This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.97
1.60
0.53
1.20
1.40
vs Stronger (26)
1.42
1.04
1.58
0.58
1.29
1.43
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.50
1.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
@ 1.77+0.3%
Under 2.5
46.2%
@ 2.04-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2 ✓
5.9%
Oostende goals ↓
Mouscron goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
7.5%
6.4%
3.1%
1.2%
1
6.8%
13%
8.7%
4.3%
1.6%
2
5.4%
8.0%
5.9%
2.9%
1.1%
3
2.5%
3.6%
2.7%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Oostende goals (down), columns = Mouscron goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.41
Gent
1.90
Charleroi
1.86
Antwerp
1.83
Standard Liege
1.69
Genk
1.52
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.24
Mouscron
1.24
Kortrijk
1.14
St. Truiden
1.14
Eupen
1.03
Cercle Brugge
0.79
Oostende
0.76
SK Beveren
0.69
Oostende is 0.48 points worse than Mouscron in terms of average points per game (0.76 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Gent
2.03
Club Brugge KV
2.00
Charleroi
1.69
Antwerp
1.69
Standard Liege
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
Anderlecht
1.55
Genk
1.55
Zulte Waregem
1.41
Kortrijk
1.38
Mouscron
1.31
St. Truiden
1.14
Oostende
1.00
Eupen
0.97
Cercle Brugge
0.93
SK Beveren
0.72
Oostende is 0.31 goals worse than Mouscron in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.31).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.48
Charleroi
0.79
Anderlecht
1.00
Antwerp
1.10
Standard Liege
1.10
Gent
1.17
Mouscron
1.38
Genk
1.45
KV Mechelen
1.48
Kortrijk
1.52
Zulte Waregem
1.69
St. Truiden
1.72
Eupen
1.76
Cercle Brugge
1.86
Oostende
2.00
SK Beveren
2.07
Oostende is 0.62 goals worse than Mouscron in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Oostende
For 4.1 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 13.0 · Total 27.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
M
Mouscron
For 5.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.9 · Against 13.5 · Total 29.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oostende
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.0
4.5
4.7
4.2
26.9
26.7
27.1
vs Stronger (37)
9.7
9.1
10.4
4.3
4.6
4.0
26.1
26.7
25.4
vs Similar (13)
9.6
10.3
9.0
4.8
4.8
4.9
30.0
27.0
31.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
48%
60%
68%
68%
68%
86%
86%
86%
% under line
46%
52%
40%
32%
32%
32%
14%
14%
14%
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.5
10.1
4.8
4.1
5.4
29.4
31.0
27.9
vs Stronger (41)
9.6
9.1
10.1
4.6
3.9
5.2
29.5
31.5
27.9
vs Similar (9)
10.7
11.0
10.2
5.7
5.0
6.5
28.0
28.0
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
52%
60%
68%
60%
76%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
44%
48%
40%
32%
40%
24%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eupen
10.7
Genk
10.7
Gent
10.5
Club Brugge KV
10.5
SK Beveren
10.4
Kortrijk
10.4
St. Truiden
10.2
Antwerp
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.0
Anderlecht
9.8
Mouscron
9.8
Cercle Brugge
9.7
Oostende
9.7
Standard Liege
9.6
Zulte Waregem
9.4
Charleroi
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Standard Liege
5.0
Antwerp
4.8
Cercle Brugge
4.8
Mouscron
4.8
St. Truiden
4.8
Gent
4.7
Charleroi
4.7
KV Mechelen
4.6
Anderlecht
4.6
SK Beveren
4.5
Oostende
4.5
Eupen
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Genk
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.1
Kortrijk
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Charleroi
31.0
Kortrijk
29.6
Mouscron
29.4
Eupen
28.9
Zulte Waregem
28.7
KV Mechelen
28.7
Anderlecht
28.5
Cercle Brugge
28.1
Standard Liege
27.9
Antwerp
27.8
Gent
27.6
St. Truiden
27.1
Oostende
26.9
SK Beveren
26.9
Club Brugge KV
26.4
Genk
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.7%
Under 3.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.6%
Under 21.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Oostende
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.60
0.47
0.40
0.87
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
0.68
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.83
vs Similar (8)
0.88
0.62
0.80
0.40
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (26)
0.62
0.42
0.67
0.33
0.57
0.50
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.25
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Oostende over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Oostende
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.10
0.40
1.13
0.47
1.07
vs Stronger (22)
0.45
1.09
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (8)
0.38
1.12
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Mouscron) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
M
Mouscron
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.93
0.20
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (26)
0.81
0.62
0.92
0.25
0.71
0.93
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Oostende) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Oostende over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oostende over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mouscron over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oostende · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Berte25%
Ewan Henderson17%
Daniel Pérez17%
Maxime D'Arpino14%
Thomas Basila11%
Anton Tanghe9%
Juan Fuentes9%
Luis Hartwig6%
David Atanga6%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Brent Laes5%
Siebe Wylin5%
Sieben Dewaele4%
Zech Medley4%
Alfons Amade0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Liam Bossin0%
Cederick Van Daele0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jonas Vinck35%
Thomas Basila33%
Ewan Henderson30%
Sieben Dewaele26%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo25%
Manuel Osifo25%
Brent Laes21%
Liam Bossin21%
Mohamed Berte21%
Daniel Pérez17%
Alfons Amade14%
Maxime D'Arpino14%
Siebe Wylin11%
Anton Tanghe9%
Cederick Van Daele6%
Zech Medley4%
Robbie D'Haese0%
David Atanga0%
Luis Hartwig0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Berte17%
Brent Laes11%
Siebe Wylin11%
Daniel Pérez8%
Luis Hartwig6%
David Atanga6%
Cederick Van Daele6%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Massimo Decoene5%
Sieben Dewaele4%
Alfons Amade0%
Ewan Henderson0%
Zech Medley0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Maxime D'Arpino0%
Thomas Basila0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Anton Tanghe0%
Liam Bossin0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Atanga18%
Ewan Henderson17%
Mohamed Berte17%
Anton Tanghe9%
Robbie D'Haese6%
Brent Laes5%
Siebe Wylin5%
Zech Medley4%
Daniel Pérez4%
Alfons Amade0%
Johanna Ochieng Omolo0%
Maxime D'Arpino0%
Thomas Basila0%
Jonas Vinck0%
Sieben Dewaele0%
Liam Bossin0%
Luis Hartwig0%
Cederick Van Daele0%
Manuel Osifo0%
Juan Fuentes0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Andy Musayev0%
Paco Avoki0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Oostende
Club Brugge KV
Gent
Charleroi
Antwerp
Standard Liege
KV Mechelen
Genk
Anderlecht
Zulte Waregem
Kortrijk
St. Truiden
Cercle Brugge
SK Beveren