Piast Gliwice's recent form has been a concern, coming off a 0-3 defeat against Lech Poznan, which has seen them lose their last four matches. However, this is where Legia Warszawa comes in, having been unbeaten in their last five matches, including a 5-0 win against Radomiak Radom. Given this recent form, the model predicts an away win for Legia Warszawa, with a 45% probability.
In terms of expected goals, the model forecasts a total of 2.8 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.9% probability. Piast Gliwice has struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 1.6 goals against stronger opponents. In contrast, Legia Warszawa has been impressive away from home, scoring 1.11 goals and conceding 1.11 goals against weaker opponents.
The model's selection for this match is the away win, with a 45% probability. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 45%. The model also suggests the selection of Over 1.5 goals, with a 77.7% probability, and Over 21.5 fouls, with a 76.8% probability.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Legia Warszawa, was tipped to win with a 46 % probability, but the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s call incorrect. Piast Gliwice, coming off a draw, and Legia, unbeaten in their last five, produced a balanced 1-1 scoreline that matched the most likely total of two goals. The model’s selections were largely vindicated: Under 7.5 (98.9 %) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3 %) hit, Under 6.5 (96.9 %) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5 %) hit, Home under 3.5 goals (95.8 %) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.3 %) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (93.9 %) hit, and Under 5.5 (92.1 %) hit. All eight selections were settled and each hit as predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Piast Gliwice win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.44
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
Dafabet
3.55
Betano
3.50
1xBet
3.45
Draw✓ Hit
26.6%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.40
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.52
Betfair
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Legia Warszawa win✗ Miss
46.0%
Avg Implied 45.7% · @ 2.03
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Dafabet
2.08
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.06
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Piast Gliwice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.57
1.40
1.53
1.40
1.60
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.50
0.80
1.40
1.20
1.60
vs Similar (20)
1.60
1.60
1.70
1.60
1.50
1.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Legia Warszawa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.10
1.80
0.87
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.33
1.17
1.60
0.60
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (17)
1.65
1.06
2.11
1.00
1.12
1.12
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
@ 1.25+5.1%
Under 1.5
20.7%
@ 3.59-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.76
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.8%
@ 1.85+4.0%
Under 2.5
45.2%
@ 1.91-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
Betfair
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
SBO
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
SBO
1.98
Betano
1.95
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
@ 3.03+1.9%
Under 3.5
67.5%
@ 1.34-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.21
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Unibet
3.05
Under
Betano
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.68+2.9%
No
41.7%
@ 2.08-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Unibet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
No
888Sport
2.15
Betfair
2.15
William Hil
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.6%@ 6.26+5.4%
1-2
9.4%@ 7.98+3.8%
0-1
8.1%@ 7.44+2.1%
0-2
7.6%@ 9.59+3.0%
2-1
7.0%@ 11.03+3.0%
0-0
6.8%@ 9.70+2.2%
1-0
5.8%@ 10.03+1.3%
2-2
5.8%@ 12.32+2.2%
Piast Gliwice goals ↓
Legia Warszawa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
8.1%
7.6%
4.2%
1.7%
1
5.8%
13%
9.4%
5.2%
2.1%
2
4.3%
7.0%
5.8%
3.2%
1.3%
3
1.7%
2.9%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Piast Gliwice goals (down), columns = Legia Warszawa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.50
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Jagiellonia
2.25
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Piast Gliwice is 0.83 points worse than Legia Warszawa in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.25
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.25
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Piast Gliwice is 0.33 goals worse than Legia Warszawa in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Lech Poznan
0.75
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Jagiellonia
1.25
Gornik Zabrze
1.50
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.75
Piast Gliwice is 1.50 goals worse than Legia Warszawa in terms of goals conceded per game (2.17 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Piast Gliwice is 4.0 percentage points better than Legia Warszawa in terms of average possession (56% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Piast Gliwice
For 5.6 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.1 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Legia Warszawa
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 14.3 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Piast Gliwice
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.8
3.5
3.7
3.2
24.4
23.1
25.8
vs Stronger (15)
9.1
8.8
9.2
3.4
4.3
2.6
24.1
24.3
24.0
vs Similar (34)
10.4
10.7
10.1
3.6
3.5
3.7
24.5
22.7
26.7
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
43%
38%
48%
44%
52%
36%
66%
54%
78%
% under line
57%
62%
52%
56%
48%
64%
34%
46%
22%
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Legia Warszawa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.7
8.7
4.1
4.3
3.8
26.2
26.0
26.3
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
13.0
6.0
4.5
5.0
4.0
19.5
22.0
17.0
vs Similar (25)
8.5
9.1
8.0
4.6
5.3
3.8
26.1
26.8
25.5
vs Weaker (23)
9.8
9.9
9.7
3.5
3.2
3.8
26.8
25.7
28.1
% over line
43%
52%
35%
54%
62%
46%
80%
78%
83%
% under line
57%
48%
65%
46%
38%
54%
20%
22%
17%
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
12.5
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.4
Korona Kielce
10.3
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Motor Lublin
10.1
Slask Wroclaw
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Radomiak Radom
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.6
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.2
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.2
Motor Lublin
5.0
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
Korona Kielce
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Jagiellonia
26.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Legia Warszawa
26.2
Korona Kielce
25.4
