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Rudar vs Ilirija Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 17:00
Final 0-0
Rudar
Rudar
Vs
53%
25%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ilirija
Ilirija
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rudar win✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ilirija win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W21W51W00D11D50W12L23L02L40WA·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03A·BEL15/03H·BRI21/03A·TRI27/03H·SLO03/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.201.471.131.531.27
vs Stronger (8)0.882.250.802.201.002.33
vs Similar (21)1.760.811.890.561.671.00
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D13L10W23L20W11D22D23L12LA·BIL05/11H·GOR09/11A·BEL15/11H·KRŠ22/11A·BRI28/02H·JES06/03A·TRI14/03H·DEK20/03H·TAB03/04A·SLO08/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.001.272.071.271.93
vs Stronger (9)0.892.440.502.501.202.40
vs Similar (19)1.322.001.502.101.111.89
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.000.003.000.00
Clean sheet %10% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.1%
Under 2.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 3.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.7%
No
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
0-0 ✓
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
Rudar goals ↓
Ilirija goals →
01234
05.9%4.6%3.2%1.2%0.4%
18.1%12%6.0%2.3%0.7%
28.6%9.8%5.6%2.1%0.6%
35.3%6.1%3.5%1.3%0.4%
42.5%2.9%1.6%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudar goals (down), columns = Ilirija goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Rudar is 0.33 points better than Ilirija in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 0.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Rudar is 0.27 goals better than Ilirija in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Rudar is 0.43 goals better than Ilirija in terms of goals conceded per game (1.30 vs 1.73).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W20W31W00D00D30W10W21W00D00DA·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03A·BEL15/03H·BRI21/03A·TRI27/03H·SLO03/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.470.730.671.000.27
vs Stronger (8)0.621.120.801.400.330.67
vs Similar (21)1.000.240.780.331.170.17
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W03L00D11D10W10W01L20W02LA·BIL05/11H·GOR09/11A·BEL15/11H·KRŠ22/11A·BRI28/02H·JES06/03A·TRI14/03H·DEK20/03H·TAB03/04A·SLO08/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.930.400.800.601.07
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.500.750.401.20
vs Similar (19)0.471.000.300.900.671.11
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L20W00D11D20W02L02L02L40WA·KRŠ04/11A·DEK09/11H·TAB16/11H·BIS21/11A·NAF27/02H·BIL07/03A·BEL15/03H·BRI21/03A·TRI27/03H·SLO03/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.730.470.531.00
vs Stronger (8)0.251.120.000.800.671.67
vs Similar (21)0.760.571.110.220.500.83
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ilirija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IlirijaIlirija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W10W12L10W01L21W03L10WA·BIL05/11H·GOR09/11A·BEL15/11H·KRŠ22/11A·BRI28/02H·JES06/03A·TRI14/03H·DEK20/03H·TAB03/04A·SLO08/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.070.871.270.670.87
vs Stronger (9)0.441.440.001.750.801.20
vs Similar (19)0.841.001.201.200.440.78
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ilirija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Rudar and Ilirija have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Rudar and Ilirija have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Rudar and Ilirija have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Rudar and Ilirija have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
3
RUD wins
2
Draws
2
ILI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Rudar vs Ilirija · H/A from RUD
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/25AIlirija Vs RUD2-2
24/05/25AIlirija Vs RUD1-2
17/11/24HRUD Vs Ilirija0-0
12/11/23HRUD Vs Ilirija2-1
30/08/23AIlirija Vs RUD0-2
20/05/23HRUD Vs Ilirija1-3
06/11/22AIlirija Vs RUD3-1

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/04/26HRUD Vs Slovan Ljubljana4-0
27/03/26ATriglav Vs RUD2-0
21/03/26HRUD Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-3
15/03/26ABeltinci Vs RUD2-1
07/03/26HRUD Vs Bilje5-0
27/02/26ANafta Vs RUD1-1
21/11/25HRUD Vs Bistrica0-0
16/11/25HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana5-1
09/11/25ADekani Vs RUD1-2
04/11/25AKrško Vs RUD0-2

IlirijaIlirija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/04/26ASlovan Ljubljana Vs ILI2-1
03/04/26HILI Vs Tabor Sežana2-3
20/03/26HILI Vs Dekani2-2
14/03/26ATriglav Vs ILI1-1
06/03/26HILI Vs Jesenice2-0
28/02/26ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs ILI3-2
22/11/25HILI Vs Krško1-0
15/11/25ABeltinci Vs ILI3-1
09/11/25HILI Vs Gorica1-1
05/11/25ABilje Vs ILI1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.16
HomeWDWLW1.28
AwayWWDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.522.482.56
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.201.361.04
Conceded1.321.121.52
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners---
Cards---
Ilirija
Ilirija
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL0.82
HomeDWWDL0.84
AwayDLLDL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%16%16%
AVG goals2.802.882.72
Over 1.5 %78%80%76%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.061.041.08
Conceded1.741.841.64
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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