This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.77
1.27
1.33
1.20
2.20
vs Stronger (12)
1.17
1.92
1.33
1.50
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.67
1.22
1.22
1.33
2.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
Under 2.5
42.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2 ✓
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
0-2
5.7%
Rouen goals ↓
Valenciennes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
6.5%
5.7%
2.8%
1.1%
1
6.4%
12%
8.4%
4.2%
1.6%
2
5.6%
8.4%
6.3%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.8%
4.1%
3.1%
1.5%
0.6%
4
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rouen goals (down), columns = Valenciennes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Reims
2.32
Nimes
1.92
Le Havre
1.74
Stade Brestois 29
1.71
Clermont Foot
1.66
Lorient
1.63
Paris FC
1.61
Chateauroux
1.58
Ajaccio
1.43
Sochaux
1.39
Auxerre
1.24
Orleans
1.21
Valenciennes
1.18
Lens
1.13
Niort
1.11
Nancy
1.00
Bourg Peronnas
0.95
Rouen
0.87
Tours
0.61
Rouen is 0.32 points worse than Valenciennes in terms of average points per game (0.87 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nimes
1.97
Reims
1.95
Lorient
1.61
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Clermont Foot
1.42
Le Havre
1.39
Orleans
1.37
Auxerre
1.34
Sochaux
1.34
Bourg Peronnas
1.32
Valenciennes
1.32
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.28
Lens
1.26
Niort
1.24
Paris FC
1.21
Rouen
1.18
Nancy
1.03
Tours
0.89
Rouen is 0.13 goals worse than Valenciennes in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Reims
0.63
Le Havre
0.89
Paris FC
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.95
Nimes
0.97
Stade Brestois 29
1.13
Lorient
1.21
Lens
1.29
Chateauroux
1.32
Ajaccio
1.36
Nancy
1.42
Auxerre
1.45
Niort
1.58
Orleans
1.61
Sochaux
1.63
Valenciennes
1.68
Rouen
1.74
Tours
1.79
Bourg Peronnas
2.29
Rouen is 0.05 goals worse than Valenciennes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.68).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Rouen
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Valenciennes
For 4.0 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rouen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (35)
10.7
11.2
10.2
4.4
4.4
4.4
-
-
-
vs Stronger (14)
11.0
11.6
10.4
4.7
4.3
5.1
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
10.5
11.0
10.0
4.1
4.4
3.9
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
69%
71%
67%
66%
76%
56%
-
-
-
% under line
31%
29%
33%
34%
24%
44%
-
-
-
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.1
2.7
2.8
2.6
-
-
-
vs Stronger (18)
10.8
9.2
12.1
3.2
3.0
3.4
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
9.1
9.5
8.7
2.5
2.8
2.2
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
46%
39%
53%
34%
31%
38%
-
-
-
% under line
54%
61%
47%
66%
69%
62%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
11.1
Chateauroux
11.1
Reims
10.7
Rouen
10.7
Stade Brestois 29
10.5
Clermont Foot
10.1
Niort
10.1
Lorient
10.1
Sochaux
10.1
Auxerre
9.8
Valenciennes
9.7
Lens
9.6
Nimes
9.3
Orleans
9.3
Tours
9.1
Nancy
9.0
Paris FC
8.9
Bourg Peronnas
8.9
Ajaccio
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nimes
5.4
Orleans
4.5
Niort
4.4
Rouen
4.4
Paris FC
4.3
Ajaccio
4.1
Nancy
4.1
Stade Brestois 29
4.0
Lens
4.0
Tours
4.0
Valenciennes
3.9
Lorient
3.9
Bourg Peronnas
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Reims
3.7
Sochaux
3.7
Auxerre
3.6
Le Havre
3.5
Chateauroux
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reims
28.3
Nancy
25.5
Lorient
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.1%
Under 9.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.4%
Under 3.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rouen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.36
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.67
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.83
0.25
0.38
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
0.58
0.83
0.17
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.72
0.56
0.44
0.44
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rouen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.00
0.79
1.21
1.06
0.81
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.33
0.67
1.83
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.78
0.88
0.75
1.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Valenciennes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Valenciennes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.10
0.60
1.00
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.33
0.50
1.33
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.94
0.67
0.78
0.89
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Rouen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rouen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rouen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valenciennes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Valenciennes · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aymen Boutoutaou15%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Andrew Jung8%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ilyes Hamache7%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde7%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga6%
Anthony Knockaert5%
Joffrey Cuffaut5%
David Kruse5%
Allan Linguet4%
Lucas Woudenberg3%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sacha Banse0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gabin Blancquart40%
Tanguy Lienard33%
Halid Šabanović25%
Anthony Knockaert24%
Sacha Banse23%
Allan Linguet22%
Julien Masson21%
Andrew Jung20%
Tidyane Diagouraga20%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga19%
Jordan Poha17%
Joachim Kayi Sanda15%
Ugo Bonnet14%
Sofiane Boudraa14%
Souleymane Basse14%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde13%
Manga Foe Ondoa13%
Jean Eric Moursou12%
Taylor Moore12%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Joffrey Cuffaut10%
David Kruse9%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Jean Louchet6%
Lucas Woudenberg6%
Nick Venema4%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Makabi Lilepo0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Sory Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Venema13%
Giovino Flamarion11%
Bruno Costa10%
Anthony Knockaert10%
Andrew Jung8%
Sacha Banse8%
Allan Linguet7%
Makabi Lilepo7%
Ugo Bonnet7%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
Aymen Boutoutaou4%
Ilyes Hamache4%
Marius Noubissi0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Siriné Doucouré0%
David Kruse0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aymen Boutoutaou27%
Makabi Lilepo19%
Nick Venema17%
Andrew Jung12%
Siriné Doucouré8%
Manga Foe Ondoa7%
David Kruse5%
Sacha Banse4%
Bruno Costa0%
Marius Noubissi0%
Anthony Knockaert0%
Taylor Moore0%
Jason Berthomier0%
Joffrey Cuffaut0%
Allan Linguet0%
Julien Masson0%
Jean Louchet0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Giovino Flamarion0%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Jonathan Buatu-Mananga0%
Halid Šabanović0%
Mathias Oyewusi Kehinde0%
Jordan Poha0%
Jean Eric Moursou0%
Ilyes Hamache0%
Lassana Diabaté0%
Sofiane Boudraa0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Tidyane Diagouraga0%
Yacine El Amri0%
Joachim Kayi Sanda0%
Tanguy Lienard0%
Souleymane Basse0%
Sory Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
ROU (14)
€3m
BP (8)
€1m
CHA (5)
€1m
Rouen's squad is €1m less valuable than Valenciennes's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
LH (10)
€9m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (5)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
BP (2)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Rouen and Valenciennes have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
REI (6)
€13m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
ROU (3)
€0m
BP (0)
€0m
Rouen and Valenciennes have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
CF (12)
€10m
NAN (11)
€6m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
ROU (6)
€1m
BP (6)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Rouen and Valenciennes have a similar defence value (both €1m).
France: Ligue 2 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
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Ajaccio
Reims
Nimes
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Clermont Foot
Lorient
Paris FC
Chateauroux
Sochaux
Auxerre
Orleans
Lens
Niort
Nancy
Bourg Peronnas
Tours