This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.13
1.54
0.92
1.71
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
3.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
0.92
0.92
0.67
0.67
1.14
1.14
vs Weaker (15)
2.27
1.20
2.17
1.17
2.33
1.22
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.6%
Under 1.5
14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.9%
@ 2.12+21.3%
Under 2.5
35.1%
@ 1.64-21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.9%
Under 3.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.1%
No
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.8%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.7%
0-3
5.5%
Red Star goals ↓
Reims goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
6.6%
7.9%
5.5%
2.9%
1
3.4%
10%
9.7%
6.8%
3.6%
2
2.7%
5.7%
6.0%
4.2%
2.2%
3
1.1%
2.3%
2.4%
1.7%
0.9%
4
0.3%
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Red Star goals (down), columns = Reims goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Estac Troyes
2.03
Le Mans
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.75
Red Star
1.67
Rodez
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Reims
1.67
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Bastia
0.82
Amiens
0.75
Rouen
0.50
Red Star and Reims are level in average points per game (both 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Estac Troyes
1.78
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
Le Mans
1.39
Red Star
1.36
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Amiens
1.14
Clermont Foot
1.11
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Bastia
0.76
Rouen
0.50
Red Star is 0.19 goals worse than Reims in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Le Mans
0.86
Montpellier
0.92
Estac Troyes
0.94
Rouen
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
Red Star
1.12
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Bastia
1.26
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
PAU
1.81
Amiens
1.92
Red Star is 0.09 goals worse than Reims in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 1.03).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
Estac Troyes
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Bastia
50%
Le Mans
49%
Amiens
47%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Rouen
43%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
RS
Red Star
For 3.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.5 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Reims
For 4.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 6.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 10.5 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RS
Red Star
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.0
9.3
3.3
3.7
3.0
26.0
27.7
24.5
vs Stronger (16)
8.6
8.9
8.4
3.8
3.9
3.6
25.3
27.2
23.4
vs Similar (34)
9.4
9.1
9.7
3.1
3.6
2.7
26.4
27.9
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
50%
54%
42%
50%
35%
76%
79%
73%
% under line
48%
50%
46%
58%
50%
65%
24%
21%
27%
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.4
10.2
3.3
3.3
3.2
24.1
23.4
24.8
vs Stronger (8)
9.1
7.7
10.2
1.9
1.5
2.2
21.7
25.3
19.0
vs Similar (26)
10.1
9.7
10.5
3.5
4.0
3.1
24.3
22.7
26.0
vs Weaker (16)
8.0
6.2
9.6
3.6
3.2
3.8
25.1
23.8
26.1
% over line
43%
29%
57%
46%
41%
50%
73%
62%
83%
% under line
57%
71%
43%
54%
59%
50%
27%
38%
17%
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rodez
10.2
Laval
10.1
Montpellier
10.1
Grenoble
10.0
Amiens
10.0
PAU
9.8
Nancy
9.8
Clermont Foot
9.5
Bastia
9.4
Reims
9.4
Guingamp
9.3
Saint Etienne
9.2
RED Star FC 93
9.2
Red Star
9.2
Le Mans
8.9
Rouen
8.9
Annecy
8.7
Dunkerque
8.5
Estac Troyes
8.3
Boulogne
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bastia
5.7
Montpellier
4.8
PAU
4.8
Boulogne
4.4
Le Mans
4.4
Guingamp
4.3
Amiens
4.3
Annecy
4.3
Clermont Foot
4.2
Nancy
4.2
Dunkerque
4.1
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Laval
4.0
Estac Troyes
3.9
Grenoble
3.7
RED Star FC 93
3.5
Rouen
3.4
Red Star
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Annecy
29.0
Le Mans
28.9
Boulogne
28.4
Bastia
28.4
Nancy
28.4
Laval
27.8
Guingamp
27.7
Amiens
27.4
Montpellier
27.3
Rouen
27.2
Red Star
26.0
Dunkerque
26.0
Clermont Foot
25.7
Estac Troyes
25.6
PAU
25.5
Saint Etienne
25.4
Grenoble
25.4
RED Star FC 93
25.3
Rodez
24.4
Reims
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.7%
Under 3.5
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.6%
Under 21.5
9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.47
vs Stronger (10)
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.35
0.55
0.55
0.67
0.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.85
0.46
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.62
0.33
0.50
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.80
1.33
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
RS
Red Star
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.00
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.17
vs Similar (20)
0.75
0.35
0.73
0.36
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Reims) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Reims
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.37
0.69
0.46
1.00
0.29
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.31
0.33
0.17
0.71
0.43
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.40
0.83
0.67
1.33
0.22
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Red Star) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Red Star over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Red Star over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Reims over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Reims
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keito Nakamura31%
Mohamed Daramy28%
Hafiz Umar Ibrahim23%
Teddy Teuma22%
Norman Bassette15%
Ange Tia15%
Amine Salama13%
Antoine Leautey12%
Thiemoko Diarra11%
Adama Bojang11%
Mory Gbane10%
Yassine Benhattab8%
Zabi6%
Nicolas Pallois5%
Hiroki Sekine4%
Abdoul Kone4%
Theo Leoni3%
Sergio Akieme3%
Jordan Siebatcheu0%
Maxime Busi0%
Yohan Demoncy0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
John Patrick0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Yaya Fofana0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mory Gbane34%
Abdoul Kone32%
Alexandre Olliero25%
Norman Bassette23%
Nicolas Pallois21%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon21%
Sergio Akieme19%
Hafiz Umar Ibrahim18%
Yohan Demoncy17%
Zabi16%
John Patrick16%
Maxime Busi12%
Ange Tia12%
Teddy Teuma11%
Hiroki Sekine11%
Theo Leoni9%
Amine Salama7%
Keito Nakamura6%
Ewen Jaouen6%
Mohamed Daramy6%
Thiemoko Diarra4%
Adama Bojang4%
Jordan Siebatcheu0%
Antoine Leautey0%
Yassine Benhattab0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Teddy Teuma28%
Theo Leoni24%
Zabi16%
Sergio Akieme14%
Amine Salama13%
Antoine Leautey12%
Thiemoko Diarra11%
Yaya Fofana11%
Keito Nakamura9%
Yassine Benhattab8%
Hiroki Sekine7%
Ange Tia6%
Hafiz Umar Ibrahim5%
Maxime Busi4%
Adama Bojang4%
Abdoul Kone4%
Mohamed Daramy0%
Jordan Siebatcheu0%
Yohan Demoncy0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Nicolas Pallois0%
Mory Gbane0%
John Patrick0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Norman Bassette0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Keito Nakamura31%
Norman Bassette23%
Hafiz Umar Ibrahim23%
Antoine Leautey12%
Teddy Teuma11%
Theo Leoni9%
Yassine Benhattab8%
Adama Bojang7%
Zabi6%
Mohamed Daramy6%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon5%
Maxime Busi4%
Ange Tia3%
Sergio Akieme3%
Jordan Siebatcheu0%
Yohan Demoncy0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Nicolas Pallois0%
Mory Gbane0%
John Patrick0%
Samuel Kotto0%
Ewen Jaouen0%
Thiemoko Diarra0%
Amine Salama0%
Yaya Fofana0%
Hiroki Sekine0%
Abdoul Kone0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Reims
Estac Troyes
Le Mans
Saint Etienne
Rodez
Annecy
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
PAU
Dunkerque
Guingamp
Grenoble
Clermont Foot
Boulogne
Laval
Nancy
Bastia
Amiens
Rouen