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Petrocub vs Zimbru Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-2
Petrocub
Petrocub
Vs
32%
35%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrocub win✓ Hit
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zimbru win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W00D21W12L10W41W10W21W01L00DA·SFÎ17/09A·DAC02/10H·MIL08/10A·ZIM16/10H·SHE23/10A·DIN27/10H·CSF09/11H·MIL11/03A·SHE19/03H·CSF02/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.220.911.250.671.181.18
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.071.211.290.860.861.57
vs Weaker (9)1.440.441.200.401.750.50
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W20W21W00D11D10W00D30W02LA·SHE18/09H·DIN01/10A·CSF09/10H·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03A·MIL18/03H·SHE01/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.181.121.331.781.000.38
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.121.001.001.251.250.75
vs Weaker (9)1.221.221.602.200.750.00
Clean sheet %41% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%18%027%128%216%37%43%51%6+
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
55.3%
Under 1.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
27.2%
Under 2.5
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
11.0%
Under 3.5
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
36.8%
No
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.7%
1-1
14.7%
0-1
13.6%
1-0
13.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-1
6.0%
Petrocub goals ↓
Zimbru goals →
01234
018%14%6.8%2.1%0.5%
113%15%6.1%1.9%0.4%
26.6%6.0%2.7%0.8%0.2%
32.0%1.8%0.8%0.2%0.1%
40.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Petrocub goals (down), columns = Zimbru goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Petrocub is 0.71 points better than Zimbru in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Petrocub is 0.38 goals better than Zimbru in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Petrocub is 0.37 goals better than Zimbru in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.08).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L11D10W21W00D01L01L00DA·SFÎ17/09A·DAC02/10H·MIL08/10A·ZIM16/10H·SHE23/10A·DIN27/10H·CSF09/11H·MIL11/03A·SHE19/03H·CSF02/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.650.420.500.450.82
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.360.930.430.710.291.14
vs Weaker (9)0.560.220.400.200.750.25
Clean sheet %48% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D11D00D00D10W00D10W01LA·SHE18/09H·DIN01/10A·CSF09/10H·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03A·MIL18/03H·SHE01/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.350.470.330.780.380.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.380.380.250.500.500.25
vs Weaker (9)0.330.560.401.000.250.00
Clean sheet %65% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W01L00D20W10W20W00D00DA·SFÎ17/09A·DAC02/10H·MIL08/10A·ZIM16/10H·SHE23/10A·DIN27/10H·CSF09/11H·MIL11/03A·SHE19/03H·CSF02/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.260.830.170.730.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.290.860.140.570.43
vs Weaker (9)0.890.220.800.201.000.25
Clean sheet %78% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZimbruZimbru

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W10W00D11D00D00D20W01LA·SHE18/09H·DIN01/10A·CSF09/10H·PET16/10A·DAC22/10H·MIL27/10A·SFÎ09/11H·SFÎ11/03A·MIL18/03H·SHE01/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.651.001.000.620.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.620.750.750.750.50
vs Weaker (9)0.890.671.201.200.500.00
Clean sheet %65% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.589.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 2.572.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
Petrocub's squad is €1m more valuable than Zimbru's (€5m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
Petrocub and Zimbru have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
Petrocub and Zimbru have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
Petrocub's defence is €1m more valuable than Zimbru's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
PET wins
1
Draws
1
ZIM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Petrocub vs Zimbru · H/A from PET
DateH/AGameScore
16/10/22AZimbru Vs PET2-1
20/08/22HPET Vs Zimbru2-2

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23HPET Vs CSF Bălți0-0
19/03/23ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET1-0
11/03/23HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-1
09/11/22HPET Vs CSF Bălți1-0
27/10/22ADinamo-Auto Vs PET1-4
23/10/22HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol1-0
16/10/22AZimbru Vs PET2-1
08/10/22HPET Vs Milsami Orhei2-1
02/10/22ADacia-Buiucani Vs PET0-0
17/09/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs PET1-2

ZimbruZimbru

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23HZIM Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-2
18/03/23AMilsami Orhei Vs ZIM0-3
11/03/23HZIM Vs Sfîntul Gheorghe0-0
09/11/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs ZIM0-1
27/10/22HZIM Vs Milsami Orhei1-1
22/10/22ADacia-Buiucani Vs ZIM0-0
16/10/22HZIM Vs Petrocub2-1
09/10/22ACSF Bălți Vs ZIM0-2
01/10/22HZIM Vs Dinamo-Auto2-1
18/09/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs ZIM0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.70
HomeWWWWD2.00
AwayWDLWL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%58%36%
AVG goals2.131.922.36
Over 1.5 %52%50%55%
Over 2.5 %43%42%45%
Over 3.5 %22%17%27%
Scored1.221.251.18
Conceded0.910.671.18
BTTS39%33%45%
Clean Sheet43%58%27%
Corners7.837.338.33
Cards5.003.677.00
Zimbru
Zimbru
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.35
HomeWWDDL1.11
AwayDWDWW1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%22%38%
AVG goals2.293.111.38
Over 1.5 %65%89%38%
Over 2.5 %41%56%25%
Over 3.5 %18%22%12%
Scored1.181.331.00
Conceded1.121.780.38
BTTS41%67%12%
Clean Sheet41%11%75%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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