This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.17
1.29
1.29
1.19
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
1.00
1.89
1.20
1.80
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.83
1.33
1.00
0.56
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
1.00
-
-
3.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.4%
Under 1.5
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.9%
Under 3.5
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.5%
Real Sociedad goals ↓
Rayo Vallecano goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
10.0%
5.5%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.1%
7.9%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.2%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Real Sociedad goals (down), columns = Rayo Vallecano goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Valencia
2.40
Osasuna
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Pontevedra
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Almeria
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Zamora
2.00
Barbastro
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Sevilla
2.00
Zaragoza
2.00
Marbella
2.00
Girona
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Sant Andreu
1.50
Manises
1.50
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Villamuriel
1.50
Conquense
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Gimnastic
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Yeclano
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Astur
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
Vic
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Salamanca UDS
1.50
Parla Escuela
1.50
Villarreal
1.50
Burgos
1.50
UD San Pedro
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Chiclana
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Deportiva Minera
1.33
Valladolid
1.33
Tenerife
1.33
Malaga
1.00
Escobedo
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Oviedo
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Ponferradina
0.67
San Tirso
0.50
Olot
0.50
Cacereño
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Gévora
0.50
Athletic Club
0.50
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Bergantiños
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Lanzarote
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Móstoles
0.00
Don Benito
0.00
Cuarte
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Cortes
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Dolorense
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
Poblense
0.00
SS Reyes
0.00
Guijuelo
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
L'Hospitalet
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Lleida Esportiu
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Levante
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Real Sociedad is 0.32 points better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of average points per game (2.57 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Zaragoza
3.50
Barcelona
3.50
Lanzarote
3.00
Unionistas de Salamanca
3.00
Las Palmas
3.00
Yeclano
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Valladolid
2.67
Real Madrid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Almeria
2.50
Burgos
2.50
UD San Pedro
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Racing Santander
2.33
Sevilla
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Barbastro
2.00
Ceuta 6 de Junio
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Barakaldo
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Pontevedra
2.00
Elche
2.00
Móstoles
2.00
Vic
2.00
Girona
2.00
Chiclana
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Sant Andreu
1.50
Manises
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Astur
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
Zamora
1.00
Malaga
1.00
Bergantiños
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Castellón
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
1.00
Albacete
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Don Benito
1.00
Cuarte
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Olot
1.00
Dolorense
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Poblense
1.00
SS Reyes
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Guijuelo
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Ejea
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
L'Hospitalet
1.00
Marbella
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
Lleida Esportiu
1.00
Gévora
1.00
Levante
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
Eldense
0.67
Villamuriel
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
San Tirso
0.50
Ontiñena
0.50
Salamanca UDS
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
Aurrerá Vitoria
0.00
Escobedo
0.00
Tudelano
0.00
Promesas EDF
0.00
Sonseca
0.00
Alcorcon
0.00
Sporting Mahón
0.00
Ibiza
0.00
Atlético Paso
0.00
Jove Español
0.00
Llanera
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Melilla CD
0.00
Amorebieta
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Alfaro
0.00
Compostela
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Laredo
