Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split Result & Analysis

Pafos, buoyed by a recent 3-0 win over Karmiotissa, enter the match on a positive note, while HNK Hajduk Split, unbeaten in their last five with a 2-0 victory over NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, look to maintain momentum. The model favours a home win, assigning Pafos a 47% chance, a draw 27%, and a 26% chance for Hajduk. The expected total goals is 2.8, with the most likely total being two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.7% probability. Pafos averages 1.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded at home against similar opposition; Hajduk averages 0.25 scored and 2.0 conceded away against similar teams. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 85%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.4% (edge 4%), Over 2.5 cards at 77.4% (hit), Under 5.5 cards at 77.2% (edge 18%, hit), Under 11.5 corners at 74.4% (edge 5%), and Over 21.5 fouls at 72.8%.

Pafos’ recent win extended their run, while Hajduk Split remained unbeaten in their last five. The model’s pick of a home win at 47% probability proved correct as Pafos triumphed 4-0, confirming the favoured result. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.4% probability, hit, as did Over 2.5 cards at 77.4% and Under 5.5 cards at 77.2%. Each of these selections reached the outcome they predicted. The match delivered a decisive home victory, with the model’s predictions largely materialising in both result and ancillary outcomes.