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Peterhead vs Cove Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
36%
30%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.44
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.46
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers win✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied 46.7% · @ 1.97
Edge
-13.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W31W12L23L20W12L01L23L03L32WH·CLY24/04A·EAS29/04H·FOR01/05A·DUM04/05H·ALL31/07A·FAL07/08A·MON14/08H·AIR21/08A·EAS28/08H·CLY11/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.401.201.201.001.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.581.121.250.821.82
vs Weaker (11)1.361.091.291.141.501.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D22D20W02L11D02L52W31W12L11DA·FAL24/04H·PAR27/04A·MON29/04H·AIR01/05H·FAL31/07A·QUE07/08H·EAS14/08A·DUM21/08A·CLY28/08H·MON11/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.001.871.071.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.350.951.731.000.890.89
vs Weaker (10)2.201.102.251.252.171.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%019%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.91-6.4%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 1.84+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.8%
No
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.5%
1-0
9.9%
0-1 ✓
9.4%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
Peterhead goals ↓
Cove Rangers goals →
01234
011%9.4%6.3%2.4%0.7%
19.9%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
26.8%8.0%4.7%1.8%0.5%
32.8%3.2%1.9%0.7%0.2%
40.8%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Cove Rangers goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
Peterhead is 1.03 points worse than Cove Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
Peterhead is 0.75 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 2.03).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
Peterhead is 0.53 goals worse than Cove Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.89).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 4.5 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

14033927421141072435443561111131497975H·CLYA·EASH·AIRA·MONA·FALH·ALLA·DUMH·FORA·EASH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

4011212131221211132312334432424H·CLYA·EASH·AIRA·MONA·FALH·ALLA·DUMH·FORA·EASH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.3 · Total 26.6

⚠ïļ Fouls

330617112016101111881419121415161511151723312622163326312632H·CLYA·EASH·AIRA·MONA·FALH·ALLA·DUMH·FORA·EASH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 3.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 7.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1505712339112344431321431215122587437H·MONA·CLYA·DUMH·EASA·QUEH·FALH·AIRA·MONH·PARA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

703312432321114346165321157H·MONA·CLYA·DUMH·EASA·QUEH·FALH·AIRA·MONH·PARA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

40091291214916246141211991281312192021212340202318202539H·MONA·CLYA·DUMH·EASA·QUEH·FALH·AIRA·MONH·PARA·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.59.24.24.24.124.224.324.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)8.98.19.44.44.64.324.725.524.0
vs Weaker (18)8.78.98.43.73.73.623.322.824.1
% over line38%32%44%64%64%64%72%72%72%
% under line62%68%56%36%36%36%28%28%28%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.99.13.74.03.523.022.823.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (29)9.09.58.43.94.23.623.923.824.0
vs Weaker (21)10.210.510.03.53.63.521.721.322.0
% over line44%44%44%50%56%44%58%64%52%
% under line56%56%56%50%44%56%42%36%48%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
10.9
Airdrie United
10.4
Falkirk
10.1
Dumbarton
9.9
Clyde
9.8
Queens Park
9.7
Montrose
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.5
East Fife
9.3
Peterhead
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.2
Queens Park
3.8
Cove Rangers
3.7
Montrose
3.7
Falkirk
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Dumbarton
3.4
Clyde
3.2
Alloa
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.3
Peterhead
24.2
East Fife
23.2
Montrose
23.0
Cove Rangers
23.0
Alloa
22.6
Queens Park
22.1
Dumbarton
22.1
Clyde
21.2
Airdrie United
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
37.5%
Under 9.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.5%
Under 3.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.0%
Under 21.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D11D10W01L00D01L00D32WH·CLY24/04A·EAS29/04H·FOR01/05A·DUM04/05H·ALL31/07A·FAL07/08A·MON14/08H·AIR21/08A·EAS28/08H·CLY11/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.470.470.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.370.680.380.500.360.82
vs Weaker (11)0.450.360.570.430.250.25
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D10W00D00D00D20W20W02L00DA·FAL24/04H·PAR27/04A·MON29/04H·AIR01/05H·FAL31/07A·QUE07/08H·EAS14/08A·DUM21/08A·CLY28/08H·MON11/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.200.800.130.730.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.550.150.640.090.440.22
vs Weaker (10)1.200.301.250.251.170.33
Clean sheet %83% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W12L12L10W11D01L22D03L00DH·CLY24/04A·EAS29/04H·FOR01/05A·DUM04/05H·ALL31/07A·FAL07/08A·MON14/08H·AIR21/08A·EAS28/08H·CLY11/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.830.730.730.670.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.890.750.750.451.00
vs Weaker (11)0.910.730.710.711.250.75
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D10W02L11D02L32W11D10W11DA·FAL24/04H·PAR27/04A·MON29/04H·AIR01/05H·FAL31/07A·QUE07/08H·EAS14/08A·DUM21/08A·CLY28/08H·MON11/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.070.930.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.800.801.090.910.440.67
vs Weaker (10)1.000.801.001.001.000.67
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners83.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls80.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards71.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PET wins
0
Draws
2
CR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Cove Rangers · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
02/01/21ACove Rangers Vs PET1-0
24/10/20HPET Vs Cove Rangers0-2

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/21HPET Vs Clyde3-2
28/08/21AEast Fife Vs PET3-0
21/08/21HPET Vs Airdrie United2-3
14/08/21AMontrose Vs PET1-0
07/08/21AFalkirk Vs PET2-1
31/07/21HPET Vs Alloa2-0
04/05/21ADumbarton Vs PET3-2
01/05/21HPET Vs Forfar1-2
29/04/21AEast Fife Vs PET1-3
24/04/21HPET Vs Clyde3-0

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/21HCR Vs Montrose1-1
28/08/21AClyde Vs CR2-1
21/08/21ADumbarton Vs CR1-3
14/08/21HCR Vs East Fife5-2
07/08/21AQueens Park Vs CR2-0
31/07/21HCR Vs Falkirk1-1
01/05/21HCR Vs Airdrie United0-2
29/04/21AMontrose Vs CR0-2
27/04/21HCR Vs Partick2-2
24/04/21AFalkirk Vs CR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.06
HomeWLWLW1.48
AwayWLLLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%44%20%
AVG goals2.662.323.00
Over 1.5 %76%76%76%
Over 2.5 %52%40%64%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored1.121.201.04
Conceded1.541.121.96
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet26%40%12%
Corners8.828.489.16
Cards4.164.244.08
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLD1.92
HomeDLDWD2.40
AwayDWLWL1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%76%40%
AVG goals2.922.803.04
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.882.041.72
Conceded1.040.761.32
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet38%52%24%
Corners9.509.889.12
Cards3.743.963.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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