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Wisla Krakow
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.9
Piast Gliwice
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.6
GKS Katowice
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.0%
@ 1.71-5.9%
Under 9.5
52.0%
@ 2.01+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.74
Pinnacle
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Under
Betano
2.07
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.01
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
@ 1.83+3.2%
Under 3.5
46.1%
@ 1.88-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.88
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.7%
Under 21.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Piast Gliwice or Draw✓ Hit
55.1%
Avg Implied 54.3% · @ 1.72
Edge
+0.7%
27%
27%
46%
covers Piast Gliwice + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.80
SBO
1.80
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Piast Gliwice or Legia Warszawa✗ Miss
73.7%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.28
Edge
+0.7%
27%
27%
46%
covers Piast Gliwice + Legia Warszawa
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Draw or Legia Warszawa✓ Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 72.7% · @ 1.28
Edge
-1.4%
27%
27%
46%
covers Draw + Legia Warszawa
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Piast Gliwice over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.5%
@ 1.38+5.2%
Under
27.5%
@ 2.84-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.03
888Sport
2.90
10Bet
2.90
Superbet
2.87
Betano
2.87
Piast Gliwice over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.0%
@ 2.84+4.2%
Under
63.0%
@ 1.38-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
888Sport
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Piast Gliwice over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 6.91+0.6%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.07-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.90
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Piast Gliwice over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
@ 18.62-0.9%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.01+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Legia Warszawa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.9%
@ 1.19+3.4%
Under
19.1%
@ 4.11-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.50
BetVictor
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.05
1xBet
4.00
Legia Warszawa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
49.3%
@ 1.99+2.5%
Under
50.7%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Unibet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.75
Legia Warszawa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.2%
@ 4.07+0.4%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.20-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.33
Pinnacle
4.25
1xBet
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Under
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
888Sport
1.20
Legia Warszawa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 9.16-1.6%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.05+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
888Sport
10.00
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
8.60
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Piast Gliwice, so a minus line means Piast Gliwice give that many goals of a start and Legia Warszawa receive them. At -1, Piast Gliwice must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Piast Gliwice win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Piast Gliwice)Actual: Legia Warszawa
Piast Gliwice -2
4.3%
@ 16.62-1.2%
Draw -2
8.4%
@ 9.20-1.5%
Legia Warszawa +2
87.2%
@ 1.07+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Unibet
12.50
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
8.80
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Away
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Handicap -1 (Piast Gliwice)Actual: Legia Warszawa
Piast Gliwice -1
12.8%
@ 7.22+0.4%
Draw -1
16.0%
@ 4.96-2.0%
Legia Warszawa +1
71.3%
@ 1.28+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
8.00
Unibet
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.60
Away
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap +1 (Piast Gliwice)Actual: Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice +1
55.1%
@ 1.73+3.3%
Draw +1
20.8%
@ 3.75-3.0%
Legia Warszawa -1
24.1%
@ 3.65-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
Superbet
1.73
10Bet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.72
10Bet
3.70
Away
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Unibet
3.65
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Handicap +2 (Piast Gliwice)Actual: Piast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice +2
75.9%
@ 1.23+3.7%
Draw +2
13.9%
@ 5.61-2.0%
Legia Warszawa -2
10.2%
@ 7.50-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Superbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.50
Away
10Bet
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.20
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Piast Gliwice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.67
0.33
0.73
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.80
0.00
1.20
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.60
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Legia Warszawa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.58
0.40
0.20
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (17)
0.88
0.47
1.00
0.44
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.0%
@ 1.36+3.5%
Under 0.5
28.0%
@ 2.95-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.11
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
35.3%
@ 2.65+0.3%
Under 1.5
64.7%
@ 1.43-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.81
Betfair
2.75
Betano
2.75
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.1%
@ 6.28-0.7%
Under 2.5
85.9%
@ 1.09+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Piast Gliwice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 2.29+0.3%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.56-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.27
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Piast Gliwice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 7.64-2.1%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.06+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Superbet
7.50
Betano
7.30
10Bet
7.00
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Piast Gliwice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 20.25-3.1%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Legia Warszawa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
48.1%
@ 1.85-2.2%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.87+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.89
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Unibet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.87
Marathonbet
1.82
Legia Warszawa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.6%
@ 5.15-4.4%
Under
86.4%
@ 1.13+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Betano
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Under
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Legia Warszawa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.7%
@ 13.38-2.4%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.02+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Piast Gliwice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.90
1.07
0.80
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
0.70
0.80
0.20
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (20)
1.10
1.00
1.20
1.10
1.00
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Legia Warszawa) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Legia Warszawa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
1.07
0.47
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.83
0.58
1.20
0.40
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.59
1.11
0.56
0.38
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Piast Gliwice) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.5%
Under 0.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.3%
Under 1.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.7%
Under 2.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Piast Gliwice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.1%
Under
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Piast Gliwice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Piast Gliwice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legia Warszawa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.6%
Under
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legia Warszawa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.2%
Under
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Legia Warszawa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.1%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.03
+0.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
91.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
888Sport
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.06
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
87.2%
1.07
Unibet
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.13
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.9%
1.09
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
80.9%
1.19
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Unibet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.3%
1.25
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
76.8%
1.20
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
888Sport
1.20
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
75.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.0%
1.37
Superbet
1.42
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
Unibet
1.33
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
1.33
Superbet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.7%
1.28
888Sport
1.30
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
72.5%
1.38
BetVictor
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.38
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.0%
1.36
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.36
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
71.3%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.30
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
71.3%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Piast Gliwice
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Sanca40%
Szczepan Mucha33%
Jakub Łabojko20%
Hugo Vallejo20%
Juande Rivas20%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Jason Lokilo0%
Quentin Boisgard0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Ema Twumasi0%
Domen Gril0%
Filip Borowski0%
Ivan Lima0%
Jakub Lewicki0%
Oskar Lesniak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Quentin Boisgard40%
Ivan Lima25%
Ema Twumasi20%
Juande Rivas20%
Leandro Sanca20%
Oskar Lesniak20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Jason Lokilo0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Domen Gril0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Filip Borowski0%
Szczepan Mucha0%
Jakub Lewicki0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Lima50%
Ema Twumasi20%
Jakub Lewicki20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Jason Lokilo0%
Quentin Boisgard0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Domen Gril0%
Juande Rivas0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Leandro Sanca0%
Filip Borowski0%
Szczepan Mucha0%
Oskar Lesniak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Lima50%
Jason Lokilo33%
Szczepan Mucha33%
Leandro Sanca20%
Andreas Katsantonis0%
Quentin Boisgard0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Jakub Czerwiński0%
Jorge Félix0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Ema Twumasi0%
Domen Gril0%
Juande Rivas0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Filip Borowski0%
Jakub Lewicki0%
Oskar Lesniak0%
Legia Warszawa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafał Adamski60%
Łukasz Zjawiński50%
Michal Ševčík33%
Bartosz Kapustka17%
Rúben Vinagre17%
Rafał Augustyniak17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Paweł Wszołek0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Wojciech Urbański0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Robert Deziel Jr.0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rafał Adamski20%
Wojciech Urbański20%
Bartosz Kapustka17%
Paweł Wszołek17%
Robert Deziel Jr.17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Rúben Vinagre0%
Rafał Augustyniak0%
Kamil Piątkowski0%
Łukasz Zjawiński0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Paweł Wszołek67%
Rúben Vinagre17%
Rafał Augustyniak17%
Kamil Piątkowski17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Bartosz Kapustka0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Rafał Adamski0%
Łukasz Zjawiński0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Wojciech Urbański0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Robert Deziel Jr.0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Łukasz Zjawiński33%
Rafał Adamski20%
Bartosz Kapustka17%
Mileta Rajović17%
Rafał Augustyniak17%
Kamil Piątkowski17%
Arkadiusz Reca0%
Damian Szymański0%
Rúben Vinagre0%
Paweł Wszołek0%
Michal Ševčík0%
Ottó Hindrich0%
Henrique Arreiol0%
Wojciech Urbański0%
Jakub Żewłakow0%
Robert Deziel Jr.0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Piast Gliwice's squad is €11m less valuable than Legia Warszawa's (€9m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Piast Gliwice's attack is €6m less valuable than Legia Warszawa's (€4m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Piast Gliwice's midfield is €4m less valuable than Legia Warszawa's (€0m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Piast Gliwice's defence is €2m less valuable than Legia Warszawa's (€4m vs €6m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
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Lech Poznan
Wisla Krakow
GKS Katowice
Gornik Zabrze
Jagiellonia
Pogon Szczecin
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa