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Queens Park vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 12/12/2015
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
Queens Park
Queens Park
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queens Park win✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Queens ParkQueens Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-651W31W21W01L13L11D12L61W10W20WH·EAS12/09H·ELG19/09A·STI26/09H·MON03/10A·ANN17/10H·CLY31/10A·EAS07/11A·MON17/11H·STI21/11A·EAS08/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.071.431.002.001.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)2.111.112.001.252.201.00
vs Weaker (6)1.171.000.670.671.671.33
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W20W40W02L31W02L11D13L22DH·CLY05/09A·EAS12/09H·STI19/09A·EAS26/09H·ANN03/10H·MON17/10A·ELG31/10H·EAS07/11A·STI14/11A·ANN21/11
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.211.571.001.431.431.71
vs Stronger (2)1.502.003.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (7)1.291.430.672.001.751.00
vs Weaker (5)1.001.600.671.001.502.50
Clean sheet %21% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
1-0 ✓
8.6%
2-0
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.6%
Queens Park goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
07.3%6.2%4.4%1.7%0.5%
18.6%13%7.0%2.8%0.8%
27.8%9.3%5.6%2.2%0.7%
34.2%5.0%3.0%1.2%0.4%
41.7%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queens Park goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.58
Queens Park
1.56
Annan Athletic
1.56
Berwick
1.36
Stirling
1.33
Montrose
1.19
Arbroath
1.08
East Stirling
0.89
Queens Park is 0.47 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.92
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Stirling
1.31
Queens Park
1.28
Berwick
1.25
Arbroath
1.17
East Stirling
1.14
Queens Park is 0.11 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.17).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.89
East Fife
1.14
Clyde
1.25
Elgin
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Berwick
1.39
Arbroath
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.58
Montrose
1.94
East Stirling
2.19
Queens Park is 0.53 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Queens ParkQueens Park

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ArbroathArbroath

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Queens ParkQueens Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (15)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (5)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Queens ParkQueens Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D00D02L01L00D31W00D00DH·EAS12/09H·ELG19/09A·STI26/09H·MON03/10A·ANN17/10H·CLY31/10A·EAS07/11A·MON17/11H·STI21/11A·EAS08/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.430.290.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.330.750.250.800.40
vs Weaker (6)0.170.670.000.330.331.00
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D10W02L10W01L01L10W01LH·CLY05/09A·EAS12/09H·STI19/09A·EAS26/09H·ANN03/10H·MON17/10A·ELG31/10H·EAS07/11A·STI14/11A·ANN21/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.290.930.141.000.430.86
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (7)0.291.000.001.330.500.75
vs Weaker (5)0.200.800.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %36% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queens Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Queens ParkQueens Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W10W01L11D10W12L30W10W20WH·EAS12/09H·ELG19/09A·STI26/09H·MON03/10A·ANN17/10H·CLY31/10A·EAS07/11A·MON17/11H·STI21/11A·EAS08/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.601.000.711.380.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.330.781.251.001.400.60
vs Weaker (6)1.000.330.670.331.330.33
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W30W00D21W01L10W03L21WH·CLY05/09A·EAS12/09H·STI19/09A·EAS26/09H·ANN03/10H·MON17/10A·ELG31/10H·EAS07/11A·STI14/11A·ANN21/11
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.640.860.431.000.86
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (7)1.000.430.670.671.250.25
vs Weaker (5)0.800.800.670.001.002.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queens Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
QP wins
0
Draws
0
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queens Park vs Arbroath · H/A from QP
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/15AArbroath Vs QP1-2

Queens ParkQueens Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/12/15AEast Fife Vs QP0-2
21/11/15HQP Vs Stirling1-0
17/11/15AMontrose Vs QP1-6
07/11/15AEast Stirling Vs QP2-1
31/10/15HQP Vs Clyde1-1
17/10/15AAnnan Athletic Vs QP3-1
03/10/15HQP Vs Montrose0-1
26/09/15AStirling Vs QP1-2
19/09/15HQP Vs Elgin3-1
12/09/15HQP Vs East Stirling5-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/15AAnnan Athletic Vs ARB2-2
14/11/15AStirling Vs ARB3-1
07/11/15HARB Vs East Fife1-1
31/10/15AElgin Vs ARB2-0
17/10/15HARB Vs Montrose3-1
03/10/15HARB Vs Annan Athletic0-2
26/09/15AEast Stirling Vs ARB0-4
19/09/15HARB Vs Stirling2-0
12/09/15AEast Fife Vs ARB0-1
05/09/15HARB Vs Clyde0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Queens Park
Queens Park
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.67
HomeWWLDW1.43
AwayWLLWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%43%62%
AVG goals2.802.433.12
Over 1.5 %73%57%88%
Over 2.5 %47%29%62%
Over 3.5 %27%29%25%
Scored1.731.432.00
Conceded1.071.001.12
BTTS53%43%62%
Clean Sheet20%14%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLD1.07
HomeLWLWD1.00
AwayWWLLD1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%29%29%
AVG goals2.792.433.14
Over 1.5 %86%86%86%
Over 2.5 %57%43%71%
Over 3.5 %36%14%57%
Scored1.211.001.43
Conceded1.571.431.71
BTTS43%43%43%
Clean Sheet21%14%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East FifeEast Fife3662
50%
1.7
6241+21
2.9
78%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
2ElginElgin3659
47%
1.6
5946+13
2.9
81%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3ClydeClyde3657
47%
1.6
5645+11
2.8
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3656
42%
1.6
4632+14
2.2
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
5Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3656
44%
1.6
6957+12
3.5
81%
64%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6
B
Berwick
3649
39%
1.4
4550-5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7StirlingStirling3648
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.6
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3643
31%
1.2
5070-20
3.3
86%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
9ArbroathArbroath3639
31%
1.1
4251-9
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
10
ES
East Stirling
3632
25%
0.9
4179-38
3.3
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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