This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lech Poznan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.83
1.53
0.60
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
0.70
2.20
0.40
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.90
1.20
0.70
1.30
1.10
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Resovia Rzeszów) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
86.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.6%
Under 2.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.9%
Under 3.5
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.8%
No
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.9%
0-3
12.4%
0-4
8.9%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
7.3%
1-1
5.8%
1-4
5.3%
Resovia Rzeszów goals ↓
Lech Poznan goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
8.4%
13%
12%
8.9%
1
1.3%
5.8%
7.6%
7.3%
5.3%
2
0.5%
1.6%
2.3%
2.2%
1.6%
3
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Resovia Rzeszów goals (down), columns = Lech Poznan goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Legia Warszawa
3.00
Ruch Chorzów
2.40
Olimpia Grudziądz
2.25
Pogon Szczecin
2.17
ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Lechia Zielona Góra
2.00
Hutnik Kraków
2.00
Polonia Warszawa
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Podbeskidzie
2.00
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
2.00
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Korona Kielce
1.75
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.75
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.60
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Kluczbork
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.50
Odra Opole
1.50
Radomiak Radom
1.50
ŁKS Łódź II
1.50
Widzew Łódź
1.33
Zaglebie Lubin
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.33
Lech Poznań II
1.33
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Raków Częstochowa
1.00
Barycz Sułów
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Wigry Suwałki
0.50
Avia Świdnik
0.50
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.50
Elana Toruń
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Star Starachowice
0.00
Wisła Puławy
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.00
Concordia Elbląg
0.00
Gornik Zabrze
0.00
Podbeskidzie II
0.00
Podhale Nowy Targ
0.00
Chrobry Głogów
0.00
Grom Nowy Staw
0.00
Nieciecza
0.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
0.00
Stomil Olsztyn
0.00
Jastrzębie
0.00
Unia Swarzędz
0.00
Znicz Pruszków
0.00
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Olimpia Elbląg
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Radunia Stężyca
0.00
Lech Poznan
0.00
SKRA Częstochowa
0.00
Resovia Rzeszów is 1.50 points better than Lech Poznan in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Legia Warszawa
3.40
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3.00
Hutnik Kraków
3.00
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.50
Odra Opole
2.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
2.50
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Pogon Szczecin
2.33
Jagiellonia
2.33
Wisła Puławy
2.00
Tychy 71
2.00
Zaglebie Lubin
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Lechia Zielona Góra
2.00
ŁKS Łódź II
2.00
Polonia Warszawa
2.00
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Olimpia Elbląg
2.00
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Ruch Chorzów
1.80
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.67
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Wigry Suwałki
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Avia Świdnik
1.50
Korona Kielce
1.25
ŁKS Łódź
1.00
Elana Toruń
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Kluczbork
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Star Starachowice
1.00
Unia Skierniewice
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
1.00
Nieciecza
1.00
Lech Poznań II
1.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Unia Swarzędz
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Podbeskidzie
1.00
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
1.00
Radunia Stężyca
1.00
SKRA Częstochowa
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.80
Warta Poznań
0.50
Radomiak Radom
0.50
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.50
Kalisz
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.00
Concordia Elbląg
0.00
Gornik Zabrze
0.00
Podbeskidzie II
0.00
Podhale Nowy Targ
0.00
Grom Nowy Staw
0.00
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Barycz Sułów
0.00
Stomil Olsztyn
0.00
Jastrzębie
0.00
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Lech Poznan
0.00
Resovia Rzeszów is 1.50 goals better than Lech Poznan in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Barycz Sułów
0.00
Podbeskidzie
0.00
Odra Opole
0.50
Slask Wroclaw
0.50
Sandecja Nowy Sącz
0.75
Legia Warszawa
1.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Kluczbork
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.00
Lechia Zielona Góra
1.00
Lech Poznań II
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Miedz Legnica
1.00
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.00
Korona Kielce
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Lech Poznan
1.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.20
Widzew Łódź
1.33
Zaglebie Lubin
1.33
Unia Skierniewice
1.33
Jagiellonia
1.33
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.33
