This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.90
1.75
1.69
0.79
2.14
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
3.67
1.00
4.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.62
1.92
1.33
0.92
1.92
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
2.33
1.50
1.50
0.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
Paks goals ↓
Ujpest goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
3.8%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
1
9.9%
11%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.9%
4.4%
1.3%
0.3%
3
7.6%
6.7%
3.0%
0.9%
0.2%
4
3.9%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paks goals (down), columns = Ujpest goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.24
Paks
1.76
Puskas Academy
1.67
Fehérvár FC
1.64
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Diosgyori VTK
1.36
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.33
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.30
Ujpest
1.12
Kisvarda FC
0.94
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.64
Paks is 0.64 points better than Ujpest in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ferencvarosi TC
2.42
Puskas Academy
1.82
Fehérvár FC
1.67
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.64
Paks
1.55
Diosgyori VTK
1.52
Debreceni VSC
1.48
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Ujpest
1.36
MTK Budapest
1.30
Kisvarda FC
1.21
Mezokovesd-zsory
0.94
Paks is 0.18 goals better than Ujpest in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ferencvarosi TC
0.91
Puskas Academy
1.06
Fehérvár FC
1.21
Paks
1.27
Kecskeméti TE
1.36
Debreceni VSC
1.45
Kisvarda FC
1.67
Diosgyori VTK
1.70
Zalaegerszegi TE
1.82
MTK Budapest
1.88
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.91
Ujpest
2.03
Paks is 0.76 goals better than Ujpest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 2.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Ferencvarosi TC
65%
Debreceni VSC
57%
Puskas Academy
52%
Diosgyori VTK
52%
Kecskeméti TE
49%
Ujpest
49%
Fehérvár FC
48%
Mezokovesd-zsory
48%
MTK Budapest
47%
Kisvarda FC
47%
Paks
45%
Zalaegerszegi TE
39%
Paks is 4.3 percentage points worse than Ujpest in terms of average possession (45% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Paks
For 5.4 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 16.6 · Total 31.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ujpest
For 3.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paks
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.3
11.3
3.8
3.7
3.9
30.5
35.0
26.7
vs Stronger (5)
11.8
12.3
10.0
6.2
7.0
5.0
40.0
40.0
-
vs Similar (39)
11.6
11.1
11.9
3.6
3.1
4.0
28.9
33.8
25.0
vs Weaker (6)
9.7
11.0
8.3
3.3
4.3
2.3
35.0
-
35.0
% over line
74%
80%
68%
52%
48%
56%
91%
100%
83%
% under line
26%
20%
32%
48%
52%
44%
9%
0%
17%
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.2
9.1
3.1
2.7
3.5
25.3
22.8
27.3
vs Stronger (4)
8.5
7.0
10.0
4.2
5.0
3.5
22.0
22.0
-
vs Similar (41)
9.0
9.1
8.9
3.0
2.3
3.7
26.6
25.0
27.3
vs Weaker (5)
11.3
12.0
10.0
2.8
3.3
2.0
17.0
17.0
-
% over line
54%
56%
53%
42%
25%
58%
91%
80%
100%
% under line
46%
44%
47%
58%
75%
42%
9%
20%
0%
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Paks
11.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
10.7
Diosgyori VTK
10.5
Kecskeméti TE
10.2
Ferencvarosi TC
9.9
Mezokovesd-zsory
9.9
Kisvarda FC
9.8
Fehérvár FC
9.5
Debreceni VSC
9.5
MTK Budapest
9.4
Puskas Academy
9.3
Ujpest
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Puskas Academy
5.2
Fehérvár FC
5.1
Paks
5.0
Kecskeméti TE
4.9
Ferencvarosi TC
4.8
Ujpest
4.5
Zalaegerszegi TE
4.5
Debreceni VSC
4.2
Mezokovesd-zsory
4.1
Diosgyori VTK
4.1
Kisvarda FC
4.1
MTK Budapest
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Paks
30.5
Puskas Academy
29.2
Kecskeméti TE
28.4
Debreceni VSC
27.1
Mezokovesd-zsory
26.6
Ujpest
25.3
Ferencvarosi TC
24.9
Zalaegerszegi TE
24.3
Kisvarda FC
24.0
Diosgyori VTK
23.6
MTK Budapest
23.1
Fehérvár FC
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
88.2%
Under 21.5
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Paks
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
0.93
0.14
0.62
1.19
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
6.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.48
0.92
0.08
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.75
0.50
0.29
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.62
0.92
0.42
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paks over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Paks
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
0.93
0.79
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.84
0.52
0.83
0.75
0.85
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.33
2.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ujpest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ujpest
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.20
1.00
1.19
0.50
1.21
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
2.33
0.50
2.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.79
1.00
1.00
0.92
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Paks) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paks over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paks over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ujpest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paks
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Norbert Könyves40%
József Windecker31%
János Hahn15%
Bálint Szabó13%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
Kristóf Papp10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Bence Lenzsér6%
Dániel Böde5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Alen Skribek0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Krisztián Kovács0%
Kevin Horvath0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bence Lenzsér31%
Ákos Kinyik30%
Krisztián Kovács29%
Bálint Szabó27%
János Hahn23%
József Windecker23%
Barna Tóth20%
Bálint Vécsei20%
Attila Osváth19%
Kristóf Papp15%
Norbert Könyves15%
Norbert Szélpál14%
Kevin Horvath14%
Szabolcs Mezei13%
János Szabó13%
Gabor Vas13%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Balázs Balogh7%
Péter Szappanos6%
Alen Skribek0%
Erik Silye0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alen Skribek29%
Kristóf Papp15%
Dániel Böde10%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Szabolcs Mezei7%
Balázs Balogh7%
János Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Könyves5%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Barna Tóth0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Hahn0%
József Windecker0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Norbert Könyves35%
József Windecker31%
Dániel Böde14%
Barna Tóth10%
János Hahn8%
Zsolt Haraszti7%
Bálint Szabó7%
Krisztián Kovács6%
Norbert Szélpál0%
Szabolcs Mezei0%
Alen Skribek0%
Ákos Kinyik0%
Péter Szappanos0%
Erik Silye0%
Attila Osváth0%
Balázs Balogh0%
Bence Lenzsér0%
János Szabó0%
Kristóf Papp0%
Bálint Vécsei0%
Bence Kocsis0%
Gabor Vas0%
Barnabás Simon0%
Kevin Horvath0%
Ujpest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matija Ljujić33%
Peter Ambrose22%
György Varga20%
Heinz Mörschel16%
Kevin Csoboth15%
András Huszti12%
Ognjen Radosevic12%
Aboubakar Keita8%
Mátyás Tajti7%
Georgios Antzoulas6%
Miloš Kosanović0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Albi Doka0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Dávid Banai0%
Branko Pauljević0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Tamás Kiss0%
George Ganea0%
Tim Hall0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Luca Mack0%
Franklin Sasere0%
Csanád Fehér0%
Dominik Kovács0%
Zsombor Molnár0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Miron Máté Mucsányi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Heinz Mörschel32%
Luca Mack31%
András Huszti25%
Matija Ljujić25%
Tim Hall25%
Lirim Kastrati25%
Daviti Kobouri21%
Ognjen Radosevic19%
Aboubakar Keita17%
Branko Pauljević14%
Kevin Csoboth10%
Tamás Kiss8%
George Ganea8%
Dávid Banai7%
Mátyás Tajti7%
Peter Ambrose6%
Miloš Kosanović0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Albi Doka0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
Franklin Sasere0%
György Varga0%
Csanád Fehér0%
Dominik Kovács0%
Zsombor Molnár0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Miron Máté Mucsányi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matija Ljujić25%
Bálint Geiger17%
András Huszti12%
Kevin Csoboth10%
Krisztián Simon9%
Krisztián Tamás8%
Mátyás Tajti7%
Ognjen Radosevic6%
Peter Ambrose6%
Heinz Mörschel5%
Miloš Kosanović0%
Albi Doka0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
Dávid Banai0%
Branko Pauljević0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Tamás Kiss0%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
George Ganea0%
Tim Hall0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Luca Mack0%
Franklin Sasere0%
György Varga0%
Csanád Fehér0%
Dominik Kovács0%
Zsombor Molnár0%
Miron Máté Mucsányi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heinz Mörschel37%
Matija Ljujić25%
Franklin Sasere15%
Mátyás Tajti7%
Peter Ambrose6%
Kevin Csoboth5%
Miloš Kosanović0%
Krisztián Tamás0%
Albi Doka0%
Aboubakar Keita0%
Daviti Kobouri0%
András Huszti0%
Dávid Banai0%
Branko Pauljević0%
Vincent Onovo0%
Krisztián Simon0%
Tamás Kiss0%
Georgios Antzoulas0%
George Ganea0%
Tim Hall0%
Lirim Kastrati0%
Luca Mack0%
György Varga0%
Csanád Fehér0%
Ognjen Radosevic0%
Dominik Kovács0%
Zsombor Molnár0%
Bálint Geiger0%
Miron Máté Mucsányi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (40)
€40m
UJP (29)
€14m
PA (27)
€11m
MB (23)
€11m
DV (27)
€9m
PAK (29)
€8m
KF (25)
€6m
ZT (23)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
Paks's squad is €6m less valuable than Ujpest's (€8m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (18)
€24m
UJP (7)
€5m
PA (12)
€5m
PAK (9)
€3m
DV (10)
€2m
KF (8)
€2m
MB (9)
€2m
ZT (8)
€2m
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
Paks's attack is €3m less valuable than Ujpest's (€3m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (9)
€8m
MB (4)
€4m
UJP (8)
€3m
PA (5)
€2m
PAK (6)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
DV (5)
€2m
ZT (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
KT (2)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
Paks's midfield is €2m less valuable than Ujpest's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FT (13)
€9m
UJP (14)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
DV (12)
€4m
PA (10)
€4m
PAK (14)
€4m
KF (10)
€2m
ZT (10)
€2m
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
Paks's defence is €2m less valuable than Ujpest's (€4m vs €5m).
Hungary: NB I 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB I stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ferencvarosi TC
Puskas Academy
Fehérvár FC
Debreceni VSC
Kecskeméti TE
Diosgyori VTK
MTK Budapest
Zalaegerszegi TE
Kisvarda FC
Mezokovesd-zsory