This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.95
0.10
1.80
1.50
2.10
vs Stronger (15)
0.53
2.27
0.12
1.75
1.00
2.86
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.25
0.00
2.00
1.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
15% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.5%
Under 1.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.54-2.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 2.37+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.9%
3-0
5.8%
1-2 ✓
5.6%
Paris FC goals ↓
Martigues goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
4.3%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.3%
11%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.9%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
5.8%
6.4%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.8%
3.1%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Paris FC goals (down), columns = Martigues goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Paris FC is 1.19 points better than Martigues in terms of average points per game (2.08 vs 0.89).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Paris FC is 0.92 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 0.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Paris FC is 0.64 goals better than Martigues in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Paris FC is 17.0 percentage points better than Martigues in terms of average possession (61% vs 44%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Paris FC
For 5.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Martigues
For 4.1 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Paris FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.3
9.4
3.3
3.2
3.5
25.2
26.3
24.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
10.0
10.2
9.8
3.3
2.4
4.2
24.8
24.6
25.0
vs Weaker (40)
9.2
9.0
9.3
3.4
3.4
3.3
25.3
26.7
24.1
% over line
50%
57%
44%
36%
33%
38%
71%
83%
60%
% under line
50%
43%
56%
64%
67%
62%
29%
17%
40%
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (20)
11.4
12.8
9.3
3.2
3.7
2.8
24.2
23.9
24.6
vs Stronger (15)
11.3
11.8
10.7
3.3
3.8
2.9
24.1
24.4
23.8
vs Similar (4)
11.7
17.0
1.0
3.8
3.5
4.0
24.3
22.0
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
65%
80%
43%
45%
60%
30%
71%
60%
86%
% under line
35%
20%
57%
55%
40%
70%
29%
40%
14%
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RED Star FC 93
11.4
Martigues
11.4
Rodez
10.6
Caen
10.0
Lorient
10.0
Red Star
9.9
Clermont Foot
9.9
Guingamp
9.7
Bastia
9.7
Laval
9.6
Dunkerque
9.5
Paris FC
9.5
Annecy
9.4
Grenoble
9.4
Estac Troyes
9.3
Metz
9.3
PAU
9.2
Amiens
9.0
Ajaccio
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
4.9
Lorient
4.4
Clermont Foot
4.3
PAU
4.2
Estac Troyes
4.1
Martigues
4.1
Laval
4.0
Amiens
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Annecy
3.9
Ajaccio
3.8
Red Star
3.8
Metz
3.7
Caen
3.7
Guingamp
3.7
Paris FC
3.6
Rodez
3.6
RED Star FC 93
3.4
Grenoble
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
28.2
Ajaccio
28.0
Laval
28.0
Amiens
27.6
Bastia
27.0
Guingamp
26.9
Annecy
26.7
Red Star
26.7
Estac Troyes
26.3
PAU
26.0
Dunkerque
25.4
Paris FC
25.1
Lorient
25.0
Metz
24.9
Clermont Foot
24.3
Martigues
24.2
Rodez
24.0
RED Star FC 93
23.8
Grenoble
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.4%
Under 9.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.6%
Under 21.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Paris FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.77
0.69
0.76
0.65
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.50
0.75
0.50
vs Weaker (24)
0.75
0.62
0.73
0.55
0.77
0.69
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.65
0.10
0.30
0.70
1.00
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
0.73
0.12
0.25
0.71
1.29
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Paris FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Paris FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.30
1.08
0.31
0.65
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (24)
0.88
0.25
1.09
0.36
0.69
0.15
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Martigues) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Martigues
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.30
0.00
1.50
0.80
1.10
vs Stronger (15)
0.13
1.53
0.00
1.50
0.29
1.57
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
25% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Paris FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Martigues over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Paris FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jean-Philippe Krasso39%
Mathieu Cafaro36%
Pierre-Yves Hamel22%
Ilan Kebbal17%
Maxime López11%
Samir Sophian Chergui11%
Julien López10%
Adama Camara10%
Omar Sissoko9%
Vincent Marchetti7%
Alimami Gory7%
Lohann Doucet7%
Timothée Kolodziejczak6%
Moustapha Mbow6%
Nouha Dicko3%
Thibault De Smet0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Mathys Tourraine0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxime López41%
Thibault De Smet33%
Mathieu Cafaro27%
Adama Camara19%
Mathys Tourraine17%
Alimami Gory17%
Julien López16%
Timothée Kolodziejczak16%
Vincent Marchetti14%
Ilan Kebbal13%
Samir Sophian Chergui11%
Lohann Doucet10%
Aboubaka Soumahoro7%
Jean-Philippe Krasso6%
Nouha Dicko6%
Jules Gaudin6%
Moustapha Mbow6%
Tuomas Ollila5%
Pierre-Yves Hamel4%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Omar Sissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathieu Cafaro27%
Ilan Kebbal23%
Thibault De Smet20%
Maxime López19%
Vincent Marchetti18%
Alimami Gory13%
Jean-Philippe Krasso13%
Nouha Dicko12%
Jules Gaudin12%
Julien López3%
Timothée Kolodziejczak3%
Adama Camara3%
Moustapha Mbow3%
Pierre-Yves Hamel0%
Samir Sophian Chergui0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Mathys Tourraine0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Omar Sissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jean-Philippe Krasso32%
Alimami Gory10%
Mathieu Cafaro9%
Pierre-Yves Hamel9%
Ilan Kebbal7%
Adama Camara6%
Vincent Marchetti4%
Julien López3%
Timothée Kolodziejczak3%
Maxime López0%
Thibault De Smet0%
Nouha Dicko0%
Samir Sophian Chergui0%
Tuomas Ollila0%
Mathys Tourraine0%
Jules Gaudin0%
Moustapha Mbow0%
Obed Nkambadio0%
Lohann Doucet0%
Aboubaka Soumahoro0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Omar Sissoko0%
Martigues
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oualid Orinel23%
Karim Tlilli22%
Oucasse Mendy17%
Abdoul Diawara17%
Romain Montiel12%
Steve Solvet11%
Milan Robin10%
Ayoub Amraoui7%
Alain Ipiele6%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Simon Falette0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Francois Kembolo Luyeye31%
Luan Gautier29%
Yan Marillat27%
Steve Solvet22%
Leandro Morante19%
Nathanaël Saintini18%
Akim Djaha18%
Yanis Hadjem17%
Simon Falette12%
Samir Belloumou12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Jeremy Aymes8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Yannick Etilé8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Milan Robin6%
Alain Ipiele6%
Romain Montiel6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Bevic Moussiti Oko4%
Ayoub Amraoui3%
Mahamé Siby0%
Steve Shamal0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ayoub Amraoui13%
Alain Ipiele9%
Yanis Hadjem8%
Oualid Orinel8%
Nathanaël Saintini7%
Romain Montiel6%
Mohamed Bamba6%
Karim Tlilli4%
Samir Belloumou4%
Steve Solvet4%
Mahamé Siby3%
Oucasse Mendy3%
Milan Robin3%
Simon Falette3%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Ilyes Zouaoui0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Romain Montiel12%
Oucasse Mendy10%
Karim Tlilli9%
Oualid Orinel8%
Ilyes Zouaoui7%
Yanis Hadjem4%
Steve Solvet4%
Simon Falette0%
Mahamé Siby0%
Yan Marillat0%
Francois Kembolo Luyeye0%
Bevic Moussiti Oko0%
Steve Shamal0%
Jeremy Aymes0%
Nathanaël Saintini0%
Abdoul Diawara0%
Samir Belloumou0%
Leandro Morante0%
Akim Djaha0%
Milan Robin0%
Yannick Etilé0%
Alain Ipiele0%
Ayoub Amraoui0%
Mohamed Bamba0%
Vignon Ouotro0%
Luan Gautier0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Lorient
Metz
Dunkerque
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Amiens
Ajaccio
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Caen
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