Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow are set to face off in a high-scoring match, with the expected total goals standing at 3.2. The home side's recent form is a storyline worth noting, with Pogon Szczecin on a 2-game winning run after defeating Motor Lublin 3-1. However, Wisla Krakow has shown resilience, coming off a defeat but boasting a strong away form, scoring an average of 1 goal per game.
The model predicts a Pogon Szczecin home win, with a 45% probability, closely followed by a draw at 25%. The away win is the least likely outcome, with a 29% chance. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 11.3%. Pogon Szczecin has been scoring an average of 1.38 goals per game at home, while conceding 1 goal. Wisla Krakow, on the other hand, has been conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game away from home.
The model's selections include an Over 1.5 goals selection, with a 83.9% probability. The model also suggests a Home or Away selection, with a 74.9% probability, and a Home or Draw selection, with a 70.6% probability. The home win percentage stands at 45%, the draw percentage at 25%, and the away win percentage at 29%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Pogon Szczecin, did not deliver; the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s Home win call wrong. Pogon had been coming off a draw in their last five, while Wisla Krakow had also ended their previous outing with a 2-2 stalemate. The model had given the home side a 45 % chance of victory, yet the result was a dead-heat. All of the model’s selections were settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6 %, Under 7.5 hit at 98.3 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.9 %, Under 6.5 hit at 95.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.1 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 94.5 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 91.1 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals missed at 90.3 %. The most likely total of 3 goals, with a 22 % probability, was not achieved.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Pogon Szczecin win✗ Miss
45.5%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.11
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.44
888Sport
2.30
Unibet
2.17
Dafabet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Draw✓ Hit
25.1%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.53
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
Dafabet
3.70
Pinnacle
3.65
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
Wisla Krakow win✗ Miss
29.4%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.60
1xBet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
William Hil
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Pogon Szczecin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.17
1.56
1.06
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.29
1.14
1.57
1.00
1.00
1.29
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
1.50
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.03
2.07
0.93
1.27
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.50
1.75
1.67
1.00
1.40
2.20
vs Weaker (22)
1.73
0.77
2.17
0.92
1.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
@ 1.17+4.2%
Under 1.5
16.2%
@ 4.58-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Pinnacle
4.93
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.9%
@ 1.60+3.4%
Under 2.5
38.1%
@ 2.26-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
10Bet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Betfair
2.38
Pinnacle
2.33
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.6%
@ 2.48+2.1%
Under 3.5
60.4%
@ 1.49-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.9%
@ 1.51+2.6%
No
36.1%
@ 2.39-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
Unibet
1.53
888Sport
1.53
Betfair
1.50
No
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Superbet
2.42
1xBet
2.42
Betano
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 6.75+4.7%
2-1
9.2%@ 8.25+3.8%
1-2
7.3%@ 10.31+2.9%
2-0
6.5%@ 11.50+2.6%
2-2 ✓
6.5%@ 10.56+2.2%
1-0
6.3%@ 9.68+1.7%
3-1
5.5%@ 13.70+2.2%
0-0
5.1%@ 13.29+1.8%
Pogon Szczecin goals ↓
Wisla Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
4.7%
4.1%
1.9%
0.7%
1
6.3%
11%
7.3%
3.4%
1.2%
2
6.5%
9.2%
6.5%
3.0%
1.1%
3
3.9%
5.5%
3.9%
1.8%
0.6%
4
1.7%
2.4%
1.7%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Pogon Szczecin goals (down), columns = Wisla Krakow goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lech Poznan
2.60
Gornik Zabrze
2.40
Legia Warszawa
2.00
GKS Katowice
1.80
Jagiellonia
1.80
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Pogon Szczecin
1.60
Zaglebie Lubin
1.60
Korona Kielce
1.60
Cracovia Krakow
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.17
Radomiak Radom
1.17
Widzew Łódź
1.00
Slask Wroclaw
1.00
Motor Lublin
0.83
Wisla Plock
0.80
Wieczysta Kraków
0.60
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Pogon Szczecin is 0.07 points worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
GKS Katowice
2.40
Gornik Zabrze
2.20
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Lech Poznan
2.00
Legia Warszawa
2.00
Jagiellonia
1.80
Piast Gliwice
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wieczysta Kraków
1.60
Pogon Szczecin
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.33
Raków Częstochowa
1.20
Korona Kielce
1.20
Radomiak Radom
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Zaglebie Lubin
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wisla Plock
0.60
Pogon Szczecin is 0.60 goals worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Legia Warszawa
0.67
Pogon Szczecin
0.80
Zaglebie Lubin
0.80
Korona Kielce
0.80
Lech Poznan
0.80
Cracovia Krakow
1.17
GKS Katowice
1.20
Gornik Zabrze
1.40
Jagiellonia
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.50
Wisla Krakow
1.67
Motor Lublin
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Wisla Plock
2.00
Piast Gliwice
2.17
Radomiak Radom
2.17
Wieczysta Kraków
2.40
Raków Częstochowa
2.60
Pogon Szczecin is 0.87 goals better than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Jagiellonia
58%
Piast Gliwice
56%
Wieczysta Kraków
54%
Lech Poznan
54%
Gornik Zabrze
53%
Raków Częstochowa
53%
Wisla Plock
52%
Legia Warszawa
52%
Wisla Krakow
52%
Radomiak Radom
50%
GKS Katowice
48%
Cracovia Krakow
48%
Korona Kielce
48%
Slask Wroclaw
47%
Zaglebie Lubin
47%
Widzew Łódź
46%
Motor Lublin
46%
Pogon Szczecin
41%
Pogon Szczecin is 11.2 percentage points worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of average possession (41% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Pogon Szczecin
For 3.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.8 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wisla Krakow
For 5.8 · Against 6.8 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Pogon Szczecin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.7
10.4
3.5
3.9
3.1
23.7
22.3
25.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
10.3
10.4
10.2
3.5
3.7
3.2
23.5
21.7
25.7
vs Weaker (7)
12.0
14.0
11.0
3.6
6.0
2.6
24.8
28.0
23.2
% over line
58%
65%
50%
42%
44%
40%
58%
52%
64%
% under line
42%
35%
50%
58%
56%
60%
42%
48%
36%
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.5
13.0
12.0
0.3
0.3
0.4
25.0
25.5
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
12.5
13.0
12.0
1.4
1.4
1.4
25.0
25.5
24.5
vs Weaker (38)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
100%
50%
4%
4%
4%
75%
100%
50%
% under line
25%
0%
50%
96%
96%
96%
25%
0%
50%
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wisla Krakow
12.5
Wieczysta Kraków
11.0
Pogon Szczecin
10.6
Zaglebie Lubin
10.4
Gornik Zabrze
10.2
Slask Wroclaw
10.2
Korona Kielce
10.1
Motor Lublin
10.1
Lech Poznan
10.0
Radomiak Radom
9.9
Cracovia Krakow
9.9
Piast Gliwice
9.9
GKS Katowice
9.8
Wisla Plock
9.7
Jagiellonia
9.6
Legia Warszawa
9.2
Widzew Łódź
9.1
Raków Częstochowa
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Widzew Łódź
5.3
Radomiak Radom
5.0
Motor Lublin
4.9
Raków Częstochowa
4.8
Slask Wroclaw
4.7
Jagiellonia
4.6
Zaglebie Lubin
4.4
Cracovia Krakow
4.4
Legia Warszawa
4.3
Wisla Plock
4.1
Gornik Zabrze
4.1
Korona Kielce
4.0
Pogon Szczecin
3.9
Lech Poznan
3.9
GKS Katowice
3.8
Wisla Krakow
3.8
Wieczysta Kraków
3.8
Piast Gliwice
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radomiak Radom
27.8
Jagiellonia
26.8
Widzew Łódź
26.5
Wieczysta Kraków
26.5
Legia Warszawa
25.9
Korona Kielce
25.6
Motor Lublin
25.3
Cracovia Krakow
25.2
Wisla Krakow
25.0
Raków Częstochowa
24.9
Slask Wroclaw
24.8
Zaglebie Lubin
24.6
Piast Gliwice
24.5
GKS Katowice
23.7
Lech Poznan
23.7
Pogon Szczecin
23.7
Gornik Zabrze
22.9
Wisla Plock
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.9%
@ 1.51-2.9%
Under 9.5
42.1%
@ 2.34+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.49
Under
Betano
2.42
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.34
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.30
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.3%
@ 1.56+3.6%
Under 3.5
37.7%
@ 2.22-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.56
Under
Superbet
2.22
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.1%
Under 21.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Pogon Szczecin or Draw✓ Hit
70.6%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.34
Edge
+0.5%
45%
25%
29%
covers Pogon Szczecin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Pogon Szczecin or Wisla Krakow✗ Miss
74.9%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.8%
45%
25%
29%
covers Pogon Szczecin + Wisla Krakow
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or Wisla Krakow✓ Hit
54.5%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.68
Edge
-1.2%
45%
25%
29%
covers Draw + Wisla Krakow
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
SBO
1.73
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.73
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Pogon Szczecin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.2%
@ 1.16+3.2%
Under
16.8%
@ 4.64-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Superbet
4.70
Pogon Szczecin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.3%
@ 1.83+2.4%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.90-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
888Sport
1.95
Unibet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.82
Betano
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
Pogon Szczecin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.5%
@ 3.60+0.7%
Under
73.5%
@ 1.25-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
888Sport
4.00
Unibet
3.85
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.58
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pogon Szczecin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 7.78-1.4%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.06+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
10.00
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.30
Betano
6.80
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.5%
@ 1.27+2.2%
Under
24.5%
@ 3.49-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Under
10Bet
3.80
888Sport
3.80
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.49
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.1%
@ 2.32+0.9%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.56-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Under
10Bet
1.65
888Sport
1.65
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 5.20-1.0%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.13+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.70
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Wisla Krakow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 11.70-2.6%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.03+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
12.00
Superbet
12.00
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Pogon Szczecin, so a minus line means Pogon Szczecin give that many goals of a start and Wisla Krakow receive them. At -1, Pogon Szczecin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Pogon Szczecin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.47
1.20
0.33
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.75
1.00
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.95
0.36
1.25
0.33
0.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.8%
@ 1.28+5.2%
Under 0.5
22.2%
@ 3.39-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Superbet
3.35
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.0%
@ 2.30+0.7%
Under 1.5
59.0%
@ 1.56-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Unibet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
William Hil
2.30
Under
Betano
1.65
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.9%
@ 5.18+0.1%
Under 2.5
82.1%
@ 1.12-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
1xBet
5.45
Unibet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Pogon Szczecin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
65.7%
@ 1.75+12.3%
Under
34.3%
@ 2.00-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Superbet
1.73
Under
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.94
Pogon Szczecin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
23.5%
@ 4.74+3.9%
Under
76.5%
@ 1.16-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.50
Betano
4.20
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Pogon Szczecin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.9%
@ 11.25-3.5%
Under
95.1%
@ 1.03+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.4%
@ 2.05-5.1%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.71+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.02
Unibet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Unibet
1.68
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
9.7%
@ 6.23-5.2%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.09+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
Superbet
6.20
1xBet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.05
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 16.25-4.5%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.02+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Pogon Szczecin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.75
0.62
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.54
0.86
0.50
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.87
0.60
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.00
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.20
vs Weaker (22)
0.77
0.41
0.92
0.58
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Pogon Szczecin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
82.3%
@ 1.16+2.1%
Under 0.5
17.7%
@ 4.70-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.85
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.60
William Hil
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
52.1%
@ 1.82+0.9%
Under 1.5
47.9%
@ 1.90-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Unibet
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.9%
@ 3.48+0.2%
Under 2.5
73.1%
@ 1.26-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.65
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.36
Under
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Pogon Szczecin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
67.8%
@ 1.52+6.8%
Under
32.2%
@ 2.38-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.45
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Pogon Szczecin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.3%
@ 3.40-2.1%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.28+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pogon Szczecin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.9%
@ 8.63-1.8%
Under
91.1%
@ 1.04+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Superbet
8.90
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
44.8%
@ 1.76-7.8%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.95+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Under
Superbet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
1xBet
1.92
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 4.78-5.7%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.15+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
4.90
Betano
4.60
Superbet
4.55
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 12.12-4.7%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.5%
1.03
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.05
+5.2%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
89.5%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.06
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
89.4%
1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Unibet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+7.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.3%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.8%
1.17
10Bet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betano
1.19
Unibet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
83.2%
1.16
10Bet
1.20
888Sport
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.15
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.2%
1.13
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.3%
1.16
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.12
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.1%
1.12
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
10Bet
1.13
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
78.2%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
77.8%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
76.5%
1.16
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
-3.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
75.5%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.30
Betano
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.9%
1.26
William Hil
1.30
888Sport
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
+0.8%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
74.8%
1.21
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Unibet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.7%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.7%
1.28
Superbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
73.5%
1.25
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
73.1%
1.26
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.6%
1.34
10Bet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.33
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.6%
1.37
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.27
+4.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Pogon Szczecin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Linus Wahlqvist25%
Attila Szalai25%
Darko Churlinov25%
Kellyn Acosta20%
Musa Juwara20%
Paul Mukairu20%
Léo Borges20%
Benjamin Mendy0%
Kamil Grosicki0%
Patryk Dziczek0%
Valentin Cojocaru0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Hussein Ali0%
Dimitrios Keramitsis0%
Maciej Wojciechowski0%
Filip Čuić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dimitrios Keramitsis40%
Benjamin Mendy33%
Kamil Grosicki33%
Linus Wahlqvist25%
Patryk Dziczek20%
Valentin Cojocaru20%
Kellyn Acosta20%
Léo Borges20%
Attila Szalai0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Musa Juwara0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Paul Mukairu0%
Hussein Ali0%
Maciej Wojciechowski0%
Filip Čuić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Benjamin Mendy33%
Kamil Grosicki33%
Linus Wahlqvist25%
Maciej Wojciechowski25%
Paul Mukairu20%
Attila Szalai0%
Patryk Dziczek0%
Valentin Cojocaru0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Kellyn Acosta0%
Musa Juwara0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Hussein Ali0%
Léo Borges0%
Dimitrios Keramitsis0%
Filip Čuić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paul Mukairu20%
Dimitrios Keramitsis20%
Benjamin Mendy0%
Kamil Grosicki0%
Linus Wahlqvist0%
Attila Szalai0%
Patryk Dziczek0%
Valentin Cojocaru0%
Fredrik Ulvestad0%
Kellyn Acosta0%
Musa Juwara0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Hussein Ali0%
Léo Borges0%
Maciej Wojciechowski0%
Filip Čuić0%
Wisla Krakow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (25)
€58m
WŁ (29)
€43m
RC (27)
€33m
JAG (26)
€30m
GZ (27)
€29m
CK (26)
€21m
LW (25)
€20m
PS (27)
€20m
ZL (28)
€19m
ML (20)
€19m
KK (23)
€16m
WK (24)
€13m
GK (26)
€13m
WP (25)
€12m
WK (22)
€12m
RR (25)
€11m
PG (22)
€9m
SW (22)
€7m
Pogon Szczecin's squad is €6m more valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€20m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WŁ (13)
€21m
LP (10)
€21m
GZ (13)
€17m
JAG (11)
€12m
CK (12)
€11m
ZL (11)
€10m
LW (12)
€10m
ML (10)
€10m
RC (9)
€9m
PS (13)
€8m
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
RR (9)
€4m
PG (11)
€4m
WP (7)
€4m
KK (7)
€3m
GK (7)
€3m
SW (5)
€2m
Pogon Szczecin's attack is €2m more valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€8m vs €6m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RC (12)
€14m
LP (3)
€9m
KK (8)
€7m
WŁ (5)
€7m
GZ (4)
€6m
GK (10)
€6m
LW (7)
€4m
ZL (4)
€4m
JAG (5)
€3m
SW (9)
€3m
PS (5)
€3m
WP (9)
€3m
ML (2)
€2m
CK (4)
€2m
WK (4)
€2m
WK (3)
€1m
RR (4)
€1m
PG (1)
€0m
Pogon Szczecin and Wisla Krakow have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LP (12)
€28m
JAG (10)
€15m
WŁ (11)
€15m
RC (6)
€9m
PS (9)
€9m
CK (10)
€8m
ML (8)
€6m
GZ (10)
€6m
WP (9)
€6m
LW (6)
€6m
RR (12)
€6m
KK (8)
€5m
WK (12)
€5m
ZL (13)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
GK (9)
€4m
PG (10)
€4m
SW (8)
€2m
Pogon Szczecin's defence is €3m more valuable than Wisla Krakow's (€9m vs €5m).
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lech Poznan
Legia Warszawa
Gornik Zabrze
GKS Katowice
Jagiellonia
Korona Kielce
Zaglebie Lubin
Cracovia Krakow
Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
Widzew Łódź
Slask Wroclaw
Motor Lublin
Wisla Plock
Wieczysta Kraków
Raków Częstochowa