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Xerez
0.00
Badalona
0.00
Beasain
0.00
Cortes
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Las Rozas
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Águilas
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Hércules
0.00
Numancia
0.00
CD Coria
0.00
Real Sociedad is 0.57 goals worse than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Escobedo
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Eibar
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Girona
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Zamora
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Conquense
0.50
Pontevedra
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Yeclano
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Alaves
0.50
Parla Escuela
0.50
Eldense
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Marbella
0.67
Tenerife
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Malaga
1.00
Aurrerá Vitoria
1.00
Gimnástica Segoviana
1.00
Selaya
1.00
Sonseca
1.00
Baztán
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Alcorcon
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Atlético Paso
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Gimnastic
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Elche
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Playas Sotavento
1.00
Compostela
1.00
Xerez
1.00
Beasain
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Vic
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Águilas
1.00
Hércules
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Celta Vigo
1.25
Ourense CF
1.25
Barbastro
1.33
Osasuna
1.40
Unionistas de Salamanca
1.50
Barakaldo
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Ejea
1.50
Almeria
1.50
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
Las Palmas
1.67
Sevilla
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
Leganes
1.80
Bergantiños
2.00
Promesas EDF
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Manises
2.00
Deportiva Minera
2.00
Ibiza Islas Pitiusas
2.00
Valladolid
2.00
Llanera
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Don Benito
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Alfaro
2.00
Badalona
2.00
Astur
2.00
Olot
2.00
Cortes
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
SS Reyes
2.00
Guijuelo
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Villamuriel
2.50
San Tirso
2.50
Chiclana
2.50
Cuarte
3.00
Mallorca
3.00
Dolorense
3.00
Las Rozas
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Lleida Esportiu
3.00
CD Coria
3.00
Salamanca UDS
3.50
UD San Pedro
3.50
Gévora
3.50
Ceuta 6 de Junio
4.00
Lanzarote
4.00
Sporting Mahón
4.00
Melilla CD
4.00
Amorebieta
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Ontiñena
4.00
Levante
4.00
Tudelano
5.00
Jove Español
5.00
Móstoles
5.00
L'Hospitalet
5.00
Laredo
6.00
Poblense
6.00
Real Sociedad is 0.79 goals better than Rayo Vallecano in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Real Sociedad
For 4.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 27.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rayo Vallecano
For 4.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 9.9 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Real Sociedad
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.6
9.5
4.7
5.0
4.5
26.2
26.1
26.4
vs Stronger (8)
11.4
11.2
12.0
4.9
5.3
3.5
25.0
25.5
23.5
vs Similar (20)
9.4
9.5
9.3
4.8
4.0
5.4
26.4
26.6
26.3
vs Weaker (22)
10.2
11.1
9.2
4.5
5.5
3.8
26.5
26.0
27.1
% over line
57%
67%
48%
64%
75%
54%
79%
75%
83%
% under line
43%
33%
52%
36%
25%
46%
21%
25%
17%
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.4
9.7
4.9
5.1
4.8
27.1
27.0
27.1
vs Stronger (16)
9.9
9.0
10.8
4.9
4.4
5.4
26.0
26.1
25.9
vs Similar (31)
9.4
9.6
9.1
5.5
5.4
5.5
27.6
27.4
27.8
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
53%
50%
57%
68%
71%
65%
87%
83%
91%
% under line
47%
50%
43%
32%
29%
35%
13%
17%
9%
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barcelona
10.4
Oviedo
10.3
Deportivo La Coruna
10.2
Racing Santander
10.2
Real Madrid
10.1
Real Sociedad
10.0
Burgos
9.7
Numancia
9.7
Ibiza
9.7
Levante
9.7
Eibar
9.7
Rayo Vallecano
9.6
Alaves
9.6
Espanyol
9.6
Almeria
9.5
Real Betis
9.5
Cordoba
9.5
Eldense
9.5
Huesca
9.5
Sevilla
9.5
Tenerife
9.5
Cultural Leonesa
9.5
Las Palmas
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Albacete
9.4
Castellón
9.4
Valladolid
9.4
Ponferradina
9.3
Granada CF
9.3
Athletic Club
9.3
Villarreal
9.2
Mirandes
9.2
Osasuna
9.2
Sporting Gijon
9.0
Gimnastic
9.0
Alcorcon
9.0
Malaga
8.9
Celta Vigo
8.8
Racing Ferrol
8.8
Valencia
8.8
FC Andorra
8.8
Elche
8.8
Atletico Madrid
8.8
Amorebieta
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Cadiz
8.7
Leganes
8.7
Mallorca
8.7
Girona
8.4
Getafe
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.4
Racing Santander
6.1
Gimnastic
5.9
Villarreal
5.9
Cadiz
5.8
Zaragoza
5.7
Cultural Leonesa
5.6
Malaga
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Elche
5.5
Rayo Vallecano
5.5
Valladolid
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Tenerife
5.3
Granada CF
5.3
Alaves
