Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
āļø 7. Handicap
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Rudes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.87
0.40
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.00
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.30
0.75
0.25
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
-
-
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.43
0.40
0.33
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
0.38
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.62
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.47
0.60
0.50
0.57
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Rudes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.67
1.20
0.60
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.80
0.00
1.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.26
0.43
1.50
0.33
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.93
0.67
0.40
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.85
0.80
0.40
0.12
1.12
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.82
1.00
0.80
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 1.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
Rudes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vanja Å are25%
Duje KoraÄ14%
Riad MaŔala14%
Tomislav MrÄela13%
Fran KaraÄiÄ11%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ11%
Fran TopiÄ11%
Jan Doležal8%
Andrej Lazarov8%
Ante ÄoriÄ8%
Ivan TomeÄak6%
Vinko PetkoviÄ5%
Luka PasariÄek3%
Edin Å ehiÄ0%
Eros Grezda0%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ0%
Matko BabiÄ0%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Ivor LjubanoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Robin Simovic0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Matej MarkoviÄ0%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ0%
Miguel Campos0%
Brian Oddei0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Karlo Kralj0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ0%
Vilim KruŔlin0%
Vigo VujaniÄ0%
Marin Kuzmanic0%
Lukas MagÄinski0%
Sabur Ali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edin Å ehiÄ36%
Fran KaraÄiÄ33%
Matko BabiÄ33%
Miguel Campos33%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ30%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ25%
Andrej Lazarov25%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ23%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ21%
Mateo PavloviÄ21%
Tomislav MrÄela20%
Marin Kuzmanic20%
Jan Doležal17%
Ivor LjubanoviÄ17%
Vinko PetkoviÄ15%
Mislav MatiÄ14%
Lukas MagÄinski14%
Riad MaŔala14%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ13%
Vilim KruŔlin13%
Karlo Kralj12%
Fran TopiÄ11%
Luka PasariÄek10%
Ante ÄoriÄ8%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ7%
Aboubacar Camara5%
Matej MarkoviÄ4%
Eros Grezda0%
Ivan TomeÄak0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Robin Simovic0%
Brian Oddei0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Vanja Å are0%
Vigo VujaniÄ0%
Duje KoraÄ0%
Sabur Ali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vanja Å are25%
Fran KaraÄiÄ22%
Vigo VujaniÄ20%
Ante ÄoriÄ15%
Vilim KruŔlin13%
Jan Doležal8%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ7%
Tomislav MrÄela7%
Ivan TomeÄak6%
Fran TopiÄ5%
Riad MaŔala5%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ4%
Edin Å ehiÄ0%
Eros Grezda0%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ0%
Matko BabiÄ0%
Luka PasariÄek0%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Ivor LjubanoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Robin Simovic0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Matej MarkoviÄ0%
Vinko PetkoviÄ0%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ0%
Miguel Campos0%
Brian Oddei0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Karlo Kralj0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Marin Kuzmanic0%
Lukas MagÄinski0%
Duje KoraÄ0%
Sabur Ali0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivor LjubanoviÄ17%
Fran KaraÄiÄ11%
Vinko PetkoviÄ10%
KreÅ”imir KovaÄeviÄ8%
Andrej Lazarov8%
Ante ÄoriÄ8%
Ivan PeÅ”iÄ7%
Luka PasariÄek7%
Aleksa LatkoviÄ4%
Edin Å ehiÄ0%
Eros Grezda0%
Tomislav MrÄela0%
Ivan TomeÄak0%
Matko BabiÄ0%
Jan Doležal0%
Jakov BaÅ”iÄ0%
Dominik ReŔetar0%
Mario MariÄ0%
Tomislav SrbljinoviÄ0%
Luka PavkoviÄ0%
Stjepan Plazonja0%
Mateo PavloviÄ0%
Robin Simovic0%
Mislav MatiÄ0%
Matej MarkoviÄ0%
Miguel Campos0%
Brian Oddei0%
Aboubacar Camara0%
Karlo Kralj0%
Dominik Pavlek0%
Roko BrajkoviÄ0%
Fran TopiÄ0%
Mihael StipiÄ0%
Karlo Å peljak0%
Vanja Å are0%
Vanja VukmanoviÄ0%
Riad MaŔala0%
Vilim KruŔlin0%
Vigo VujaniÄ0%
Marin Kuzmanic0%
Lukas MagÄinski0%
Duje KoraÄ0%
Sabur Ali0%
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tim Matavž21%
Nikola VujnoviÄ15%
Gabrijel Rukavina13%
Ante Matej JuriÄ13%
Josip MitroviÄ13%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ12%
Sven Blummel11%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Marko Soldo9%
Dino Å tiglec6%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ0%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Merveil Ndockyt0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mario MatkoviÄ38%
Andrej Lazarov33%
Ante Matej JuriÄ30%
Merveil Ndockyt25%
Jurica PrŔir24%
Marko Soldo21%
Filip Mrzljak17%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ17%
Alexander Munksgaard15%
Mateo LeŔ13%
Sven Blummel11%
Josip MitroviÄ10%
Ivan BaniÄ6%
Mario MaloÄa6%
Dino Å tiglec6%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Nikola VujnoviÄ4%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Tim Matavž0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dino Å tiglec18%
Ante Matej JuriÄ13%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ11%
Josip MitroviÄ10%
Jurica PrŔir9%
Tim Matavž8%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Lenny IleÄiÄ7%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ6%
Luka Kapulica4%
Filip Mrzljak3%
Marko Soldo3%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Sven Blummel0%
Nikola VujnoviÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola VujnoviÄ19%
Josip MitroviÄ13%
Merveil Ndockyt8%
Ante Matej JuriÄ7%
Jurica PrŔir6%
MomÄilo RaspopoviÄ6%
Tim Matavž4%
Dino Å tiglec3%
KreÅ”imir KrizmaniÄ0%
Martin Å roler0%
Ivan BaniÄ0%
Mateo LeŔ0%
Valentino MajstoroviÄ0%
Alexander Munksgaard0%
Mario MaloÄa0%
Božidar RadoÅ”eviÄ0%
Sven Blummel0%
Filip Mrzljak0%
Lenny IleÄiÄ0%
Andrej Lazarov0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Marko Soldo0%
Luka Kapulica0%
Mario MatkoviÄ0%
Sekou Matar Sagna0%
Arona Fall0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
Rudes's squad is €4m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€5m vs €9m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
Rudes's attack is €2m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€3m vs €4m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
Rudes's midfield is €1m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€1m vs €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
Rudes's defence is €1m less valuable than HNK Gorica's (€1m vs €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →