This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.13
1.67
1.00
1.22
1.22
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.67
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.52
1.17
2.00
0.88
1.27
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.0%
@ 1.69-12.5%
Under 2.5
57.0%
@ 2.11+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.9%
No
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.7%
Red Star goals ↓
Dunkerque goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.9%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
1
10%
14%
7.3%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.4%
8.3%
4.7%
1.7%
0.5%
3
3.2%
3.5%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Dunkerque goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
2.14
Paris FC
2.08
Metz
1.86
Dunkerque
1.66
Annecy
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Laval
1.50
Guingamp
1.49
Bastia
1.44
Estac Troyes
1.33
PAU
1.33
Grenoble
1.31
Amiens
1.28
Ajaccio
1.25
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.11
Clermont Foot
1.00
Martigues
0.89
Caen
0.67
Red Star is 0.54 points worse than Dunkerque in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.66).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
2.00
Metz
1.81
Paris FC
1.72
Guingamp
1.65
Rodez
1.58
Boulogne
1.50
Dunkerque
1.34
Laval
1.33
PAU
1.28
Grenoble
1.22
Bastia
1.22
Annecy
1.22
Amiens
1.14
Estac Troyes
1.14
Red Star
1.09
RED Star FC 93
1.09
Clermont Foot
0.95
Caen
0.94
Ajaccio
0.89
Martigues
0.81
Red Star is 0.25 goals worse than Dunkerque in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lorient
0.92
Paris FC
0.97
Estac Troyes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Bastia
1.03
Laval
1.08
Dunkerque
1.11
Annecy
1.19
Ajaccio
1.22
Grenoble
1.31
Clermont Foot
1.34
Guingamp
1.43
Amiens
1.44
Red Star
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
PAU
1.53
Rodez
1.58
Martigues
1.61
Caen
1.69
Boulogne
2.00
Red Star is 0.39 goals worse than Dunkerque in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Paris FC
61%
Metz
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Lorient
56%
Guingamp
55%
Caen
54%
RED Star FC 93
52%
Bastia
52%
Clermont Foot
51%
Boulogne
50%
PAU
49%
Ajaccio
46%
Grenoble
45%
Estac Troyes
45%
Amiens
44%
Martigues
44%
Laval
44%
Annecy
43%
Rodez
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 3.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dunkerque
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.9
3.5
3.6
3.3
26.0
27.4
24.7
vs Stronger (17)
10.8
11.1
10.4
3.6
3.6
3.6
24.7
26.6
23.0
vs Similar (33)
9.9
10.2
9.6
3.4
3.6
3.2
26.6
27.8
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
71%
54%
44%
42%
46%
80%
83%
77%
% under line
38%
29%
46%
56%
58%
54%
20%
17%
23%
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
10.0
7.5
3.4
3.7
3.2
25.3
23.8
26.8
vs Stronger (4)
10.7
12.0
8.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
18.7
16.0
24.0
vs Similar (38)
8.2
9.7
6.8
3.5
3.8
3.2
25.3
24.5
26.1
vs Weaker (8)
10.4
10.0
10.8
3.8
4.0
3.6
28.0
25.0
30.2
% over line
48%
64%
32%
52%
50%
54%
75%
64%
86%
% under line
52%
36%
68%
48%
50%
46%
25%
36%
14%
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.4
Grenoble
10.2
Red Star
10.2
Laval
10.0
RED Star FC 93
9.9
PAU
9.8
Clermont Foot
9.8
Lorient
9.8
Caen
9.7
Guingamp
9.6
Amiens
9.5
Metz
9.5
Martigues
9.5
Bastia
9.3
Annecy
9.3
Paris FC
8.9
Ajaccio
8.8
Dunkerque
8.8
Estac Troyes
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.4
PAU
4.3
Metz
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.1
Amiens
4.0
Annecy
4.0
Martigues
3.9
Paris FC
3.9
Ajaccio
3.9
Dunkerque
3.9
Lorient
3.9
Estac Troyes
3.9
Laval
3.9
Caen
3.9
Guingamp
3.7
Rodez
3.6
Red Star
3.5
Grenoble
