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Peterhead vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 06/10/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 3-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
56%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
56.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W11D40W10W20W01L42W10W31WA·ELG21/04H·EDI28/04H·QUE04/08A·ALB11/08H·CLY18/08A·STI25/08H·EDI01/09A·COW15/09H·BER22/09A·ANN29/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.200.971.870.872.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)2.601.002.000.713.121.25
vs Weaker (15)1.800.931.751.001.860.86
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L11D11D10W10W03L30W14L21WH·EDI14/04H·PET21/04A·MON28/04A·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09A·CLY22/09H·QUE29/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.731.430.930.942.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.331.671.600.801.142.29
vs Weaker (18)1.061.781.331.000.782.56
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.8%
Under 2.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.1%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.2%
3-0 ✓
6.0%
1-2
5.4%
Peterhead goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
06.5%4.5%2.9%1.0%0.3%
19.1%12%5.4%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.9%5.1%1.8%0.5%
36.0%6.2%3.2%1.1%0.3%
42.8%2.9%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Peterhead is 1.00 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Peterhead is 0.36 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.44).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Peterhead is 1.06 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.86).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

240366152591311435725435977142475998A·ANNH·BERA·COWH·EDIA·STIH·CLYA·ALBH·QUEH·EDIA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80112245322211223312268430354A·ANNH·BERA·COWH·EDIA·STIH·CLYA·ALBH·QUEH·EDIA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 12.9 · Total 29.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

390159181218162415842214131515121418161424303439123628273230A·ANNH·BERA·COWH·EDIA·STIH·CLYA·ALBH·QUEH·EDIA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 5.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

17052611511069615541553105717616156915815H·QUEA·CLYA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANNA·MONH·PETH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60111122112242113222241362144H·QUEA·CLYA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANNA·MONH·PETH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

3206139714121510611161611151171416111319162625173226183024H·QUEA·CLYA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANNA·MONH·PETH·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.99.23.23.72.827.228.426.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)8.07.98.02.93.82.228.127.828.5
vs Weaker (25)10.911.610.23.53.63.426.428.923.9
% over line39%41%36%46%52%40%86%91%82%
% under line61%59%64%54%48%60%14%9%18%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.510.93.12.93.322.222.421.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.78.910.42.72.43.121.422.620.4
vs Weaker (27)10.69.911.23.43.33.522.822.323.2
% over line60%52%68%40%36%44%51%52%50%
% under line40%48%32%60%64%56%49%48%50%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.4
Queens Park
10.4
Stirling
10.3
Clyde
10.3
Elgin
10.2
Edinburgh City
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Berwick
9.4
Cowdenbeath
9.1
Annan Athletic
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Clyde
3.9
Queens Park
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Peterhead
3.7
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.5
Stirling
3.2
Albion Rvs
3.1
Berwick
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.2
Edinburgh City
24.3
Annan Athletic
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.9
Stirling
23.2
Clyde
22.3
Elgin
22.2
Berwick
22.0
Albion Rvs
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.1%
Under 9.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.5%
Under 21.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D10W00D10W00D12L00D10WA·ELG21/04H·EDI28/04H·QUE04/08A·ALB11/08H·CLY18/08A·STI25/08H·EDI01/09A·COW15/09H·BER22/09A·ANN29/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.400.530.471.000.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.470.290.431.250.50
vs Weaker (15)0.730.330.750.500.710.14
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W00D00D00D03L30W13L01LH·EDI14/04H·PET21/04A·MON28/04A·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09A·CLY22/09H·QUE29/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.710.430.440.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.500.600.400.710.57
vs Weaker (18)0.500.830.780.440.221.22
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D00D30W10W10W01L30W10W21WA·ELG21/04H·EDI28/04H·QUE04/08A·ALB11/08H·CLY18/08A·STI25/08H·EDI01/09A·COW15/09H·BER22/09A·ANN29/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.571.330.401.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.800.531.710.291.880.75
vs Weaker (15)1.070.601.000.501.140.71
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L11D10W10W00D00D01L20WH·EDI14/04H·PET21/04A·MON28/04A·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09A·CLY22/09H·QUE29/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.710.500.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.671.171.000.400.431.71
vs Weaker (18)0.560.940.560.560.561.33
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners75.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
4
PET wins
0
Draws
0
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Elgin · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/18AElgin Vs PET0-1
02/01/18HPET Vs Elgin7-0
04/11/17AElgin Vs PET0-2
12/08/17HPET Vs Elgin3-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/18AAnnan Athletic Vs PET1-3
22/09/18HPET Vs Berwick1-0
15/09/18ACowdenbeath Vs PET2-4
01/09/18HPET Vs Edinburgh City0-1
25/08/18AStirling Vs PET0-2
18/08/18HPET Vs Clyde1-0
11/08/18AAlbion Rvs Vs PET0-4
04/08/18HPET Vs Queens Park1-1
28/04/18HPET Vs Edinburgh City2-1
21/04/18AElgin Vs PET0-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/09/18HELG Vs Queens Park2-1
22/09/18AClyde Vs ELG4-1
15/09/18ABerwick Vs ELG0-3
01/09/18HELG Vs Stirling0-3
18/08/18AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-1
11/08/18HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-0
04/08/18AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG1-1
28/04/18AMontrose Vs ELG1-1
21/04/18HELG Vs Peterhead0-1
14/04/18HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.04
HomeWDWLW1.84
AwayWWWWW2.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%56%72%
AVG goals3.142.843.44
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %38%24%52%
Scored2.041.762.32
Conceded1.101.081.12
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet38%36%40%
Corners9.579.919.23
Cards3.664.183.14
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW1.32
HomeDLWLW1.76
AwayDDWWL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals3.122.563.68
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %62%48%76%
Over 3.5 %38%20%56%
Scored1.441.561.32
Conceded1.681.002.36
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.199.4810.86
Cards3.603.433.77

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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