Rangers vs Celtic Result & Analysis

The Rangers-Celtic clash is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win yet recognising the razor-thin margin between the two sides. The predicted probabilities are 37% for a Rangers victory, 26% for a draw and 37% for a Celtic win. The average number of goals expected is 3.0, with the most likely total being two goals at a 23% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.3% probability.

Rangers, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Celtic, on the road, average 0.67 goals scored and 2.33 conceded against similar opposition. Both sides have recently finished on a win, Rangers beating Aberdeen 1-0 and Celtic defeating Falkirk 2-1, adding to the uncertainty.

The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 91.5%, Under 23.5 fouls at 82.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 82.4% (hit), Over 1.5 goals at 81.4% (hit), Over 8.5 corners at 78.5% (hit) and Over 2.5 cards at 72.1% (miss). These probabilities are presented as percentages and are the only figures required.

The draw shocked the pundits, as the pre-match favourite Rangers, tipped at 37 percent to win, failed to secure a victory. The match finished 1-1, a result that left the model’s call wrong. Rangers entered the game on a winning streak, their last five results reading WLWWD, while Celtic, fresh from a win over Falkirk, also carried a strong run of WLWWW. The model’s other selections fared mixed: Under 5.5 cards hit at 82.4 percent, Over 1.5 and Over 8.5 corners both hit with 81.4 percent and 78.5 percent respectively, whereas Under 25.5 fouls, Under 23.5 fouls and Over 2.5 cards all missed, the last two at 91.5 percent, 82.9 percent and 72.1 percent respectively.