Piast Gliwice vs Radomiak Radom Result & Analysis

The defensive figures suggest a tight, low-scoring encounter. Piast Gliwice, averaging 1.11 goals for and 0.78 against at home against similarly strong opposition, faces Radomiak Radom, who has 1.12 goals for and 1.62 against on the road. The model favours a home win, with a 41% chance, a 32% chance of a draw, and a 27% chance of an away victory. The expected total is 2.2 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.6% probability. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.4%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.7%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.0%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 80.5%. The remaining picks - Under 3.5, Under 10.5 corners, Under 5.5 cards - have lower probabilities of 82.9%, 72.7%, and 70.2% respectively. This match is likely to stay low-scoring but feature plenty of fouls and cards.

The upset came as Piast Gliwice, the pre-match favourite with a 41% chance of triumph, fell short, losing 2-3 to Radomiak Radom. The model’s call was wrong, and the away side seized the win. The match saw a flurry of action: the model’s selection for Over 19.5 fouls hit, as did Over 21.5 fouls, Over 2.5 cards, Under 11.5 corners, and Over 23.5 fouls, each with probabilities of 95.4%, 89.7%, 82.7%, 82.0% and 80.5% respectively. However, Under 3.5 missed, Under 10.5 corners missed, and Under 5.5 cards missed, with odds of 82.9%, 72.7% and 70.2%. Piast’s recent form, coming off a win, was eclipsed by Radomiak’s momentum, also arriving after a victory.