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Rudes vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 22/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 1-1
Rudes
Rudes
Vs
48%
30%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rudes win✗ Miss
48.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

RudesRudes

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W01L10W12L10W01L01L22D21WA·JAR14/08H·BSK20/08A·HNK27/08H·DUG03/09A·CRO11/09H·KUS18/09A·HRV24/09A·SOL02/10H·VUK08/10A·ORI15/10
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.001.500.751.001.17
vs Stronger (1)2.002.002.002.00--
vs Similar (8)1.121.001.500.501.001.17
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D22D41W01L11D02L11D21W01L10WH·VUK13/08A·ORI20/08H·SOL27/08H·JAR03/09A·BSK10/09H·HNK18/09A·DUG24/09H·CRO01/10A·KUS07/10H·HRV15/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.001.170.831.001.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (8)1.381.121.401.001.331.33
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.9%
Under 1.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.0%
Under 2.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.0%
Under 3.5
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.5%
No
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
11.8%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
Rudes goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
012%7.8%3.9%1.1%0.2%
113%14%5.4%1.6%0.3%
210%8.7%3.8%1.1%0.2%
34.7%4.0%1.7%0.5%0.1%
41.6%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Rudes goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
Rudes is 0.58 points better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
Rudes is 0.45 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.61 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
Rudes is 0.36 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (0.82 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

RudesRudes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L00D12L10W00D00D02L01LA·JAR14/08H·BSK20/08A·HNK27/08H·DUG03/09A·CRO11/09H·KUS18/09A·HRV24/09A·SOL02/10H·VUK08/10A·ORI15/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.250.750.500.83
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (8)0.380.750.000.500.500.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L10W01L00D02L00D00D00D10WH·VUK13/08A·ORI20/08H·SOL27/08H·JAR03/09A·BSK10/09H·HNK18/09A·DUG24/09H·CRO01/10A·KUS07/10H·HRV15/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.500.330.500.250.50
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (8)0.380.620.400.600.330.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

RudesRudes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W00D00D01L01L20W20WA·JAR14/08H·BSK20/08A·HNK27/08H·DUG03/09A·CRO11/09H·KUS18/09A·HRV24/09A·SOL02/10H·VUK08/10A·ORI15/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.201.250.000.500.33
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (8)0.750.251.500.000.500.33
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W31W00D11D00D11D21W01L00DH·VUK13/08A·ORI20/08H·SOL27/08H·JAR03/09A·BSK10/09H·HNK18/09A·DUG24/09H·CRO01/10A·KUS07/10H·HRV15/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.500.830.330.750.75
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (8)1.000.501.000.401.000.67
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.0%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rudes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan Vukić33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan Đorić25%
Lenny Ilečić20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Ante Sušak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego Živulić33%
Stefan Vukić33%
Ante Sušak25%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip Pejić0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny Ilečić40%
Josip Pejić33%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante Sušak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante Sušak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Rudes's squad is €3m more valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€5m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Rudes's attack is €2m more valuable than Dubrava Zagreb's (€3m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Rudes and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Rudes and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
RUD wins
0
Draws
0
DZ wins

Head-to-head

Rudes vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from RUD
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

RudesRudes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22AOrijent 1919 Vs RUD1-2
08/10/22HRUD Vs Vukovar2-2
02/10/22ASolin Vs RUD1-0
24/09/22AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs RUD1-0
18/09/22HRUD Vs Kustosija1-0
11/09/22ACroatia Zmijavci Vs RUD2-1
03/09/22HRUD Vs Dugopolje1-0
27/08/22AHNK Cibalia Vs RUD1-0
20/08/22HRUD Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-1
14/08/22AJarun Vs RUD1-3

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22HDZ Vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac1-0
07/10/22AKustosija Vs DZ1-0
01/10/22HDZ Vs Croatia Zmijavci2-1
24/09/22ADugopolje Vs DZ1-1
18/09/22HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia0-2
10/09/22ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs DZ1-1
03/09/22HDZ Vs Jarun0-1
27/08/22HDZ Vs Solin4-1
20/08/22AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ2-2
13/08/22HDZ Vs Vukovar0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDW1.60
HomeWWWD2.50
AwayLLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%75%33%
AVG goals2.202.252.17
Over 1.5 %50%50%50%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %20%25%17%
Scored1.201.501.00
Conceded1.000.751.17
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet20%50%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.30
HomeWLLWW1.67
AwayDDDL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%50%0%
AVG goals2.102.002.25
Over 1.5 %60%50%75%
Over 2.5 %30%33%25%
Over 3.5 %20%17%25%
Scored1.101.171.00
Conceded1.000.831.25
BTTS50%33%75%
Clean Sheet20%33%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3363
52%
1.9
5725+32
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2RudesRudes3361
55%
1.8
5327+26
2.4
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.60.8
-
3HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3354
39%
1.6
3726+11
1.9
58%
30%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.8
-
4Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3344
36%
1.3
4137+4
2.4
67%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
5JarunJarun3344
39%
1.3
4357-14
3.0
73%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193343
30%
1.3
4545+0
2.7
73%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
7Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3343
36%
1.3
3744-7
2.5
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
8SolinSolin3343
36%
1.3
4755-8
3.1
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
9Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3342
33%
1.3
3839-1
2.3
67%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.2
-
10DugopoljeDugopolje3341
27%
1.2
3035-5
2.0
70%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.1
-
11KustosijaKustosija3537
29%
1.1
3752-15
2.5
69%
46%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
12Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac3325
15%
0.8
3356-23
2.7
76%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
14Inter ZaprešićInter Zaprešić00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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