This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.44
1.50
1.36
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.42
1.54
1.38
1.46
1.45
1.64
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
1.17
1.67
1.67
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
2-2
5.9%
Patro Eisden goals ↓
Dender goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
7.6%
6.6%
3.3%
1.2%
1
6.6%
13%
8.8%
4.4%
1.7%
2
5.2%
7.8%
5.9%
3.0%
1.1%
3
2.3%
3.5%
2.6%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Patro Eisden goals (down), columns = Dender goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Patro Eisden is 0.21 points worse than Dender in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Patro Eisden is 0.55 goals worse than Dender in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Patro Eisden is 0.00 goals better than Dender in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.07).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Patro Eisden is 8.2 percentage points worse than Dender in terms of average possession (41% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Patro Eisden
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Dender
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (37)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Beerschot VA
11.0
Oostende
10.3
Zulte Waregem
9.9
SK Beveren
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beerschot VA
4.6
Oostende
4.3
SK Beveren
4.1
Zulte Waregem
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SK Beveren
25.9
Beerschot VA
24.0
Oostende
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
28.3%
Under 9.5
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.7%
Under 3.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.6%
Under 21.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.62
0.88
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.88
0.46
0.85
0.36
0.91
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
1.33
1.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.80
2.00
0.50
1.33
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.60
0.80
2.00
0.50
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dender
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
0.81
0.62
1.00
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.00
0.67
0.92
0.62
1.09
0.73
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 11.5 corners
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 9.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marius Noubissi27%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson22%
Kevin Kis16%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Yacine Bentayeb11%
Lukas Van Eenoo8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Simon Bammens7%
Theo Pierrot7%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Stef Peeters5%
Wouter Corstjens4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Roman Ferber0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Jordan Renson0%
Jordi Belin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stef Peeters43%
Henk Dijkhuizen33%
Tom Pietermaat30%
Wouter Corstjens26%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu25%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Yassin Gueroui23%
Iebe Swers21%
Theo Pierrot21%
Marius Noubissi18%
Mehdi Bounou18%
Kevin Kis16%
Simon Bammens14%
Jordan Renson12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Justin Heekeren8%
Bafode Dansoko8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Elisha Sam6%
Roman Ferber0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Simon Bammens14%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Stef Peeters10%
Marius Noubissi9%
Kevin Kis8%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Tom Pietermaat4%
Jordan Renson4%
Roman Ferber0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anis Hadj Moussa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Ferber33%
Stef Peeters29%
Bafode Dansoko28%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Marius Noubissi18%
Elisha Sam12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Jordan Renson8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Theo Pierrot7%
Kevin Kis4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Simon Bammens0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu0%
Jordi Belin0%
Dender
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruny Nsimba35%
Ali Akman25%
Arnaud Dony20%
Jordy Soladio19%
Michael Lallemand18%
Desmond Acquah17%
Olivier Myny14%
Kobe Cools12%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Lennard Hens10%
Stefano Marzo9%
Dylan Ragolle6%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joedrick Pupe38%
Stefano Marzo27%
Olivier Myny27%
Bruny Nsimba26%
Dylan Ragolle25%
Ridwane M'Barki24%
Lennard Hens24%
Gilles Ruyssen17%
Xavier Gies17%
Kobe Cools17%
Jordy Soladio14%
Kéres Masangu11%
Nathan Rodes9%
Fabio Ferraro7%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Ali Akman0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ridwane M'Barki33%
Lennard Hens33%
Stefano Marzo27%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Ali Akman10%
Jordy Soladio10%
Bruny Nsimba9%
Olivier Myny5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruny Nsimba43%
Lennard Hens33%
Ridwane M'Barki19%
Ali Akman15%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Jordy Soladio10%
Gilles Ruyssen6%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Olivier Myny0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
Patro Eisden's squad is €1m less valuable than Dender's (€7m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Patro Eisden and Dender have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
Patro Eisden's midfield is €1m less valuable than Dender's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
Patro Eisden and Dender have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II