The model sees Real Madrid as the clear favourite, rating a 66% chance of an away win against Rayo Vallecano. That edge comes from Madrid’s strong away form, scoring an average of 2.17 goals while conceding only 1.0 against weaker opponents, versus Rayo’s modest home output of 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded against stronger sides. The predicted outcome is an away win, with a 0-2 scoreline the most likely result at 13.2%. The average goal expectation sits at 2.7, with 2 goals the most probable total at 26%. Rayo’s home form shows a 12% win, 23% draw, and 66% loss probability, while Madrid’s away form underlines their dominance. The model’s suggested picks include an 86.8% chance of over 2.5 cards, an 86.7% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 75.6% chance of over 1.5 total goals, a 75.4% chance of over 21.5 fouls, a 74.7% chance of under 11.5 corners, a 72.2% chance of over 3.5 cards, and a 72.0% chance of under 3.5 total goals, the latter being a miss.
Results analysis
The draw was a shock, as the pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to come through. With a 66% probability, the model had tipped Real Madrid to win, but the match finished 3-3, a result that was not predicted. The model’s selection of Over 2.5 cards hit with an 86.8% chance, and Over 19.5 fouls also hit at 86.7%. Over 1.5, Over 21.5 fouls, Under 11.5 corners, and Over 3.5 cards all hit, each with probabilities of 75.6%, 75.4%, 74.7%, and 72.2% respectively. The Under 3.5 pick missed, with a 72.0% probability. The win-run for Real Madrid continued, while Rayo Vallecano were coming off a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Rayo Vallecano win✗ Miss
11.9%
Avg Implied 16.5% · @ 5.79
Edge
-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.5%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 4.01
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid win✗ Miss
65.6%
Avg Implied 59.7% · @ 1.60
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Rayo Vallecano
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.10
1.14
1.07
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.86
0.75
1.50
0.67
2.33
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.86
1.30
0.90
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (2)
4.00
1.00
-
-
4.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
1.03
2.60
0.93
1.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.50
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (25)
2.52
0.84
2.85
0.69
2.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.6%
Under 1.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.84-2.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
@ 1.99+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.9%
No
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.2%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
1-3
6.2%
0-4
4.2%
Rayo Vallecano goals ↓
Real Madrid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
13%
13%
8.6%
4.2%
1
4.0%
11%
9.5%
6.2%
3.0%
2
1.8%
3.5%
3.4%
2.2%
1.1%
3
0.4%
0.8%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rayo Vallecano goals (down), columns = Real Madrid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.32
Real Madrid
2.21
Atletico Madrid
2.00
Villarreal
1.84
Athletic Club
1.84
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.45
Rayo Vallecano
1.37
Osasuna
1.37
Mallorca
1.26
Valencia
1.21
Real Sociedad
1.21
Getafe
1.11
Espanyol
1.11
Alaves
1.11
Girona
1.08
Sevilla
1.08
Leganes
1.05
Las Palmas
0.84
Valladolid
0.42
Rayo Vallecano is 0.84 points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.68
Real Madrid
2.05
Villarreal
1.87
Atletico Madrid
1.79
Celta Vigo
1.55
Real Betis
1.50
Athletic Club
1.42
Osasuna
1.26
Valencia
1.16
Girona
1.16
Sevilla
1.11
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Espanyol
1.05
Las Palmas
1.05
Leganes
1.03
Alaves
1.00
Real Sociedad
0.92
Mallorca
0.92
Getafe
0.89
Valladolid
0.68
Rayo Vallecano is 0.97 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 2.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athletic Club
0.76
Atletico Madrid
0.79
Real Madrid
1.00
Getafe
1.03
Barcelona
1.03
Mallorca
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.18
Real Sociedad
1.21
Alaves
1.26
Real Betis
1.32
Villarreal
1.34
Espanyol
1.34
Osasuna
1.37
Valencia
1.42
Sevilla
1.45
Leganes
1.47
Celta Vigo
1.50
Girona
1.58
Las Palmas
1.61
Valladolid
2.37
Rayo Vallecano is 0.18 goals worse than Real Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
60%
Girona
56%
Real Sociedad
54%
Celta Vigo
54%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Betis
53%
Rayo Vallecano
52%
Las Palmas
51%
Sevilla
51%
Athletic Club
48%
Valencia
48%
Villarreal
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
46%
Alaves
45%
Valladolid
43%
Leganes
42%
Getafe
41%
Espanyol
40%
Rayo Vallecano is 8.7 percentage points worse than Real Madrid in terms of average possession (52% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rayo Vallecano
For 5.2 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Madrid
For 6.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.6
5.3
5.1
5.4
27.7
27.7
27.7
vs Stronger (15)
9.8
9.4
10.3
4.7
4.4
5.0
26.9
27.6
26.0
vs Similar (33)
9.4
9.6
9.3
5.8
5.5
6.2
28.1
27.8
28.4
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
54%
54%
54%
70%
71%
69%
88%
83%
92%
% under line
46%
46%
46%
30%
29%
31%
12%
17%
8%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.9
4.3
4.0
4.6
23.3
22.1
24.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
11.6
10.2
13.2
4.7
4.2
5.2
23.0
23.6
22.2
vs Weaker (41)
9.7
10.2
9.2
4.2
3.9
4.4
23.3
21.7
24.9
% over line
54%
60%
48%
62%
56%
68%
58%
48%
68%
% under line
46%
40%
52%
38%
44%
32%
42%
52%
32%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barcelona
10.3
Real Madrid
10.0
Real Sociedad
9.9
Alaves
9.7
Real Betis
9.6
Las Palmas
9.5
Espanyol
9.5
Athletic Club
9.4
Rayo Vallecano
9.4
Osasuna
9.4
Sevilla
9.4
Valladolid
9.2
Villarreal
9.2
Mallorca
8.9
Celta Vigo
8.9
Atletico Madrid
8.8
Valencia
8.6
Leganes
8.5
Girona
8.5
Getafe
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.6
Villarreal
5.8
Rayo Vallecano
5.6
Valladolid
5.5
Alaves
5.4
Espanyol
5.4
Las Palmas
5.3
Sevilla
5.2
Real Sociedad
5.1
Valencia
5.0
Osasuna
5.0
Real Betis
5.0
Girona
5.0
Barcelona
4.9
Leganes
4.8
Celta Vigo
4.8
Athletic Club
4.7
Atletico Madrid
4.4
Mallorca
4.3
Real Madrid
4.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Getafe
30.1
Rayo Vallecano
28.0
Espanyol
27.7
Alaves
26.1
Real Sociedad
26.1
Leganes
26.0
Valladolid
25.8
Mallorca
25.2
Villarreal
25.2
Real Betis
25.1
Athletic Club
25.1
Valencia
25.0
Celta Vigo
24.8
Osasuna
24.5
Las Palmas
24.5
Sevilla
23.9
Real Madrid
23.3
Girona
23.1
Atletico Madrid
22.8
Barcelona
22.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.2%
Under 3.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.37
0.43
0.29
0.31
0.44
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.29
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (21)
0.24
0.33
0.30
0.40
0.18
0.27
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.27
0.73
0.27
0.80
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (25)
0.88
0.32
0.85
0.31
0.92
0.33
Clean sheet %
80% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.71
0.79
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
0.00
1.50
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.52
1.00
0.50
0.18
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
-
-
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Real Madrid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.77
1.87
0.67
1.13
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
2.00
1.00
2.50
0.67
1.67
vs Weaker (25)
1.64
0.52
2.00
0.38
1.25
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rayo Vallecano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jorge de Frutos15%
Pedro Díaz14%
Óscar Trejo14%
Sergio Camello12%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss12%
Álvaro García11%
Isi Palazón11%
Unai López9%
Abdul Mumin8%
Randy Nteka7%
Andrei Rațiu6%
Florian Lejeune5%
Alfonso Espino5%
Adrián Embarba5%
James Rodríguez0%
Augusto Batalla0%
Iván Balliu0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Sergi Guardiola0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pathé Ismaël Ciss35%
Pelayo Fernández33%
Alfonso Espino32%
Unai López26%
Abdul Mumin24%
Florian Lejeune24%
Randy Nteka22%
Augusto Batalla19%
Isi Palazón18%
Óscar Valentín17%
Gerard Gumbau17%
James Rodríguez14%
Andrei Rațiu14%
Adrián Embarba13%
Sergi Guardiola11%
Álvaro García11%
Iván Balliu11%
Jorge de Frutos10%
Óscar Trejo9%
Josep Chavarría8%
Sergio Camello8%
Pedro Díaz7%
Aridane Hernández6%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
James Rodríguez14%
Isi Palazón13%
Álvaro García11%
Alfonso Espino11%
Andrei Rațiu8%
Gerard Gumbau8%
Sergio Camello8%
Florian Lejeune8%
Jorge de Frutos8%
Óscar Trejo5%
Abdul Mumin4%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss3%
Unai López3%
Josep Chavarría3%
Adrián Embarba3%
Augusto Batalla0%
Iván Balliu0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Pedro Díaz0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Sergi Guardiola0%
Randy Nteka0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álvaro García19%
Florian Lejeune16%
Jorge de Frutos13%
Sergio Camello12%
Isi Palazón8%
Pedro Díaz7%
Sergi Guardiola6%
Alfonso Espino5%
Randy Nteka4%
Adrián Embarba3%
James Rodríguez0%
Andrei Rațiu0%
Augusto Batalla0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Iván Balliu0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Real Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kylian Mbappé54%
Vinícius Júnior31%
Jude Bellingham27%
Gonzalo García25%
Jacobo Ramón20%
Rodrygo19%
Endrick16%
Federico Valverde15%
Brahim Díaz12%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Arda Güler10%
Luka Modrić7%
Antonio Rüdiger7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga6%
Lucas Vázquez4%
Aurélien Tchouaméni4%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Raúl Asencio0%
Chema Andrés0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacobo Ramón40%
Vinícius Júnior27%
Éder Militão25%
Luka Modrić20%
Lucas Vázquez19%
Aurélien Tchouaméni19%
Eduardo Camavinga19%
Jude Bellingham19%
Raúl Asencio18%
David Alaba14%
Dani Ceballos14%
Antonio Rüdiger13%
Endrick11%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Federico Valverde9%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Ferland Mendy7%
Arda Güler2%
Thibaut Courtois2%
Brahim Díaz2%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Rodrygo0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Gonzalo García0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Chema Andrés0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jesús Vallejo25%
Gonzalo García25%
Jude Bellingham23%
Vinícius Júnior21%
Rodrygo19%
Luka Modrić17%
Arda Güler15%
Federico Valverde15%
Lucas Vázquez13%
Brahim Díaz12%
Daniel Carvajal10%
Kylian Mbappé8%
Ferland Mendy7%
Andriy Lunin7%
Fran García7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga6%
Dani Ceballos5%
Raúl Asencio5%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
David Alaba0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Antonio Rüdiger0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Endrick0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Chema Andrés0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kylian Mbappé67%
Vinícius Júnior40%
Jude Bellingham23%
Arda Güler17%
Endrick14%
Rodrygo13%
Brahim Díaz8%
Federico Valverde7%
Éder Militão6%
Eduardo Camavinga3%
Antonio Rüdiger2%
Aurélien Tchouaméni2%
David Alaba0%
Ferland Mendy0%
Thibaut Courtois0%
Daniel Carvajal0%
Fran García0%
Jesús Vallejo0%
Dani Ceballos0%
Luka Modrić0%
Lucas Vázquez0%
Andriy Lunin0%
Gonzalo García0%
Lorenzo Aguado0%
Raúl Asencio0%
Jacobo Ramón0%
Chema Andrés0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
VAL (29)
€26m
Rayo Vallecano's squad is €1381m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€76m vs €1456m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
VAL (11)
€10m
Rayo Vallecano's attack is €812m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€30m vs €842m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
OSA (4)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
VAL (6)
€6m
LP (5)
€3m
Rayo Vallecano's midfield is €228m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€9m vs €238m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
VAL (12)
€10m
LEG (10)
€8m
Rayo Vallecano's defence is €341m less valuable than Real Madrid's (€36m vs €377m).
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Barcelona
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Mallorca
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Getafe
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Girona
Leganes
Las Palmas
Valladolid