The contest between RAAL La Louvière and KV Mechelen feels razor-thin, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.7% chance. RAAL’s home form shows an average of one goal scored and 1.38 conceded against similar opposition, while KV Mechelen, playing away, averages 0.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded versus similar teams. The probability spread is 40% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5% with a 3% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.4% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1% with a 3% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4% with a 3% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.9% with a 4% edge, and Home under 3.5 goals at 95.7% with a 5% edge. Both sides have struggled recently, with RAAL losing three in a row and KV Mechelen coming off a defeat, adding to the uncertainty.
Results analysis
The draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, was not realised. The final score was 2-2, a result that left the model’s call incorrect. The match was a true upset, with both sides ending in a stalemate. The model’s selection of Home win carried a 40% probability, yet the outcome was a draw. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.7%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.2%, and Home under 3.5 goals hit at 95.7%. The game’s low scoring nature matched the model’s expectation of 2.7 total goals, with the most likely 2-goal outcome at 26%. Both teams, coming off draws, finished level, confirming the model’s predictions on total goals but not on the winner.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
RAAL La Louvière win✗ Miss
39.8%
Avg Implied 39.4% · @ 2.36
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.45
1xBet
2.43
Superbet
2.42
Betano
2.42
Dafabet
2.41
Draw✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.13
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Betano
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Bet365
3.20
KV Mechelen win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.02
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.26
1xBet
3.13
Unibet
3.10
Betano
3.10
Marathonbet
3.06
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
RAAL La Louvière
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.63
1.15
1.54
1.12
1.71
vs Stronger (11)
1.27
1.73
1.40
1.80
1.17
1.67
vs Similar (19)
1.05
1.58
1.00
1.38
1.09
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.77
1.29
1.36
0.88
2.12
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
2.18
1.20
1.60
0.83
2.67
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.53
1.33
1.22
0.90
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
@ 1.36+7.1%
Under 1.5
24.0%
@ 3.02-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.30
Betano
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Superbet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.1%
@ 2.15+6.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
@ 1.69-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.28
Pinnacle
2.21
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.1%
@ 3.85+3.8%
Under 3.5
71.9%
@ 1.24-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.25
Betfair
4.10
Pinnacle
3.91
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
@ 1.84+5.0%
No
44.5%
@ 1.88-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.88
Betfair
1.87
Unibet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
No
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 5.63+5.7%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.57+3.6%
1-0
8.6%@ 6.68+2.0%
0-0
8.1%@ 7.79+2.4%
1-2
7.7%@ 9.88+3.2%
0-1
7.4%@ 7.65+1.6%
2-0
7.0%@ 10.23+2.7%
2-2 ✓
5.5%@ 13.41+2.2%
RAAL La Louvière goals ↓
KV Mechelen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.1%
7.4%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.6%
13%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.0%
8.7%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.3%
4.1%
2.6%
1.1%
0.3%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = RAAL La Louvière goals (down), columns = KV Mechelen goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lommel United
2.67
Club Brugge KV
2.20
Union St. Gilloise
2.15
St. Truiden
1.77
Genk
1.46
Standard Liege
1.43
Anderlecht
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.33
KVC Westerlo
1.30
KV Mechelen
1.27
Charleroi
1.27
Gent
1.27
Antwerp
1.20
Kortrijk
1.16
Cercle Brugge
1.14
OH Leuven
1.00
SK Beveren
0.99
RAAL La Louvière
0.94
RAAL La Louvière is 0.33 points worse than KV Mechelen in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.27).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lommel United
2.33
Club Brugge KV
2.27
Union St. Gilloise
1.65
St. Truiden
1.52
Anderlecht
1.48
Zulte Waregem
1.47
Cercle Brugge
1.47
Genk
1.39
Gent
1.29
KVC Westerlo
1.25
Charleroi
1.25
Kortrijk
1.20
KV Mechelen
1.20
Standard Liege
1.10
Antwerp
1.07
OH Leuven
1.02
SK Beveren
1.02
RAAL La Louvière
0.97
RAAL La Louvière is 0.23 goals worse than KV Mechelen in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union St. Gilloise
0.68
Lommel United
0.83
Club Brugge KV
1.12
Standard Liege
1.15
St. Truiden
1.15
Antwerp
1.20
Charleroi
1.25
Genk
1.29
RAAL La Louvière
1.39
Gent
1.39
KVC Westerlo
1.43
Zulte Waregem
1.47
OH Leuven
1.50
KV Mechelen
1.52
Anderlecht
1.55
Kortrijk
1.59
Cercle Brugge
1.61
SK Beveren
1.87
RAAL La Louvière is 0.14 goals better than KV Mechelen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.52).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Club Brugge KV
60%
Genk
58%
St. Truiden
55%
Anderlecht
53%
Union St. Gilloise
52%
Charleroi
50%
Antwerp
49%
KVC Westerlo
49%
KV Mechelen
49%
Gent
49%
Zulte Waregem
48%
Cercle Brugge
48%
OH Leuven
46%
Lommel United
45%
Standard Liege
44%
RAAL La Louvière
39%
RAAL La Louvière is 10.4 percentage points worse than KV Mechelen in terms of average possession (39% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RAAL La Louvière
For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
KV Mechelen
For 3.2 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RAAL La Louvière
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.3
8.8
3.4
3.3
3.5
24.5
23.8
25.2
vs Stronger (15)
10.4
10.4
10.3
3.9
3.0
4.6
24.5
23.1
25.9
vs Similar (33)
8.3
8.5
8.2
3.1
3.3
3.0
24.0
22.8
24.9
vs Weaker (2)
10.5
10.5
-
4.5
4.5
-
32.5
32.5
-
% over line
43%
45%
42%
48%
43%
52%
72%
64%
79%
% under line
57%
55%
58%
52%
57%
48%
28%
36%
21%
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.8
3.8
4.3
3.3
22.1
22.8
21.4
vs Stronger (14)
8.6
8.7
8.6
4.7
6.1
3.3
22.5
23.1
21.9
vs Similar (35)
10.6
11.0
10.3
3.5
3.8
3.3
21.9
22.6
21.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
57%
40%
52%
54%
50%
50%
61%
40%
% under line
52%
43%
60%
48%
46%
50%
50%
39%
60%
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
OH Leuven
11.1
Cercle Brugge
11.0
KVC Westerlo
10.6
Charleroi
10.6
Club Brugge KV
10.5
Anderlecht
10.4
Kortrijk
10.2
Gent
10.1
KV Mechelen
10.1
Standard Liege
10.1
Zulte Waregem
9.9
St. Truiden
9.9
SK Beveren
9.7
Lommel United
9.7
Genk
9.6
Union St. Gilloise
9.3
Antwerp
9.2
RAAL La Louvière
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anderlecht
5.3
Union St. Gilloise
4.9
OH Leuven
4.7
SK Beveren
4.4
Standard Liege
4.3
Kortrijk
4.3
Antwerp
4.1
Lommel United
4.1
KV Mechelen
4.1
St. Truiden
4.0
Cercle Brugge
4.0
KVC Westerlo
4.0
Charleroi
3.9
RAAL La Louvière
3.9
Zulte Waregem
3.8
Genk
3.7
Gent
3.6
Club Brugge KV
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
OH Leuven
25.2
RAAL La Louvière
25.0
Anderlecht
24.9
Lommel United
24.2
Antwerp
24.0
Kortrijk
23.3
SK Beveren
23.3
KVC Westerlo
23.1
Cercle Brugge
22.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Standard Liege
22.4
Genk
22.2
KV Mechelen
22.0
Charleroi
21.8
Union St. Gilloise
21.6
St. Truiden
21.2
Gent
21.1
Club Brugge KV
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.2%
@ 2.03+3.3%
Under 9.5
50.8%
@ 1.72-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
Superbet
2.05
Betano
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Under
1xBet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.7%
@ 1.80-8.2%
Under 3.5
56.3%
@ 1.94+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Unibet
1.85
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.22
Unibet
1.82
Superbet
1.78
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.3%
Under 21.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
RAAL La Louvière or Draw✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied 69.0% · @ 1.36
Edge
-3.1%
40%
28%
32%
covers RAAL La Louvière + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
RAAL La Louvière or KV Mechelen✗ Miss
70.8%
Avg Implied 70.4% · @ 1.33
Edge
+0.3%
40%
28%
32%
covers RAAL La Louvière + KV Mechelen
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
Draw or KV Mechelen✓ Hit
63.4%
Avg Implied 60.6% · @ 1.55
Edge
+2.8%
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + KV Mechelen
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.7%
@ 1.29+0.8%
Under
27.3%
@ 3.31-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.62
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
37.3%
@ 2.46-0.7%
Under
62.7%
@ 1.51+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.55
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.3%
@ 5.62-2.2%
Under
85.7%
@ 1.11+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Unibet
5.80
Superbet
5.65
BetVictor
5.50
Under
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
RAAL La Louvière over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 13.67-2.7%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
14.00
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.3%
@ 1.39+4.5%
Under
28.7%
@ 2.80-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
BetVictor
2.80
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.4%
@ 2.94+3.7%
Under
64.6%
@ 1.36-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Bet365
3.00
Unibet
3.00
1xBet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.37
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 7.25+0.3%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.07-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Unibet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
1xBet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
KV Mechelen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 17.83-1.6%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to RAAL La Louvière, so a minus line means RAAL La Louvière give that many goals of a start and KV Mechelen receive them. At -1, RAAL La Louvière must win by two or more to land; a one-goal RAAL La Louvière win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (RAAL La Louvière)Actual: KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière -2
5.9%
@ 11.07-2.3%
Draw -2
11.0%
@ 6.76-2.4%
KV Mechelen +2
83.1%
@ 1.15+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
11.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.65
Unibet
6.50
Away
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Handicap -1 (RAAL La Louvière)Actual: KV Mechelen
RAAL La Louvière -1
16.9%
@ 4.78-1.9%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 3.85-3.6%
KV Mechelen +1
63.4%
@ 1.55+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.50
Draw
Superbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.75
Away
Superbet
1.58
10Bet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Unibet
1.53
Handicap +1 (RAAL La Louvière)Actual: RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière +1
65.9%
@ 1.37-0.1%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.50-1.2%
KV Mechelen -1
15.3%
@ 6.42+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Draw
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (RAAL La Louvière)Actual: RAAL La Louvière
RAAL La Louvière +2
84.7%
@ 1.09+0.7%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 8.75-0.3%
KV Mechelen -2
5.1%
@ 16.50-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.07
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
8.50
Away
Bet365
19.00
Unibet
14.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RAAL La Louvière
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.38
0.62
0.53
0.76
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.73
0.60
0.80
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.68
0.25
0.50
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.64
0.50
0.38
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.91
0.40
0.60
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.74
0.78
0.44
0.30
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.9%
@ 1.45+2.6%
Under 0.5
33.1%
@ 2.62-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Unibet
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.79
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.75
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.3%
@ 3.08-0.0%
Under 1.5
69.7%
@ 1.34+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.20
Under
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
10.0%
@ 7.86-1.8%
Under 2.5
90.0%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.00
William Hil
8.00
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.9%
@ 2.11-0.3%
Under
56.1%
@ 1.67+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Unibet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.13
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
10Bet
1.70
Superbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
10.8%
@ 6.56-3.3%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.08+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
6.75
1xBet
6.65
Marathonbet
6.65
10Bet
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 19.17-3.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.4%
@ 2.35+0.9%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.54-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.44
Unibet
2.43
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
1xBet
1.52
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 7.90-1.4%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.05+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
1xBet
8.10
Superbet
7.80
10Bet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 22.83-2.6%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.01+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
30.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RAAL La Louvière
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.77
0.92
0.59
0.94
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.00
0.80
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.89
0.75
0.88
0.45
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (KV Mechelen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
KV Mechelen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.64
0.86
0.50
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.27
0.80
1.00
0.33
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.79
0.56
0.78
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (RAAL La Louvière) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.5%
@ 1.28+4.1%
Under 0.5
23.5%
@ 3.37-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Under
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
William Hil
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.2%
@ 2.30+1.6%
Under 1.5
57.8%
@ 1.57-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
William Hil
2.30
Under
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.2%
@ 5.11-3.0%
Under 2.5
84.8%
@ 1.13+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.40
Superbet
5.10
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
RAAL La Louvière over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.0%
@ 1.77-1.2%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.94+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Superbet
1.90
RAAL La Louvière over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 4.77-1.0%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.15+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
RAAL La Louvière over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 12.75-4.1%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
KV Mechelen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
45.7%
@ 1.95-1.8%
Under
54.3%
@ 1.76+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
KV Mechelen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 5.76-2.7%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.10+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.95
Marathonbet
5.95
Superbet
5.75
10Bet
5.75
Betano
5.40
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
KV Mechelen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 17.08-2.9%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Unibet
1.05
1xBet
1.04
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+3.3%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
88.5%
1.06
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.3%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+16.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.7%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.8%
1.13
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.7%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Unibet
1.07
-
-
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.1%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.5%
1.28
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.0%
1.36
Unibet
1.40
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
74.8%
1.46
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.35
-
-
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.1%
1.25
Superbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Unibet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.9%
1.24
Pinnacle
1.27
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-3.8%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.40
BetVictor
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.8%
1.33
Unibet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
+0.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
RAAL La Louvière
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mustapha Isah75%
Elias Filet25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Mame Wade0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mame Wade50%
Yllan Okou33%
Wagane Faye25%
Djibril Lamego25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Elias Filet0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Mustapha Isah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zsombor Gruber33%
Mame Wade25%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Elias Filet0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
Mustapha Isah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mustapha Isah50%
Ismaila Coulibaly0%
Marcos Hernán Peano0%
Shaquil Delos0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Wagane Faye0%
Yllan Okou0%
Mátyás Kovács0%
Zsombor Gruber0%
Elias Filet0%
Djibril Lamego0%
Mame Wade0%
Patrick Nkoa0%
Léandro Rousseau0%
Anas Tajaouart0%
KV Mechelen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Myron Van Brederode50%
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Massimo Decoene33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Fredrik Hammar25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi25%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Thérence Koudou0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Adeshina Ayodele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Thérence Koudou33%
Adeshina Ayodele33%
Dennis Praet0%
Benito Raman0%
Fredrik Hammar0%
José Marsà0%
Nacho Miras0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Massimo Decoene0%
Bilal Bafdili0%
Cedric Jan Van Meirvenne0%
Malcolm Lohunanu-Mbasi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
USG (26)
€98m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
KW (26)
€38m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
LU (25)
€26m
RLL (30)
€23m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
RAAL La Louvière's squad is €22m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€23m vs €45m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
USG (10)
€32m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
KW (11)
€16m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
RLL (10)
€6m
SB (9)
€4m
RAAL La Louvière's attack is €7m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€6m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
USG (7)
€38m
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
LU (5)
€15m
ANT (4)
€10m
KW (5)
€9m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
RLL (7)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
RAAL La Louvière's midfield is €1m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€6m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
USG (9)
€28m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
KW (10)
€12m
RLL (13)
€11m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
RAAL La Louvière's defence is €14m less valuable than KV Mechelen's (€11m vs €25m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Charleroi
Gent
Union St. Gilloise
Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem
Standard Liege
Genk
Lommel United
Antwerp
Anderlecht
St. Truiden
SK Beveren
Cercle Brugge
KVC Westerlo
OH Leuven
Kortrijk