This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.40
0.60
0.93
1.27
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.75
0.50
0.25
1.25
1.25
vs Similar (20)
1.20
1.00
1.60
0.80
0.80
1.20
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.8%
@ 2.27+5.1%
Under 2.5
53.2%
@ 1.62-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0 ✓
9.3%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
Ponferradina goals ↓
Huesca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.1%
8.2%
5.7%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.3%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.1%
8.5%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.2%
3.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ponferradina goals (down), columns = Huesca goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Granada CF
1.79
Levante
1.72
Alaves
1.72
Las Palmas
1.71
Eibar
1.64
Albacete
1.52
FC Andorra
1.40
Oviedo
1.40
FC Cartagena
1.38
Tenerife
1.36
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.29
Leganes
1.26
Zaragoza
1.26
Huesca
1.24
Mirandes
1.24
Villarreal II
1.19
Sporting Gijon
1.19
Malaga
1.05
Ponferradina
1.05
Ibiza
0.81
Lugo
0.74
Ponferradina is 0.19 points worse than Huesca in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Albacete
1.34
Granada CF
1.31
Villarreal II
1.17
Las Palmas
1.17
Mirandes
1.14
Levante
1.13
FC Andorra
1.12
FC Cartagena
1.12
Alaves
1.11
Eibar
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Tenerife
1.00
Ponferradina
0.95
Zaragoza
0.95
Racing Santander
0.93
Malaga
0.88
Leganes
0.88
Huesca
0.86
Oviedo
0.81
Burgos
0.79
Ibiza
0.79
Lugo
0.64
Ponferradina is 0.10 goals better than Huesca in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Las Palmas
0.69
Levante
0.70
Granada CF
0.71
Alaves
0.74
Burgos
0.83
Oviedo
0.83
Huesca
0.86
Tenerife
0.88
FC Andorra
0.88
Eibar
0.89
Zaragoza
0.93
Racing Santander
0.95
Leganes
1.00
Malaga
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.17
Albacete
1.20
Ponferradina
1.26
Mirandes
1.29
Villarreal II
1.31
Lugo
1.36
Ibiza
1.57
Ponferradina is 0.40 goals worse than Huesca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ponferradina
For 4.9 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Huesca
For 4.3 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 27.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Ponferradina
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.4
9.1
3.5
3.7
3.3
24.2
22.8
25.5
vs Stronger (24)
9.4
10.5
8.6
3.7
3.5
3.9
24.8
22.4
26.7
vs Similar (26)
9.1
8.6
9.6
3.3
3.8
2.8
23.6
23.2
24.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
44%
53%
50%
50%
50%
78%
78%
79%
% under line
51%
56%
47%
50%
50%
50%
22%
22%
21%
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.5
10.9
3.8
3.2
4.4
28.0
27.6
28.4
vs Stronger (11)
9.8
10.0
9.7
3.2
2.8
3.5
25.3
24.3
26.3
vs Similar (36)
10.9
10.8
10.9
4.0
3.6
4.4
28.6
28.4
28.7
vs Weaker (3)
11.0
8.0
14.0
3.7
1.0
9.0
28.5
27.0
30.0
% over line
65%
61%
68%
58%
44%
72%
86%
83%
89%
% under line
35%
39%
32%
42%
56%
28%
14%
17%
11%
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
9.9
Huesca
9.9
Alaves
9.9
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.6
Granada CF
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eibar
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.2
Malaga
9.2
Burgos
9.2
Lugo
9.1
Levante
9.0
Racing Santander
8.8
Oviedo
8.8
Tenerife
8.7
Las Palmas
8.7
Leganes
8.6
FC Cartagena
8.5
Albacete
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Racing Santander
6.0
Granada CF
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Albacete
5.5
Las Palmas
5.4
Levante
5.4
Tenerife
5.3
Zaragoza
5.1
Oviedo
5.0
FC Cartagena
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Leganes
4.9
Huesca
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Alaves
4.7
Sporting Gijon
4.7
Lugo
4.6
Eibar
4.3
Ibiza
4.2
Burgos
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
33.9
Las Palmas
30.7
Leganes
30.0
Albacete
29.4
FC Cartagena
28.9
Ibiza
28.1
Huesca
28.1
Malaga
28.0
Tenerife
28.0
Lugo
27.7
Oviedo
27.2
Alaves
26.7
Zaragoza
26.6
Granada CF
25.9
Mirandes
25.6
Levante
25.3
Burgos
24.6
Eibar
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Sporting Gijon
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
74.4%
Under 3.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.2%
Under 21.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ponferradina
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
1.00
0.71
0.44
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.86
0.43
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.88
0.75
1.43
0.57
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.60
0.20
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.25
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.25
0.60
0.20
0.30
0.30
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ponferradina
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.64
0.93
0.62
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.29
1.00
0.29
0.86
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.94
1.00
1.00
0.89
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Huesca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Huesca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.80
0.40
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.12
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.25
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.60
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ponferradina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ponferradina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ponferradina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Huesca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ponferradina
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yuri19%
Eduardo Espiau12%
Daniel Ojeda11%
Hugo Vallejo10%
José Naranjo8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Naim García6%
Adrián Castellano6%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
José Amo6%
Alexandru Paşcanu6%
Agus Medina3%
Kelechi Nwakali3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Erik Morán0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Amo38%
Kelechi Nwakali31%
Agus Medina30%
Adrián Diéguez30%
Adrián Castellano29%
Jordan Lukaku29%
Paris Barandiaran28%
Alexandru Paşcanu28%
Erik Morán24%
Daniel Ojeda22%
Heriberto Tavares21%
Derik Lacerda21%
Sabit Abdulai21%
José Naranjo19%
Naim García19%
Eduardo Espiau18%
Amir Abedzadeh17%
Moises Delgado15%
Giorgi Makaridze14%
Hugo Vallejo14%
Aldair12%
Alejandro Díez Salomón6%
Yuri3%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Ojeda14%
Naim García12%
Kelechi Nwakali8%
Alexandru Paşcanu8%
Derik Lacerda8%
Moises Delgado6%
José Naranjo6%
Paris Barandiaran6%
Heriberto Tavares5%
Sabit Abdulai5%
Hugo Vallejo3%
Adrián Diéguez3%
Agus Medina3%
Yuri3%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
José Amo0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Miguel San Román0%
Eduardo Espiau0%
Aldair0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naim García19%
José Naranjo14%
Daniel Ojeda14%
Kelechi Nwakali6%
Yuri5%
Derik Lacerda5%
Eduardo Espiau5%
Jordan Lukaku0%
Amir Abedzadeh0%
Heriberto Tavares0%
Giorgi Makaridze0%
Adrián Castellano0%
Erik Morán0%
Hugo Vallejo0%
Alejandro Díez Salomón0%
Moises Delgado0%
Adrián Diéguez0%
José Amo0%
Paris Barandiaran0%
Soufiane Chakla0%
Agus Medina0%
Miguel San Román0%
Alexandru Paşcanu0%
Sabit Abdulai0%
Aldair0%
Huesca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Obeng29%
Juan Carlos18%
Javi Martínez17%
Aboubakary Kanté10%
José Ángel Carrillo10%
Joaquín Muñoz9%
Kevin Omoruyi9%
Oscar Sielva9%
Marc Mateu6%
Jorge Pulido5%
Andrei Rațiu5%
Dani Escriche5%
Jérémy Blasco3%
Florian Miguel3%
Gerard Valentín3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Kento Hashimoto0%
Patrick Soko0%
Juan Villar0%
Cristian Salvador0%
David Timor0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Manu Rico0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Salvador32%
Oscar Sielva30%
Gerard Valentín29%
Kevin Omoruyi27%
David Timor26%
Rubén Pulido25%
Manu Rico25%
Pablo Tomeo21%
Enzo Lombardo20%
Florian Miguel19%
Jorge Pulido19%
Juan Carlos18%
Joaquín Muñoz18%
Juanjo Nieto17%
Kento Hashimoto15%
Juan Villar14%
Jérémy Blasco14%
Patrick Soko14%
Andrei Rațiu13%
Dani Escriche10%
Aboubakary Kanté10%
Marc Mateu10%
Javi Martínez8%
Ignasi Vilarrasa7%
Andrés Fernández5%
José Ángel Carrillo5%
Samuel Obeng0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrei Rațiu13%
Gerard Valentín11%
Enzo Lombardo10%
Marc Mateu10%
Joaquín Muñoz9%
Patrick Soko9%
Kevin Omoruyi9%
Samuel Obeng6%
Dani Escriche5%
Oscar Sielva4%
Kento Hashimoto3%
Florian Miguel3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Andrés Fernández0%
Aboubakary Kanté0%
Javi Martínez0%
Juan Villar0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Juan Carlos0%
David Timor0%
José Ángel Carrillo0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Manu Rico0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Obeng18%
Kevin Omoruyi9%
Javi Martínez8%
Florian Miguel5%
Juan Carlos5%
Dani Escriche5%
José Ángel Carrillo5%
Aboubakary Kanté3%
David Timor3%
Jorge Pulido3%
Andrei Rațiu3%
Gerard Valentín3%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Andrés Fernández0%
Kento Hashimoto0%
Patrick Soko0%
Juan Villar0%
Cristian Salvador0%
Marc Mateu0%
Juanjo Nieto0%
Ignasi Vilarrasa0%
Enzo Lombardo0%
Rubén Pulido0%
Oscar Sielva0%
Jérémy Blasco0%
Pablo Tomeo0%
Hugo Anglada0%
Manu Rico0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →