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Peterhead vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 02/03/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
Peterhead
Peterhead
Vs
56%
24%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Peterhead win✓ Hit
55.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
20.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W30W12L20W20W03L00D21W10W10WH·STI22/12A·ELG29/12H·CLY05/01A·ALB12/01H·BER19/01A·ANN26/01H·EDI09/02H·QUE16/02A·STI23/02H·COW26/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.930.671.620.562.290.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)2.190.501.620.382.750.62
vs Weaker (14)1.640.861.620.751.671.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L40W03L02L14L33D30W32W30W22DA·EDI15/12A·QUE22/12H·PET29/12A·ANN05/01H·COW12/01H·EDI26/01A·ALB09/02H·STI16/02A·BER23/02H·QUE26/02
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.871.621.941.641.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.941.441.752.252.120.62
vs Weaker (14)1.292.361.501.621.003.33
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.0%
Under 2.5
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.6%
Under 3.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0 ✓
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
Peterhead goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
06.2%4.5%2.9%1.1%0.3%
18.7%11%5.6%2.0%0.5%
29.3%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.9%6.3%3.4%1.2%0.3%
42.8%3.0%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Peterhead goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Peterhead is 1.00 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Peterhead is 0.36 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.44).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Peterhead is 1.06 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.81 vs 1.86).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

PeterheadPeterhead

For 6.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

1401127668256581553463831313147119107911H·COWA·STIH·QUEH·EDIA·ANNH·BERA·ALBH·CLYA·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

501242221322311112313443551234H·COWA·STIH·QUEH·EDIA·ANNH·BERA·ALBH·CLYA·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 22.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

28011151792061071513111291187131214726262617282320152521H·COWA·STIH·QUEH·EDIA·ANNH·BERA·ALBH·CLYA·ELGH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 3.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1204465663446842936525811127101211957H·QUEA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIH·COWA·ANNH·PETA·QUEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6032221213312142215232134363H·QUEA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIH·COWA·ANNH·PETA·QUEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 20.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

26012139137812145131881512131286112522152618923252017H·QUEA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIH·COWA·ANNH·PETA·QUEA·EDI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.79.33.64.03.226.126.925.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)8.38.58.13.34.12.627.127.826.4
vs Weaker (26)10.610.610.63.83.93.825.226.124.2
% over line38%42%33%50%54%46%82%81%83%
% under line62%58%67%50%46%54%18%19%17%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.510.53.33.23.421.621.421.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)9.39.39.33.33.23.422.021.722.3
vs Weaker (25)10.69.611.83.33.33.321.121.121.2
% over line56%48%64%36%32%40%50%44%56%
% under line44%52%36%64%68%60%50%56%44%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.3
Albion Rvs
10.3
Queens Park
10.1
Elgin
10.0
Edinburgh City
9.6
Annan Athletic
9.5
Peterhead
9.5
Clyde
9.4
Berwick
9.2
Cowdenbeath
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.1
Annan Athletic
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Clyde
3.6
Peterhead
3.6
Stirling
3.4
Elgin
3.3
Berwick
3.2
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
26.1
Edinburgh City
24.1
Cowdenbeath
23.5
Annan Athletic
23.3
Berwick
22.9
Stirling
22.9
Elgin
21.6
Clyde
21.2
Albion Rvs
21.1
Queens Park
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.5%
Under 9.5
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.2%
Under 3.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W10W00D00D00D00D10W10W10WH·STI22/12A·ELG29/12H·CLY05/01A·ALB12/01H·BER19/01A·ANN26/01H·EDI09/02H·QUE16/02A·STI23/02H·COW26/02
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.130.750.060.930.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.940.250.750.121.120.38
vs Weaker (14)0.710.000.750.000.670.00
Clean sheet %90% (+63pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W02L01L02L20W10W11D00D00DA·EDI15/12A·QUE22/12H·PET29/12A·ANN05/01H·COW12/01H·EDI26/01A·ALB09/02H·STI16/02A·BER23/02H·QUE26/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.900.621.000.710.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)0.620.690.381.120.880.25
vs Weaker (14)0.711.140.880.880.501.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W02L20W20W03L00D11D00D00DH·STI22/12A·ELG29/12H·CLY05/01A·ALB12/01H·BER19/01A·ANN26/01H·EDI09/02H·QUE16/02A·STI23/02H·COW26/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.530.880.501.360.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.250.250.880.251.620.25
vs Weaker (14)0.930.860.880.751.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W01L01L12L13L20W21W30W22DA·EDI15/12A·QUE22/12H·PET29/12A·ANN05/01H·COW12/01H·EDI26/01A·ALB09/02H·STI16/02A·BER23/02H·QUE26/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.971.000.940.931.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (16)1.310.751.381.121.250.38
vs Weaker (14)0.571.210.620.750.501.83
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards71.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
6
PET wins
0
Draws
0
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Peterhead vs Elgin · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/18AElgin Vs PET0-3
06/10/18HPET Vs Elgin3-0
21/04/18AElgin Vs PET0-1
02/01/18HPET Vs Elgin7-0
04/11/17AElgin Vs PET0-2
12/08/17HPET Vs Elgin3-0

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/19HPET Vs Cowdenbeath1-0
23/02/19AStirling Vs PET0-1
16/02/19HPET Vs Queens Park2-1
09/02/19HPET Vs Edinburgh City0-0
26/01/19AAnnan Athletic Vs PET3-0
19/01/19HPET Vs Berwick2-0
12/01/19AAlbion Rvs Vs PET0-2
05/01/19HPET Vs Clyde1-2
29/12/18AElgin Vs PET0-3
22/12/18HPET Vs Stirling4-1

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/19HELG Vs Queens Park2-2
23/02/19ABerwick Vs ELG0-3
16/02/19HELG Vs Stirling3-2
09/02/19AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-3
26/01/19HELG Vs Edinburgh City3-3
12/01/19HELG Vs Cowdenbeath1-4
05/01/19AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG2-0
29/12/18HELG Vs Peterhead0-3
22/12/18AQueens Park Vs ELG0-4
15/12/18AEdinburgh City Vs ELG4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW2.22
HomeLWDWW2.19
AwayDWWLW2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%69%71%
AVG goals2.982.773.21
Over 1.5 %72%69%75%
Over 2.5 %56%58%54%
Over 3.5 %32%19%46%
Scored2.081.922.25
Conceded0.900.850.96
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet44%42%46%
Corners9.509.659.33
Cards3.583.963.17
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.36
HomeLLDWD1.64
AwayLWLWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals3.423.323.52
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.541.761.32
Conceded1.881.562.20
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners9.989.4810.48
Cards3.303.243.36

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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