This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.17
0.71
1.21
0.81
1.12
vs Stronger (18)
0.72
1.28
0.64
1.27
0.86
1.29
vs Similar (12)
0.83
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.25+5.8%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.62-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.9%
No
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
0-1
6.2%
1-2 ✓
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
Rodez goals ↓
Chateauroux goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
6.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.7%
1.9%
0.4%
2
9.8%
9.5%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
3
5.3%
5.1%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.1%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rodez goals (down), columns = Chateauroux goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
1.93
Lens
1.89
Ajaccio
1.86
Estac Troyes
1.82
Clermont Foot
1.79
Le Havre
1.57
Valenciennes
1.50
Guingamp
1.39
Grenoble
1.25
Chambly
1.25
Auxerre
1.21
Caen
1.21
Nancy
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Chateauroux
1.21
Rodez
1.14
Paris FC
1.00
Le Mans
0.93
Niort
0.93
Orleans
0.68
Rodez is 0.07 points worse than Chateauroux in terms of average points per game (1.14 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
1.61
Guingamp
1.43
Lens
1.39
Le Havre
1.36
Ajaccio
1.36
Clermont Foot
1.25
Estac Troyes
1.21
Caen
1.18
Auxerre
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Le Mans
1.07
Niort
1.07
Sochaux
1.00
Grenoble
0.96
Nancy
0.96
Chambly
0.93
Valenciennes
0.86
Paris FC
0.79
Chateauroux
0.79
Orleans
0.75
Rodez is 0.32 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Valenciennes
0.71
Ajaccio
0.79
Lens
0.86
Le Havre
0.89
Clermont Foot
0.89
Estac Troyes
0.89
Lorient
0.89
Nancy
0.93
Grenoble
1.04
Auxerre
1.07
Sochaux
1.07
Chambly
1.14
Guingamp
1.18
Caen
1.21
Rodez
1.21
Chateauroux
1.36
Paris FC
1.43
Niort
1.46
Orleans
1.54
Le Mans
1.61
Rodez is 0.14 goals better than Chateauroux in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.36).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rodez
For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
For 5.0 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rodez
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
9.2
8.4
9.9
4.4
5.3
3.6
27.2
27.6
26.8
vs Stronger (5)
10.2
9.2
14.0
4.8
5.2
3.0
28.6
30.0
23.0
vs Similar (12)
8.8
7.8
9.6
4.6
5.4
4.0
26.8
25.6
27.7
vs Weaker (2)
9.0
-
9.0
2.5
-
2.5
25.5
-
25.5
% over line
42%
22%
60%
63%
78%
50%
89%
89%
90%
% under line
58%
78%
40%
37%
22%
50%
11%
11%
10%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.8
8.6
4.0
4.1
3.9
25.8
24.7
27.0
vs Stronger (28)
9.9
10.6
9.0
4.2
4.0
4.6
25.8
24.9
26.9
vs Similar (22)
9.5
11.1
8.3
3.7
4.3
3.2
26.0
24.4
27.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
68%
44%
54%
64%
44%
84%
76%
92%
% under line
44%
32%
56%
46%
36%
56%
16%
24%
8%
This opponent (Rodez) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
10.3
Estac Troyes
9.7
Chateauroux
9.7
Lens
9.5
Guingamp
9.4
Auxerre
9.4
Grenoble
9.3
Orleans
9.3
Niort
9.2
Rodez
9.2
Nancy
9.2
Sochaux
9.2
Caen
9.0
Lorient
9.0
Valenciennes
9.0
Ajaccio
8.9
Clermont Foot
8.8
Paris FC
8.3
Le Mans
7.9
Chambly
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lens
4.8
Lorient
4.6
Chambly
4.5
Nancy
4.4
Rodez
4.4
Valenciennes
4.4
Le Havre
4.4
Sochaux
4.4
Estac Troyes
4.4
Caen
4.2
Paris FC
4.2
Le Mans
4.1
Niort
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Chateauroux
4.0
Ajaccio
4.0
Guingamp
3.8
Orleans
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Auxerre
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
31.3
Caen
29.3
Paris FC
29.2
Nancy
29.1
Lens
28.7
Ajaccio
28.2
Estac Troyes
28.1
Sochaux
28.1
Grenoble
27.7
Chambly
27.4
Lorient
27.2
Rodez
27.2
Valenciennes
26.9
Orleans
26.5
Niort
26.5
Le Havre
26.3
Guingamp
26.0
Chateauroux
25.8
Auxerre
25.3
Clermont Foot
24.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.6%
Under 9.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.4%
Under 3.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rodez
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
0.42
1.00
0.44
0.20
0.40
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.40
1.25
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.40
0.29
0.57
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.47
0.21
0.57
0.19
0.38
vs Stronger (18)
0.22
0.50
0.27
0.45
0.14
0.57
vs Similar (12)
0.17
0.42
0.00
1.00
0.22
0.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rodez over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rodez
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.95
0.89
0.89
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.25
0.75
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.92
1.40
1.00
0.29
0.86
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
32% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.50
0.64
0.62
0.75
vs Stronger (18)
0.50
0.78
0.36
0.82
0.71
0.71
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.00
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rodez) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rodez over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rodez over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Rodez · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ibrahima Baldé75%
Octave Joly50%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Loni Laurent0%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Mathis Magnin0%
Raphaël Lipinski0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Jordan Mendes Correia0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Loni Laurent25%
Mathis Magnin25%
Ibrahima Baldé25%
Raphaël Lipinski25%
Jordan Mendes Correia25%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert25%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphaël Lipinski50%
Kenny Nagera25%
Mathis Magnin25%
Jordan Mendes Correia25%
Loni Laurent0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Ibrahima Baldé0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Mathis Touho0%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ibrahima Baldé50%
Mathis Touho50%
Corentin Issanchou Roubiou25%
Loni Laurent0%
Kenny Nagera0%
Lucas Margueron0%
Damjan Pavlović0%
Mathis Magnin0%
Raphaël Lipinski0%
Octave Joly0%
Antonin Cartillier0%
Jordan Mendes Correia0%
Steven Luyambula Biwa0%
Evan’s Jean-Lambert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
LH (25)
€55m
ET (23)
€36m
LM (26)
€24m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
SOC (20)
€7m
CAE (18)
€4m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Rodez's squad is €14m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€15m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
LM (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CHA (1)
€0m
Rodez's attack is €4m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€4m vs €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
ET (6)
€11m
LM (8)
€5m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Rodez's midfield is €4m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€4m vs €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
CF (12)
€10m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Rodez's defence is €7m more valuable than Chateauroux's (€7m vs €0m).
France: Ligue 2 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lorient
Lens
Ajaccio
Estac Troyes
Clermont Foot
Le Havre
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