3.4
RED Star FC 93
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Caen
27.4
Bastia
27.3
Laval
27.1
Annecy
27.1
Amiens
26.9
Guingamp
26.7
Ajaccio
26.6
Estac Troyes
26.4
Red Star
26.0
PAU
25.5
Martigues
25.5
Dunkerque
25.4
Clermont Foot
25.0
Paris FC
25.0
Metz
24.8
RED Star FC 93
24.7
Lorient
24.3
Grenoble
24.3
Rodez
23.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.5%
Under 9.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
57.1%
Under 3.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
85.1%
Under 21.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.91
0.20
0.80
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.53
0.80
0.70
0.56
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.27
0.58
0.25
0.44
0.28
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.30
0.50
0.25
0.47
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.53
0.67
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.00
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.17
vs Similar (19)
0.47
0.68
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dunkerque) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dunkerque
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
1.08
0.75
0.78
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
1.04
0.87
1.50
0.62
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dunkerque over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dunkerque
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Muhannad Al Saad27%
Naatan Skyttä24%
Yacine Bammou21%
Enzo Bardeli19%
Gaëtan Courtet16%
Vincent Sasso14%
Abdoullah Ba14%
Kay Tejan9%
Gessime Yassine9%
Opa Sangante8%
Marco Essimi6%
Maxence Rivera6%
Diogo Queirós5%
Ugo Raghouber3%
Anto Sekongo3%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Abner0%
Benjaloud Youssouf0%
Allan Linguet0%
Christian Junior Senneville0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Alec Georgen0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ugo Raghouber38%
Allan Linguet25%
Christian Junior Senneville20%
Abner19%
Gaëtan Courtet16%
Alec Georgen16%
Benjaloud Youssouf15%
Abdoullah Ba14%
Opa Sangante13%
Kay Tejan12%
Maxence Rivera12%
Nehemiah Fernandez12%
Yacine Bammou12%
Vincent Sasso11%
Diogo Queirós11%
Anto Sekongo10%
Naatan Skyttä9%
Gessime Yassine9%
Geoffrey Kondo8%
Muhannad Al Saad7%
Adrián Ortolá5%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Marco Essimi0%
Enzo Bardeli0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gaëtan Courtet16%
Benjaloud Youssouf15%
Naatan Skyttä15%
Abdoullah Ba14%
Enzo Bardeli14%
Kay Tejan12%
Yacine Bammou12%
Abner10%
Marco Essimi6%
Alec Georgen5%
Ugo Raghouber3%
Anto Sekongo3%
Maxence Rivera3%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Opa Sangante0%
Allan Linguet0%
Christian Junior Senneville0%
Vincent Sasso0%
Diogo Queirós0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Gessime Yassine0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Muhannad Al Saad0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yacine Bammou15%
Abdoullah Ba14%
Gaëtan Courtet8%
Anto Sekongo7%
Muhannad Al Saad7%
Maxence Rivera6%
Naatan Skyttä6%
Ugo Raghouber3%
Gessime Yassine3%
Vincent Sasso3%
Enzo Bardeli3%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Abner0%
Opa Sangante0%
Benjaloud Youssouf0%
Allan Linguet0%
Christian Junior Senneville0%
Diogo Queirós0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Alec Georgen0%
Kay Tejan0%
Marco Essimi0%
Nehemiah Fernandez0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Nachon Nsingi0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Dunkerque
Lorient
Paris FC
Metz
Annecy
Guingamp
Laval
Bastia
Estac Troyes
PAU
Grenoble
Amiens
Ajaccio
Rodez
RED Star FC 93
Clermont Foot
Martigues
Caen
Boulogne