5.3
Real Sociedad
5.2
Las Palmas
5.2
Espanyol
5.2
Cordoba
5.1
Sevilla
5.1
Real Betis
5.1
Oviedo
5.1
Almeria
5.0
Huesca
5.0
Mirandes
5.0
Girona
5.0
Celta Vigo
4.9
Alcorcon
4.9
Ponferradina
4.8
FC Andorra
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Barcelona
4.8
Leganes
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Valencia
4.7
Burgos
4.6
FC Cartagena
4.6
Albacete
4.5
Eldense
4.5
Levante
4.5
Athletic Club
4.5
Deportivo La Coruna
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Mallorca
4.4
Atletico Madrid
4.3
Castellón
4.2
Real Madrid
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Numancia
30.6
Gimnastic
30.1
Getafe
30.1
Cordoba
29.9
Cultural Leonesa
29.8
Cadiz
29.5
Racing Santander
29.0
Malaga
28.6
Elche
28.1
Espanyol
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Rayo Vallecano
27.3
Oviedo
27.2
Almeria
26.8
Zaragoza
26.7
Granada CF
26.7
Alaves
26.6
Tenerife
26.5
Real Sociedad
26.4
Leganes
26.3
Castellón
26.2
Eldense
26.0
Deportivo La Coruna
25.8
Valladolid
25.8
Racing Ferrol
25.6
Real Betis
25.6
Levante
25.4
Mallorca
25.4
Villarreal
25.2
Celta Vigo
25.1
Athletic Club
25.1
Mirandes
25.1
FC Andorra
25.0
Valencia
24.9
Las Palmas
24.7
Osasuna
24.6
Alcorcon
24.6
Ponferradina
24.4
Amorebieta
24.3
Albacete
23.9
Sporting Gijon
23.9
Huesca
23.8
Sevilla
23.8
FC Cartagena
23.8
Eibar
23.2
Real Madrid
23.1
Atletico Madrid
23.0
Girona
23.0
Burgos
22.8
Barcelona
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
63.0%
Under 9.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.3%
Under 3.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.1%
Under 21.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Real Sociedad or Draw✓ Hit
71.4%
Avg Implied -
39%
32%
29%
covers Real Sociedad + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad or Rayo Vallecano✓ Hit
68.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
32%
29%
covers Real Sociedad + Rayo Vallecano
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rayo Vallecano✗ Miss
60.6%
Avg Implied -
39%
32%
29%
covers Draw + Rayo Vallecano
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Real Sociedad over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.2%
Under
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.9%
Under
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.1%
Under
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.4%
Under
92.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Real Sociedad, so a minus line means Real Sociedad give that many goals of a start and Rayo Vallecano receive them. At -1, Real Sociedad must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Real Sociedad win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Real Sociedad)Actual: Draw
Real Sociedad -2
5.7%
Draw -2
11.7%
Rayo Vallecano +2
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Real Sociedad)Actual: Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad -1
17.4%
Draw -1
22.0%
Rayo Vallecano +1
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Real Sociedad)Actual: Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad +1
71.4%
Draw +1
17.8%
Rayo Vallecano -1
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Real Sociedad)Actual: Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad +2
89.2%
Draw +2
7.8%
Rayo Vallecano -2
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Real Sociedad
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.64
0.50
0.75
0.38
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.25
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.50
1.17
0.33
0.88
0.62
vs Weaker (12)
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.75
0.62
0.12
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
0.56
1.00
0.40
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.28
0.44
0.33
0.56
0.22
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
-
-
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Real Sociedad over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Real Sociedad
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.27
0.50
0.43
0.56
0.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.75
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.14
0.83
0.00
0.25
0.25
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.25
0.25
0.75
0.88
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Rayo Vallecano) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rayo Vallecano
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.71
0.79
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.33
0.20
1.40
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.39
1.00
0.44
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
-
-
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Real Sociedad) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Real Sociedad over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Real Sociedad over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rayo Vallecano over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Real Sociedad
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikel Oyarzabal28%
Arsen Zakharyan25%
Brais Méndez18%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena18%
Orri Steinn Óskarsson14%
Takefusa Kubo13%
Ander Barrenetxea13%
Sergio Gómez8%
Sheraldo Becker8%
Jon Ander Olasagasti6%
Pablo Marín5%
Luka Sučić5%
Jon Pacheco5%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Jon Aramburu2%
Álvaro Odriozola0%
Hamari Traoré0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Umar Sadiq0%
Álex Remiro0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Aihen Muñoz0%
Igor Zubeldia0%
Javi López0%
Urko González0%
Beñat Turrientes0%
Unai Marrero0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Jon Martin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álvaro Odriozola57%
Urko González33%
Jon Magunazelaia25%
Jon Aramburu24%
Aihen Muñoz24%
Martín Zubimendi23%
Nayef Aguerd22%
Igor Zubeldia22%
Jon Pacheco19%
Javi López16%
Hamari Traoré15%
Ander Barrenetxea15%
Jon Ander Olasagasti15%
Mikel Oyarzabal15%
Brais Méndez14%
Beñat Turrientes13%
Luka Sučić12%
Jon Martin12%
Takefusa Kubo12%
Pablo Marín11%
Umar Sadiq9%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena9%
Aritz Elustondo9%
Sergio Gómez8%
Orri Steinn Óskarsson5%
Sheraldo Becker3%
Álex Remiro0%
Unai Marrero0%
Arsen Zakharyan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Arsen Zakharyan25%
Mikel Oyarzabal13%
Sergio Gómez12%
Brais Méndez11%
Umar Sadiq9%
Ander Barrenetxea9%
Sheraldo Becker8%
Pablo Marín8%
Hamari Traoré8%
Takefusa Kubo8%
Jon Ander Olasagasti6%
Jon Martin6%
Aritz Elustondo3%
Luka Sučić2%
Martín Zubimendi2%
Jon Aramburu2%
Álvaro Odriozola0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Álex Remiro0%
Aihen Muñoz0%
Igor Zubeldia0%
Orri Steinn Óskarsson0%
Jon Pacheco0%
Javi López0%
Urko González0%
Beñat Turrientes0%
Unai Marrero0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Urko González33%
Arsen Zakharyan25%
Mikel Oyarzabal19%
Sheraldo Becker11%
Orri Steinn Óskarsson8%
Takefusa Kubo8%
Ander Barrenetxea7%
Jon Ander Olasagasti6%
Jon Martin6%
Luka Sučić5%
Nayef Aguerd3%
Pablo Marín3%
Brais Méndez2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Álvaro Odriozola0%
Hamari Traoré0%
Umar Sadiq0%
Álex Remiro0%
Aritz Elustondo0%
Aihen Muñoz0%
Igor Zubeldia0%
Martín Zubimendi0%
Jon Pacheco0%
Javi López0%
Beñat Turrientes0%
Unai Marrero0%
Jon Aramburu0%
Jon Magunazelaia0%
Arkaitz Mariezkurrena0%
Rayo Vallecano
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jorge de Frutos15%
Pedro Díaz14%
Óscar Trejo14%
Sergio Camello12%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss12%
Álvaro García11%
Isi Palazón11%
Unai López9%
Abdul Mumin8%
Randy Nteka7%
Andrei Rațiu6%
Florian Lejeune5%
Alfonso Espino5%
Adrián Embarba5%
James Rodríguez0%
Augusto Batalla0%
Iván Balliu0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Sergi Guardiola0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pathé Ismaël Ciss35%
Pelayo Fernández33%
Alfonso Espino32%
Unai López26%
Abdul Mumin24%
Florian Lejeune24%
Randy Nteka22%
Augusto Batalla19%
Isi Palazón18%
Óscar Valentín17%
Gerard Gumbau17%
James Rodríguez14%
Andrei Rațiu14%
Adrián Embarba13%
Sergi Guardiola11%
Álvaro García11%
Iván Balliu11%
Jorge de Frutos10%
Óscar Trejo9%
Josep Chavarría8%
Sergio Camello8%
Pedro Díaz7%
Aridane Hernández6%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
James Rodríguez14%
Isi Palazón13%
Álvaro García11%
Alfonso Espino11%
Andrei Rațiu8%
Gerard Gumbau8%
Sergio Camello8%
Florian Lejeune8%
Jorge de Frutos8%
Óscar Trejo5%
Abdul Mumin4%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss3%
Unai López3%
Josep Chavarría3%
Adrián Embarba3%
Augusto Batalla0%
Iván Balliu0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Pedro Díaz0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Sergi Guardiola0%
Randy Nteka0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Álvaro García19%
Florian Lejeune16%
Jorge de Frutos13%
Sergio Camello12%
Isi Palazón8%
Pedro Díaz7%
Sergi Guardiola6%
Alfonso Espino5%
Randy Nteka4%
Adrián Embarba3%
James Rodríguez0%
Andrei Rațiu0%
Augusto Batalla0%
Abdul Mumin0%
Iván Balliu0%
Pathé Ismaël Ciss0%
Aridane Hernández0%
Óscar Valentín0%
Unai López0%
Gerard Gumbau0%
Óscar Trejo0%
Dani Cárdenas0%
Josep Chavarría0%
Pelayo Fernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
ZAR (20)
€9m
ELD (20)
€7m
MIR (21)
€6m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Real Sociedad's squad is €171m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€247m vs €76m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
ELD (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Real Sociedad's attack is €79m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€110m vs €30m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Real Sociedad's midfield is €49m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€58m vs €9m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Real Sociedad's defence is €43m more valuable than Rayo Vallecano's (€79m vs €36m).
Spain: La Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Athletic Club
Villarreal
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Osasuna
Mallorca
Valencia
Getafe
Alaves
Espanyol
Sevilla
Girona
Leganes
Las Palmas
Valladolid