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Radomiak Radom
1.50
Hutnik Kraków
1.50
Polonia Warszawa
1.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.75
Wigry Suwałki
2.00
Kalisz
2.00
Pogoń Siedlce
2.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2.00
Concordia Elbląg
2.00
Podhale Nowy Targ
2.00
Chrobry Głogów
2.00
Grom Nowy Staw
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
ŁKS Łódź II
2.00
Stomil Olsztyn
2.00
Jastrzębie
2.00
Unia Swarzędz
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Radunia Stężyca
2.00
SKRA Częstochowa
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.33
Avia Świdnik
2.50
Elana Toruń
3.00
Wisła Puławy
3.00
Znicz Pruszków
3.00
Stal Rzeszów
3.00
Star Starachowice
4.00
Tychy 71
4.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
4.00
Olimpia Elbląg
4.00
Podbeskidzie II
5.00
Resovia Rzeszów is 0.50 goals worse than Lech Poznan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Resovia Rzeszów or Draw✓ Hit
16.6%
Avg Implied -
4%
12%
83%
covers Resovia Rzeszów + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów or Lech Poznan✓ Hit
87.9%
Avg Implied -
4%
12%
83%
covers Resovia Rzeszów + Lech Poznan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Lech Poznan✗ Miss
95.5%
Avg Implied -
4%
12%
83%
covers Draw + Lech Poznan
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
44.7%
Under
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
12.0%
Under
88.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.3%
Under
99.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
94.4%
Under
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
32.8%
Under
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Resovia Rzeszów, so a minus line means Resovia Rzeszów give that many goals of a start and Lech Poznan receive them. At -1, Resovia Rzeszów must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Resovia Rzeszów win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lech Poznan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.60
0.20
0.67
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (20)
0.70
0.35
0.60
0.10
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
77% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Resovia Rzeszów) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Resovia Rzeszów
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.50
0.88
1.14
0.79
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
1.08
0.33
1.00
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (17)
0.94
0.65
0.60
0.80
1.43
0.43
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Lech Poznan) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lech Poznan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.93
0.40
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.20
1.60
0.00
0.00
0.40
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.55
0.60
0.60
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Resovia Rzeszów) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Resovia Rzeszów over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lech Poznan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away win
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lech Poznan
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mikael Ishak52%
Afonso Sousa33%
Patrik Wålemark24%
Ali Gholizadeh22%
Dino Hotić19%
Mario González17%
Filip Szymczak14%
Rasmus Carstensen13%
Filip Jagiełło8%
Kornel Lisman8%
Daniel Håkans5%
Joel Pereira3%
Antoni Kozubal3%
Antonio Milić0%
Bartosz Salamon0%
Radosław Murawski0%
Elias Andersson0%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua0%
Alex Douglas0%
Bryan Fiabema0%
Bartosz Mrozek0%
Maksymilian Pingot0%
Gisli Thordarson0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Wojciech Mońka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Radosław Murawski38%
Antonio Milić23%
Patrik Wålemark19%
Bartosz Salamon19%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua17%
Maksymilian Pingot14%
Afonso Sousa13%
Wojciech Mońka11%
Michal Gurgul10%
Joel Pereira10%
Ali Gholizadeh9%
Antoni Kozubal9%
Alex Douglas9%
Dino Hotić8%
Bryan Fiabema7%
Rasmus Carstensen7%
Daniel Håkans5%
Filip Jagiełło4%
Mikael Ishak3%
Elias Andersson0%
Mario González0%
Bartosz Mrozek0%
Filip Szymczak0%
Gisli Thordarson0%
Kornel Lisman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Håkans20%
Gisli Thordarson20%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua17%
Joel Pereira16%
Mikael Ishak16%
Ali Gholizadeh16%
Antoni Kozubal15%
Afonso Sousa13%
Wojciech Mońka11%
Patrik Wålemark10%
Filip Jagiełło8%
Antonio Milić7%
Rasmus Carstensen7%
Bartosz Salamon6%
Radosław Murawski4%
Dino Hotić4%
Bryan Fiabema4%
Elias Andersson0%
Mario González0%
Alex Douglas0%
Bartosz Mrozek0%
Filip Szymczak0%
Maksymilian Pingot0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Kornel Lisman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mikael Ishak42%
Patrik Wålemark29%
Afonso Sousa20%
Adriel D'Avila Ba Loua17%
Antonio Milić10%
Antoni Kozubal9%
Rasmus Carstensen7%
Daniel Håkans5%
Joel Pereira3%
Ali Gholizadeh3%
Bartosz Salamon0%
Radosław Murawski0%
Filip Jagiełło0%
Elias Andersson0%
Mario González0%
Alex Douglas0%
Dino Hotić0%
Bryan Fiabema0%
Bartosz Mrozek0%
Filip Szymczak0%
Maksymilian Pingot0%
Gisli Thordarson0%
Michal Gurgul0%
Kornel Lisman0%
Wojciech Mońka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Poland: Ekstraklasa 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: Ekstraklasa stats & trends →