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Queens Park vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 19/03/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 2-1
Queens Park
Queens Park
Vs
35%
32%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Queens Park win✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Queens ParkQueens Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D00D03L10W11D30W00D11D13LH·MON16/01A·STI23/01H·ELG06/02H·EAS13/02A·ARB20/02A·BER23/02H·EAS27/02H·BER05/03A·MON12/03H·ANN15/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.240.901.071.001.430.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.350.851.180.911.560.78
vs Weaker (9)1.001.000.751.251.200.80
Clean sheet %38% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W30W11D12L01L00D01L01L03L30WH·ANN23/01A·EAS30/01H·STI06/02A·EAS13/02H·QUE20/02H·EAS23/02H·CLY27/02A·STI05/03A·BER08/03H·EAS12/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.241.281.201.201.291.36
vs Stronger (3)1.671.333.001.001.001.50
vs Similar (16)1.311.311.251.381.381.25
vs Weaker (10)1.001.200.831.001.251.50
Clean sheet %28% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.3%
Under 1.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.1%
Under 2.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.6%
Under 3.5
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.7%
1-0
11.1%
0-1
10.9%
2-1 ✓
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.6%
Queens Park goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
013%11%6.6%2.4%0.6%
111%15%7.2%2.6%0.7%
26.9%7.4%4.0%1.4%0.4%
32.5%2.7%1.5%0.5%0.1%
40.7%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Queens Park goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.58
Queens Park
1.56
Annan Athletic
1.56
Berwick
1.36
Stirling
1.33
Montrose
1.19
Arbroath
1.08
East Stirling
0.89
Queens Park is 0.47 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (1.56 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.92
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Stirling
1.31
Queens Park
1.28
Berwick
1.25
Arbroath
1.17
East Stirling
1.14
Queens Park is 0.11 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.17).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.89
East Fife
1.14
Clyde
1.25
Elgin
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Berwick
1.39
Arbroath
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.58
Montrose
1.94
East Stirling
2.19
Queens Park is 0.53 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.42).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Queens ParkQueens Park

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ArbroathArbroath

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Queens ParkQueens Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (20)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (9)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (29)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (3)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (16)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Queens ParkQueens Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D02L10W11D00D00D10W03LH·MON16/01A·STI23/01H·ELG06/02H·EAS13/02A·ARB20/02A·BER23/02H·EAS27/02H·BER05/03A·MON12/03H·ANN15/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.480.270.530.640.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.550.350.360.360.780.33
vs Weaker (9)0.220.780.001.000.400.60
Clean sheet %66% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D10W00D01L01L00D00D00D01L10WH·ANN23/01A·EAS30/01H·STI06/02A·EAS13/02H·QUE20/02H·EAS23/02H·CLY27/02A·STI05/03A·BER08/03H·EAS12/03
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.280.660.200.670.360.64
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (16)0.310.810.250.880.380.75
vs Weaker (10)0.100.400.000.500.250.25
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Queens Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Queens ParkQueens Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D01L00D00D30W00D01L10WH·MON16/01A·STI23/01H·ELG06/02H·EAS13/02A·ARB20/02A·BER23/02H·EAS27/02H·BER05/03A·MON12/03H·ANN15/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.410.800.470.790.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.800.500.820.550.780.44
vs Weaker (9)0.780.220.750.250.800.20
Clean sheet %62% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W20W11D11D00D00D01L01L02L20WH·ANN23/01A·EAS30/01H·STI06/02A·EAS13/02H·QUE20/02H·EAS23/02H·CLY27/02A·STI05/03A·BER08/03H·EAS12/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.621.000.530.930.71
vs Stronger (3)1.000.672.001.000.500.50
vs Similar (16)1.000.501.000.501.000.50
vs Weaker (10)0.900.800.830.501.001.25
Clean sheet %52% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Queens Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Queens Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queens Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
QP wins
0
Draws
0
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Queens Park vs Arbroath · H/A from QP
DateH/AGameScore
20/02/16AArbroath Vs QP0-1
12/12/15HQP Vs Arbroath1-0
22/08/15AArbroath Vs QP1-2

Queens ParkQueens Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/03/16HQP Vs Annan Athletic1-3
12/03/16AMontrose Vs QP1-1
05/03/16HQP Vs Berwick0-0
27/02/16HQP Vs East Fife3-0
23/02/16ABerwick Vs QP1-1
20/02/16AArbroath Vs QP0-1
13/02/16HQP Vs East Stirling0-3
06/02/16HQP Vs Elgin0-0
23/01/16AStirling Vs QP0-0
16/01/16HQP Vs Montrose1-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/16HARB Vs East Stirling3-0
08/03/16ABerwick Vs ARB3-0
05/03/16AStirling Vs ARB1-0
27/02/16HARB Vs Clyde0-1
23/02/16HARB Vs East Stirling0-0
20/02/16HARB Vs Queens Park0-1
13/02/16AEast Fife Vs ARB2-1
06/02/16HARB Vs Stirling1-1
30/01/16AEast Stirling Vs ARB0-3
23/01/16HARB Vs Annan Athletic2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Queens Park
Queens Park
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDL1.52
HomeDLWDL1.27
AwayWDWDD1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %41%33%50%
AVG goals2.142.072.21
Over 1.5 %59%53%64%
Over 2.5 %34%33%36%
Over 3.5 %17%20%14%
Scored1.241.071.43
Conceded0.901.000.79
BTTS41%33%50%
Clean Sheet38%33%43%
Corners---
Cards---
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.21
HomeDLDLW1.20
AwayWWLLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%36%
AVG goals2.522.402.64
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %52%47%57%
Over 3.5 %24%20%29%
Scored1.241.201.29
Conceded1.281.201.36
BTTS38%47%29%
Clean Sheet28%20%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East FifeEast Fife3662
50%
1.7
6241+21
2.9
78%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
2ElginElgin3659
47%
1.6
5946+13
2.9
81%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3ClydeClyde3657
47%
1.6
5645+11
2.8
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3656
42%
1.6
4632+14
2.2
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
5Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3656
44%
1.6
6957+12
3.5
81%
64%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6
B
Berwick		3649
39%
1.4
4550-5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7StirlingStirling3648
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.6
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3643
31%
1.2
5070-20
3.3
86%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
9ArbroathArbroath3639
31%
1.1
4251-9
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
10
ES
East Stirling		3632
25%
0.9
4179-38
3.3
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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