This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.10
0.62
1.12
0.71
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
2.00
0.40
1.80
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.91
0.70
0.90
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.6%
Under 1.5
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.4%
Under 2.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.8%
Under 3.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.6%
No
54.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.0%
1-0 ✓
10.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
Polessya goals ↓
Kolos Kovalivka goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.8%
2.5%
0.7%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.7%
0.7%
2
6.6%
7.3%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.4%
2.6%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Polessya goals (down), columns = Kolos Kovalivka goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Polessya is 0.60 points better than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Polessya is 0.57 goals better than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.73).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Polessya is 0.03 goals better than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Polessya is 4.1 percentage points better than Kolos Kovalivka in terms of average possession (51% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Polessya
For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kolos Kovalivka
For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Polessya
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (45)
10.1
10.2
9.9
2.4
2.4
2.3
23.0
21.2
24.6
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
6.0
-
6.0
21.0
-
21.0
vs Similar (9)
13.2
14.0
11.0
2.4
3.4
1.2
17.2
18.0
15.0
vs Weaker (35)
9.1
8.3
9.7
2.2
2.1
2.3
25.1
23.2
26.4
% over line
56%
67%
44%
38%
36%
39%
53%
50%
56%
% under line
44%
33%
56%
62%
64%
61%
47%
50%
44%
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.0
3.7
3.8
3.6
23.3
24.9
21.9
vs Stronger (8)
11.9
12.4
10.5
3.6
3.2
4.3
23.0
23.0
23.0
vs Similar (38)
9.9
9.8
9.9
3.7
4.0
3.5
23.1
25.6
21.4
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
7.0
10.0
3.8
4.0
3.5
27.5
27.0
28.0
% over line
54%
56%
52%
52%
52%
52%
61%
67%
55%
% under line
46%
44%
48%
48%
48%
48%
39%
33%
45%
This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.4
LNZ Cherkasy
10.4
Kolos Kovalivka
10.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.1
Polessya
10.1
Vorskla Poltava
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Minai
9.6
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.4
Oleksandria
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.3
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Dnipro-1
9.1
Obolon'-Brovar
8.9
Chornomorets
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.9
Obolon'-Brovar
5.7
Ruh Lviv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.2
Veres Rivne
5.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
Kolos Kovalivka
4.7
Chornomorets
4.7
LNZ Cherkasy
4.7
Zorya Luhansk
4.6
Minai
4.5
Oleksandria
4.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.4
Kryvbas KR
4.2
Dnipro-1
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.5
Vorskla Poltava
26.7
LNZ Cherkasy
24.2
Dynamo Kyiv
24.2
Minai
23.8
Ruh Lviv
23.5
Kryvbas KR
23.4
Kolos Kovalivka
23.3
Dnipro-1
23.2
Polessya
23.0
Oleksandria
23.0
Zorya Luhansk
22.7
Chornomorets
22.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.3
Veres Rivne
22.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.6%
Under 9.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
70.6%
Under 3.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.8%
Under 21.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Polessya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.30
0.43
0.43
0.69
0.19
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.29
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.00
vs Weaker (22)
0.55
0.32
0.30
0.40
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.37
0.38
0.56
0.36
0.14
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.67
0.20
0.80
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.30
0.40
0.50
0.31
0.15
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Polessya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Polessya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.07
0.79
0.69
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.71
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
0.91
0.59
1.20
0.80
0.67
0.42
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kolos Kovalivka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kolos Kovalivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.25
0.56
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
0.20
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.30
0.61
0.30
0.40
0.31
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Polessya) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Polessya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polessya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kolos Kovalivka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Polessya
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luifer Hernández67%
Oleksandr Nazarenko50%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Denys Ndukve25%
Emil Mustafayev20%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Talles Costa0%
Artem Smoliakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yassin Fortune67%
Artem Smoliakov50%
Ivan Petriak33%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi33%
Bohdan Kushnirenko33%
Talles Costa25%
Denys Ndukve25%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Luifer Hernández0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Emil Mustafayev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko25%
Talles Costa25%
Artem Smoliakov25%
Emil Mustafayev20%
Serhii Chobotenko17%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Luifer Hernández0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Denys Ndukve0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oleksandr Nazarenko50%
Emil Mustafayev40%
Yassin Fortune33%
Luifer Hernández33%
Denys Ndukve25%
Oleh Kudryk0%
Artem Shabanov0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Vasyl Hrytsuk0%
Serhii Chobotenko0%
Bogdan Mykhaylichenko0%
Artem Kozak0%
Viacheslav Tankovskyi0%
Bohdan Kushnirenko0%
Talles Costa0%
Artem Smoliakov0%
Kolos Kovalivka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Diego Carioca33%
Valerii Luchkevych25%
Valeriy Bondarenko20%
Andrei Tsurikov20%
Oleh Ilin14%
Mykyta Burda0%
Rangel0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Pavlo Orikhovskyi0%
Vladyslav Yemets0%
Vadym Milko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Dmytro Topalov0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Kiril Fesyun0%
Vladyslav Veleten0%
Gytis Paulauskas0%
Anton Salabay0%
Oleh Kryvoruchko0%
Artem Husol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anton Salabay50%
Oleksandr Demchenko33%
Denys Bezborodko25%
Dmytro Topalov25%
Valeriy Bondarenko20%
Andrei Tsurikov20%
Oleksandr Chornomorets20%
Oleh Ilin14%
Mykyta Burda0%
Rangel0%
Valerii Luchkevych0%
Pavlo Orikhovskyi0%
Vladyslav Yemets0%
Vadym Milko0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Diego Carioca0%
Kiril Fesyun0%
Vladyslav Veleten0%
Gytis Paulauskas0%
Oleh Kryvoruchko0%
Artem Husol0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Denys Bezborodko25%
Vladyslav Veleten17%
Oleh Ilin14%
Valeriy Bondarenko0%
Mykyta Burda0%
Rangel0%
Valerii Luchkevych0%
Andrei Tsurikov0%
Pavlo Orikhovskyi0%
Vladyslav Yemets0%
Vadym Milko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Diego Carioca0%
Dmytro Topalov0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Kiril Fesyun0%
Gytis Paulauskas0%
Anton Salabay0%
Oleh Kryvoruchko0%
Artem Husol0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Carioca33%
Denys Bezborodko25%
Valeriy Bondarenko20%
Rangel20%
Andrei Tsurikov20%
Pavlo Orikhovskyi17%
Vladyslav Veleten17%
Mykyta Burda0%
Valerii Luchkevych0%
Vladyslav Yemets0%
Vadym Milko0%
Oleh Ilin0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Roman Honcharenko0%
Dmytro Topalov0%
Oleksandr Demchenko0%
Kiril Fesyun0%
Gytis Paulauskas0%
Anton Salabay0%
Oleh Kryvoruchko0%
Artem Husol0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Polessya's squad is €21m more valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€34m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Polessya's attack is €7m more valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€12m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Polessya's midfield is €5m more valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€8m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Polessya's defence is €8m more valuable than Kolos Kovalivka's (€14m vs €5m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →