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Rudar vs Bilje Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 5-0
Rudar
Rudar
Vs
52%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Rudar are tipped to lift the trophy at home, with the model picking a home win and giving the side a 52% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 23% chance of a Bilje victory. The match is expected to see about three goals, with the most probable total of two goals, though the model’s favourite scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 11.9%. Rudar’s home form shows they average 1.11 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similar opposition, while Bilje’s away record against comparable teams is 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded. The model’s single selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 80.7% probability and the pick has already hit. In recent weeks Rudar have won their last match 4-1 over Bilje, while Bilje returned from two straight defeats to lose 4-1 at home. The predicted outcome, the expected goal total and the single most likely scoreline together paint a clear picture of a tight, high-scoring encounter.

Results analysis

The model’s prediction proved spot on as Rudar, buoyed by a win that extended their recent run, edged Bilje 5-0 to secure a home victory. The favourite, Home win, was chosen with a 52% probability and the outcome matched the forecast. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5, hit with an 80.7% chance. Rudar’s dominant display, far exceeding the expected 3-goal total and the most likely 2-goal scoreline, left the prediction model’s selections largely correct. Bilje’s form, after two straight defeats, could not stem the home side’s attack, confirming the model’s confidence in a decisive Rudar win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rudar win✓ Hit
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bilje win✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D00D01L21W11D20W21W51W00D11DA·ILI27/09H·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.301.001.201.471.40
vs Stronger (8)0.882.250.801.601.003.33
vs Similar (21)1.380.951.111.001.580.92
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1021W00D11D00D14L11D01L03L110L01LA·JES28/09H·DEK04/10A·TAB10/10H·BIS18/10A·NAF26/10H·ILI05/11H·BEL08/11A·BRI14/11A·TRI21/11H·SLO28/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.800.810.941.142.79
vs Stronger (11)1.003.181.331.330.883.88
vs Similar (18)0.891.000.690.851.401.40
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
Under 2.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Rudar goals ↓
Bilje goals →
01234
06.2%4.9%3.5%1.3%0.4%
18.2%12%6.2%2.4%0.7%
28.4%9.8%5.6%2.2%0.6%
35.1%5.9%3.4%1.3%0.4%
42.3%2.7%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudar goals (down), columns = Bilje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Rudar is 0.10 points better than Bilje in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.13).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Rudar is 0.63 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.90).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Rudar is 0.27 goals better than Bilje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.57).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D00D21W00D20W20W31W00D00DA·ILI27/09H·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.470.730.930.40
vs Stronger (8)0.381.250.401.200.331.33
vs Similar (21)0.860.330.560.561.080.17
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D00D02L01L01L02L04L01LA·JES28/09H·DEK04/10A·TAB10/10H·BIS18/10A·NAF26/10H·ILI05/11H·BEL08/11A·BRI14/11A·TRI21/11H·SLO28/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.970.250.690.431.29
vs Stronger (11)0.361.640.330.670.382.00
vs Similar (18)0.280.610.230.690.400.40
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L00D11D00D01L20W00D11DA·ILI27/09H·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.530.470.531.00
vs Stronger (8)0.501.000.400.400.672.00
vs Similar (21)0.520.620.560.440.500.75
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D00D11D00D12L10W00D01L16L00DA·JES28/09H·DEK04/10A·TAB10/10H·BIS18/10A·NAF26/10H·ILI05/11H·BEL08/11A·BRI14/11A·TRI21/11H·SLO28/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.560.250.711.50
vs Stronger (11)0.641.551.000.670.501.88
vs Similar (18)0.610.390.460.151.001.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Rudar and Bilje have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Rudar and Bilje have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Rudar and Bilje have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Rudar and Bilje have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
RUD wins
2
Draws
3
BIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rudar vs Bilje · H/A from RUD
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25ABilje Vs RUD2-1
19/04/25ABilje Vs RUD0-1
04/10/24HRUD Vs Bilje1-0
12/04/24HRUD Vs Bilje1-2
25/09/23ABilje Vs RUD2-2
25/03/23HRUD Vs Bilje0-0
09/09/22ABilje Vs RUD4-3

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/26ANafta Vs RUD1-1
21/11/25HRUD Vs Bistrica0-0
16/11/25HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
09/11/25ADekani Vs RUD1-2
04/11/25AKrško Vs RUD0-2
31/10/25HRUD Vs Jesenice1-1
18/10/25HRUD Vs Gorica2-1
11/10/25ADravinja Vs RUD1-0
05/10/25HRUD Vs Krka0-0
27/09/25AIlirija Vs RUD2-2

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26HBIL Vs Slovan Ljubljana0-1
21/11/25ATriglav Vs BIL10-1
14/11/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL3-0
08/11/25HBIL Vs Beltinci0-1
05/11/25HBIL Vs Ilirija1-1
26/10/25ANafta Vs BIL4-1
18/10/25HBIL Vs Bistrica0-0
10/10/25ATabor Sežana Vs BIL1-1
04/10/25HBIL Vs Dekani0-0
28/09/25AJesenice Vs BIL1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.14
HomeDWDWD1.16
AwayDLWWD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.482.362.60
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored1.040.961.12
Conceded1.441.401.48
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.14
HomeDDDLL1.50
AwayWDLLL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%17%
AVG goals2.541.923.21
Over 1.5 %64%58%71%
Over 2.5 %42%35%50%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.480.852.17
BTTS40%27%54%
Clean Sheet30%50%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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