.2
3.9
3.2
4.6
22.5
23.5
21.5
vs Similar (32)
9.0
9.9
7.8
4.1
4.6
3.5
23.1
23.5
22.7
vs Weaker (8)
11.5
10.5
12.0
3.6
3.0
4.0
23.0
27.5
20.8
% over line
44%
41%
48%
60%
56%
64%
56%
62%
50%
% under line
56%
59%
52%
40%
44%
36%
44%
38%
50%
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.7
3.6
3.4
3.9
23.8
23.5
24.1
vs Stronger (11)
9.0
10.5
8.0
4.6
3.2
5.8
27.3
30.0
25.5
vs Similar (25)
9.9
9.4
10.5
3.4
3.5
3.3
23.2
23.9
22.5
vs Weaker (14)
9.1
8.5
10.2
3.2
3.4
3.0
21.9
19.8
26.2
% over line
52%
46%
60%
52%
46%
58%
67%
65%
70%
% under line
48%
54%
40%
48%
54%
42%
33%
35%
30%
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.3
LNZ Cherkasy
10.2
Polessya
10.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Kolos Kovalivka
10.0
Vorskla Poltava
10.0
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Oleksandria
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
Dynamo Kyiv
9.3
Minai
9.3
Obolon'-Brovar
9.2
Dnipro-1
9.1
Kryvbas KR
9.0
Chornomorets
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.9
Obolon'-Brovar
5.8
Ruh Lviv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.0
Veres Rivne
5.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
LNZ Cherkasy
4.8
Chornomorets
4.6
Oleksandria
4.6
Kolos Kovalivka
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.6
Minai
4.4
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.1
Dnipro-1
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.1
Vorskla Poltava
26.5
LNZ Cherkasy
24.4
Minai
24.1
Dynamo Kyiv
23.8
Ruh Lviv
23.6
Kryvbas KR
23.4
Dnipro-1
23.2
Kolos Kovalivka
23.1
Oleksandria
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.4
Polessya
22.4
Chornomorets
22.3
Zorya Luhansk
22.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
44.1%
Under 9.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.7%
Under 21.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oleksandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.63
0.27
0.60
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.70
0.40
0.90
0.40
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.53
0.40
0.73
0.47
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.25
0.33
0.22
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oleksandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.47
0.87
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.67
0.00
2.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.30
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.73
0.60
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.00
1.50
0.75
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.62
1.11
0.67
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (8)
0.38
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oleksandria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mykola Mykhailenko33%
Rodion Plaksa33%
Danil Skorko29%
Anton Kravchenko20%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi20%
Artem Shulianskyi17%
Juan Alvina Bezerra17%
Kyrylo Kovalets14%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi0%
Mykyta Shevchenko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Sergii Loginov0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Miguel Campos0%
De0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Andriy Kulakov0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Denys Shostak0%
Geovani0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Kyrylo Siheyev0%
Roman Savchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodion Plaksa67%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi50%
Miguel Campos50%
Georgiy Yermakov50%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev33%
Oleksandr Martinyuk33%
Kyrylo Siheyev29%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi25%
Mykyta Shevchenko20%
Sergii Loginov20%
Denys Shostak20%
Roman Savchenko20%
Kyrylo Kovalets14%
Geovani14%
Anton Kravchenko0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
De0%
Mykola Mykhailenko0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Artem Shulianskyi0%
Danil Skorko0%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi0%
Andriy Kulakov0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Juan Alvina Bezerra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Miguel Campos50%
Juan Alvina Bezerra33%
Kyrylo Kovalets29%
Mykola Mykhailenko17%
Kyrylo Siheyev14%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi0%
Anton Kravchenko0%
Mykyta Shevchenko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Sergii Loginov0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
De0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Artem Shulianskyi0%
Danil Skorko0%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi0%
Andriy Kulakov0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Denys Shostak0%
Rodion Plaksa0%
Geovani0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Roman Savchenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi50%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev33%
De33%
Mykola Mykhailenko33%
Artem Shulianskyi33%
Andriy Kulakov25%
Juan Alvina Bezerra17%
Kyrylo Kovalets14%
Danil Skorko14%
Geovani14%
Kyrylo Siheyev14%
Yevhenii Smyrnyi0%
Anton Kravchenko0%
Mykyta Shevchenko0%
Sergii Loginov0%
Yurii Kopyna0%
Denys Kostyshyn0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Miguel Campos0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Vladyslav Pohorilyi0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Denys Shostak0%
Rodion Plaksa0%
Georgiy Yermakov0%
Roman Savchenko0%
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksandr Filippov43%
Maksym Tretyakov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk33%
Oleg Ocheretko33%
Bogdan Lednev29%
Oleksii Hutsuliak29%
Denys Miroshnichenko20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksii Hutsuliak43%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko33%
Eduard Sarapiyy33%
Bogdan Lednev14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksandr Filippov0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Kapliyenko33%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok20%
Volodymyr Tanchyk17%
Oleksandr Filippov14%
Volodymyr Adamyuk12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Bogdan Lednev0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Oleksii Hutsuliak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bogdan Lednev57%
Oleksii Hutsuliak43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok20%
Oleksandr Filippov14%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dynamo Kyiv
Kryvbas KR
Polessya
Ruh Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Vorskla Poltava
Zorya Luhansk
Chornomorets
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
Minai
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Livyi Bereh
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi