This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.53
1.38
1.54
0.82
1.53
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
1.67
1.00
1.33
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (21)
1.19
1.48
1.56
1.67
0.92
1.33
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.04-1.6%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.70+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.5%
No
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
Red Star goals ↓
Amiens goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.6%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
1
11%
14%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
2
8.9%
9.0%
4.5%
1.5%
0.4%
3
4.2%
4.3%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.5%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Amiens goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.92 points better than Amiens in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.22 goals better than Amiens in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.14).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Red Star is 0.80 goals better than Amiens in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 3.2 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Amiens
For 4.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.7 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.2
9.4
3.4
3.6
3.3
25.8
26.8
24.8
vs Stronger (18)
9.7
10.3
9.0
3.5
3.7
3.3
24.7
25.9
23.6
vs Similar (32)
9.9
10.1
9.6
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.4
27.4
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
67%
50%
44%
46%
42%
80%
79%
81%
% under line
42%
33%
50%
56%
54%
58%
20%
21%
19%
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.3
9.9
3.6
3.3
3.9
26.4
25.6
27.2
vs Stronger (9)
11.6
13.0
9.3
2.7
1.8
3.8
25.9
25.0
27.3
vs Similar (37)
9.3
8.2
10.3
3.9
3.7
4.1
26.5
25.9
27.1
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
10.0
7.0
2.8
3.0
2.7
26.7
22.0
29.0
% over line
45%
35%
54%
48%
35%
59%
85%
83%
88%
% under line
55%
65%
46%
52%
65%
41%
15%
17%
12%
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.5
Saint Etienne
10.5
Laval
10.1
Grenoble
10.0
Reims
10.0
Clermont Foot
9.9
Nancy
9.8
Red Star
9.8
PAU
9.8
Guingamp
9.7
Amiens
9.7
Montpellier
9.5
RED Star FC 93
9.5
Bastia
9.4
Annecy
9.3
Rouen
8.9
Estac Troyes
8.8
Dunkerque
8.7
Le Mans
8.0
Boulogne
6.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.3
Montpellier
4.7
Boulogne
4.5
PAU
4.4
Le Mans
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.1
Reims
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Amiens
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Laval
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Guingamp
3.8
Rodez
3.7
Nancy
3.7
Red Star
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.4
Rouen
3.4
Grenoble
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Boulogne
32.5
Le Mans
30.4
Nancy
29.2
Bastia
27.3
Annecy
27.2
Rouen
27.2
Laval
26.7
Amiens
26.5
Guingamp
26.4
Montpellier
26.0
Estac Troyes
26.0
Red Star
25.8
Saint Etienne
25.8
PAU
25.7
Clermont Foot
25.6
Dunkerque
25.3
RED Star FC 93
24.6
Grenoble
24.0
Rodez
23.5
Reims
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.8%
Under 3.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
84.9%
Under 21.5
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.92
0.33
0.83
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.44
0.89
0.56
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.69
0.77
0.29
0.82
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.81
0.78
0.89
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.73
0.53
0.60
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.56
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Amiens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Amiens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.73
0.69
0.77
0.53
0.71
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.67
0.78
0.78
0.67
0.58
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Amiens over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Amiens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ange Chibozo33%
Yoan Koré25%
Ibou Sane22%
Yvan Ikia Dimi22%
Yanis Rafii18%
Nordine Kandil16%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba15%
Teddy Averlant15%
Ilyes Hamache13%
Rayan Lutin10%
Kylian Kaiboue9%
Antoine Leautey9%
Victor Lobry7%
Jan Mlakar7%
Aboubacar Lô4%
Siaka Bakayoko3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jérôme Roussillon0%
Skelly Alvero0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Mathis Touho0%
Coleen Louis0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yoan Koré50%
Kylian Kaiboue32%
Thomas Monconduit32%
Yvan Ikia Dimi30%
Amine Chabane30%
Ibrahim Fofana26%
Skelly Alvero25%
Aboubacar Lô19%
Jan Mlakar14%
Oscar Aïssat14%
Jérôme Roussillon12%
Coleen Louis11%
Rayan Lutin10%
Yanis Rafii9%
Teddy Averlant9%
Victor Lobry7%
Nordine Kandil5%
Antoine Leautey4%
Joseph N'Duquidi4%
Ilyes Hamache3%
Siaka Bakayoko3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Mathis Touho0%
Ibou Sane0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Talbot25%
Antoine Leautey17%
Nordine Kandil16%
Victor Lobry14%
Jérôme Roussillon12%
Skelly Alvero12%
Yanis Rafii9%
Yvan Ikia Dimi9%
Thomas Monconduit8%
Coleen Louis7%
Rayan Lutin7%
Kylian Kaiboue6%
Teddy Averlant6%
Ilyes Hamache3%
Ibrahim Fofana3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jan Mlakar0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Yoan Koré0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Ibou Sane0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Teddy Averlant24%
Samuel Ntamack Ndimba15%
Ibou Sane11%
Nordine Kandil11%
Yvan Ikia Dimi9%
Jan Mlakar7%
Antoine Leautey4%
Kylian Kaiboue3%
Arvin Appiah0%
Victor Lobry0%
Thomas Monconduit0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Alexis Sauvage0%
Jérôme Roussillon0%
Aboubacar Lô0%
Skelly Alvero0%
Ange Chibozo0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Yoan Koré0%
Joseph N'Duquidi0%
Ibrahim Fofana0%
Rayan Lutin0%
Mathis Touho0%
Siaka Bakayoko0%
Coleen Louis0%
Nathan Talbot0%
Amine Chabane0%
Messy Mubundu0%
Patrick Carraro Injai0%
Oscar Aïssat0%
Yanis Rafii0%
Ilan Daf0%
Aly Traore0%
Enzo Somon0%
Ilies Abdelkrim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Amiens
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Reims
Rodez
Annecy
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
PAU
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Laval
Nancy
Bastia
Rouen