This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.54
1.50
1.36
1.43
1.75
1.58
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.50
1.00
3.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (11)
1.64
1.00
2.20
0.80
1.17
1.17
vs Weaker (13)
1.54
1.62
0.88
1.62
2.60
1.60
Clean sheet %
15% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.5%
Under 1.5
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.9%
Under 2.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.5%
Under 3.5
62.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.5%
0-1
8.3%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
6.5%
0-0 ✓
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
Randers FC goals ↓
FC Midtjylland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.5%
8.3%
9.5%
6.5%
3.4%
1
3.7%
11%
9.9%
6.8%
3.5%
2
2.4%
5.0%
5.2%
3.6%
1.8%
3
0.8%
1.7%
1.8%
1.2%
0.6%
4
0.2%
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Randers FC goals (down), columns = FC Midtjylland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.84
FC Nordsjaelland
1.72
FC Midtjylland
1.64
Aarhus
1.59
Viborg
1.55
Odense
1.44
Brondby
1.38
Silkeborg
1.28
Randers FC
1.28
Lyngby
0.88
AC Horsens
0.88
Aalborg
0.84
Randers FC is 0.36 points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 1.64).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Copenhagen
1.91
FC Midtjylland
1.70
FC Nordsjaelland
1.56
Brondby
1.50
Odense
1.47
Silkeborg
1.38
Viborg
1.33
Aarhus
1.31
Randers FC
1.25
Aalborg
1.06
AC Horsens
1.03
Lyngby
0.94
Randers FC is 0.45 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.70).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus
0.97
Viborg
1.09
FC Nordsjaelland
1.09
FC Copenhagen
1.09
FC Midtjylland
1.18
Aalborg
1.41
Randers FC
1.47
Silkeborg
1.53
Lyngby
1.53
Brondby
1.62
Odense
1.66
AC Horsens
1.81
Randers FC is 0.29 goals worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Silkeborg
56%
FC Copenhagen
56%
FC Nordsjaelland
54%
Brondby
51%
Odense
50%
FC Midtjylland
50%
Randers FC
49%
Viborg
49%
Aalborg
49%
Aarhus
48%
Lyngby
45%
AC Horsens
42%
Randers FC is 1.3 percentage points worse than FC Midtjylland in terms of average possession (49% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Randers FC
For 5.3 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 10.1 · Total 18.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Midtjylland
For 4.6 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Randers FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
10.6
10.1
11.0
3.8
3.5
4.1
18.4
18.4
18.4
vs Stronger (7)
10.9
11.0
10.8
4.9
4.7
5.0
19.1
18.3
19.8
vs Similar (9)
10.3
9.6
11.2
3.0
2.8
3.2
17.8
18.4
17.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
50%
88%
56%
62%
50%
31%
25%
38%
% under line
31%
50%
12%
44%
38%
50%
69%
75%
62%
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (26)
10.7
11.4
10.0
4.9
4.4
5.5
22.2
21.9
22.7
vs Stronger (2)
14.0
16.0
12.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
19.0
15.0
23.0
vs Similar (11)
9.5
8.8
10.0
6.7
6.0
7.3
22.5
23.0
22.2
vs Weaker (13)
11.3
12.4
9.6
3.7
3.5
4.0
22.5
22.0
23.2
% over line
62%
64%
58%
65%
57%
75%
54%
50%
58%
% under line
38%
36%
42%
35%
43%
25%
46%
50%
42%
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brondby
11.5
FC Midtjylland
10.7
Randers FC
10.6
Odense
10.3
Lyngby
10.0
Aalborg
10.0
AC Horsens
9.8
FC Nordsjaelland
9.8
FC Copenhagen
9.5
Aarhus
9.4
Viborg
9.1
Silkeborg
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
5.2
FC Midtjylland
4.9
FC Nordsjaelland
4.6
Brondby
4.5
AC Horsens
4.2
Lyngby
4.1
Randers FC
4.1
Odense
3.9
Aalborg
3.7
Viborg
3.7
Aarhus
3.6
Silkeborg
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Midtjylland
22.2
Aarhus
22.2
FC Nordsjaelland
20.7
Lyngby
20.5
Aalborg
20.4
Odense
19.8
FC Copenhagen
19.8
Brondby
19.4
Viborg
19.1
Randers FC
18.4
AC Horsens
17.5
Silkeborg
14.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
30.2%
Under 21.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Randers FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.44
0.81
0.50
0.62
0.38
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.89
0.60
0.60
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.50
0.64
1.00
0.92
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.73
1.00
0.60
0.67
0.83
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.62
0.25
0.62
1.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
35% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Randers FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.81
0.75
0.75
1.25
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.29
0.33
1.67
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
0.44
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Midtjylland) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Midtjylland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.81
0.73
0.86
0.79
0.75
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.82
0.27
1.20
0.20
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Randers FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Randers FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Randers FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Midtjylland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Randers FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marvin Egho21%
Stephen Odey14%
Filip Bundgaard13%
Mads Enggård12%
Hugo Andersson12%
Daniel Høegh11%
Jakob Ankersen10%
Alhaji Kamara10%
Edgar Babayan9%
Carl Johansson8%
Simen Bolkan Nordli7%
Björn Kopplin7%
Simon Graves Jensen6%
Frederik Lauenborg6%
Tosin Kehinde4%
Adam Andersson4%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Lasse Berg Johnsen3%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Mikkel Kallesøe0%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
William Kaastrup0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johansson38%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen25%
Frederik Lauenborg25%
Mads Enggård25%
William Kaastrup25%
Hugo Andersson23%
Tosin Kehinde22%
Alhaji Kamara15%
Mikkel Kallesøe14%
Marvin Egho14%
Edgar Babayan13%
Simon Graves Jensen12%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen12%
Daniel Høegh11%
Stephen Odey10%
Lasse Berg Johnsen9%
Simen Bolkan Nordli7%
Björn Kopplin7%
Patrik Carlgren6%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Jakob Ankersen3%
Adam Andersson0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
Filip Bundgaard0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jakob Ankersen14%
Daniel Høegh11%
Björn Kopplin10%
Edgar Babayan9%
Adam Andersson8%
Simen Bolkan Nordli7%
Filip Bundgaard6%
Mads Enggård6%
Alhaji Kamara5%
Tosin Kehinde4%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen4%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Stephen Odey3%
Lasse Berg Johnsen3%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Mikkel Kallesøe0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Marvin Egho0%
Hugo Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
William Kaastrup0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stephen Odey17%
Edgar Babayan13%
Filip Bundgaard10%
Mikkel Kallesøe7%
Jakob Ankersen7%
Alhaji Kamara5%
Tosin Kehinde4%
Hugo Andersson4%
Tobias Klysner Breuner4%
Marvin Egho4%
Nicolai Brock-Madsen0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Björn Kopplin0%
Frederik Lauenborg0%
Mikkel Mejlstrup Pedersen0%
Daniel Høegh0%
Lasse Berg Johnsen0%
Adam Andersson0%
Carl Johansson0%
Simen Bolkan Nordli0%
Oliver Bundgaard Kristensen0%
Mads Enggård0%
William Kaastrup0%
FC Midtjylland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emam Ashour33%
Gustav Isaksen32%
Anders Dreyer31%
Evander28%
Pione Sisto25%
Aral Şimşir18%
Kristoffer Olsson16%
Erik Sviatchenko12%
Sory Kaba12%
Frederik Heiselberg9%
Stefan Gartenmann7%
Juninho6%
Henrik Dalsgaard6%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Paulinho5%
Emiliano Martínez3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Edward Chilufya3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Charles0%
Joel Andersson0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Júnior Brumado0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Armin Gigović0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Raphael Onyedika0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Onyedika56%
Erik Sviatchenko36%
Evander33%
Astrit Selmani25%
Victor Lind25%
Kristoffer Olsson23%
Juninho21%
Frederik Heiselberg18%
Mads Thychosen17%
Paulinho17%
Emam Ashour17%
Armin Gigović17%
Emiliano Martínez16%
Júnior Brumado15%
Henrik Dalsgaard14%
Charles12%
Joel Andersson12%
Sory Kaba12%
Stefan Gartenmann10%
Jonas Lössl9%
Gustav Isaksen9%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Anders Dreyer4%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Pione Sisto0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aral Şimşir24%
Kristoffer Olsson19%
Evander17%
Sory Kaba16%
Gustav Isaksen14%
Joel Andersson12%
Anders Dreyer12%
Charles8%
Erik Sviatchenko8%
Juninho6%
Pione Sisto5%
Nicolas Dyhr5%
Paulinho5%
Stefan Gartenmann3%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Oliver Sørensen3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Júnior Brumado0%
Emam Ashour0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Edward Chilufya0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Armin Gigović0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Victor Lind0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Raphael Onyedika0%
Frederik Heiselberg0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gustav Isaksen39%
Emam Ashour33%
Evander28%
Anders Dreyer27%
Pione Sisto25%
Sory Kaba20%
Frederik Heiselberg18%
Raphael Onyedika11%
Edward Chilufya8%
Júnior Brumado8%
Kristoffer Olsson6%
Armin Gigović6%
Erik Sviatchenko4%
Stefan Gartenmann3%
Juninho3%
Henrik Dalsgaard3%
Jonas Lössl0%
Charles0%
Paulinho0%
Joel Andersson0%
Mads Thychosen0%
Astrit Selmani0%
Chris Kouakou0%
Elías Ólafsson0%
Nicolas Dyhr0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Victor Lind0%
Oliver Sørensen0%
Aral Şimşir0%
Victor Bak Jensen0%
Valdemar Andreasen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
ODE (24)
€17m
RF (24)
€14m
LYN (22)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
Randers FC's squad is €94m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€14m vs €108m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
ODE (9)
€8m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
AH (9)
€4m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Randers FC's attack is €42m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€5m vs €47m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
RF (5)
€3m
ODE (6)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
AH (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Randers FC's midfield is €21m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€3m vs €24m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
ODE (9)
€7m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
AH (12)
€4m
Randers FC's defence is €31m less valuable than FC Midtjylland's (€6m vs €37m).
Denmark: Superliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →